Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAN-YI-18
Off-shore
27 Nov 2018 12 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone MAN-YI-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 194 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (26 Nov 14:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 74 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 194 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      74 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 51000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 19 Nov 2018 18:00 185 120 thousand 1 thousand Guam
        Green 2 20 Nov 2018 00:00 176 220 thousand No people Guam
        Green 3 20 Nov 2018 06:00 176 220 thousand No people Guam
        Green 4 20 Nov 2018 12:00 185 210 thousand No people Guam
        Green 5 20 Nov 2018 18:00 194 210 thousand Few people Guam
        Green 6 21 Nov 2018 00:00 176 210 thousand No people Guam
        Green 7 21 Nov 2018 06:00 176 210 thousand No people Guam
        Green 8 21 Nov 2018 12:00 157 50 thousand No people
        Green 9 21 Nov 2018 18:00 176 50 thousand No people
        Green 10 22 Nov 2018 00:00 176 50 thousand No people
        Green 11 22 Nov 2018 06:00 176 50 thousand No people
        Green 12 22 Nov 2018 12:00 167 50 thousand No people
        Green 13 22 Nov 2018 18:00 167 50 thousand No people
        Green 14 23 Nov 2018 00:00 167 50 thousand No people
        Green 15 23 Nov 2018 06:00 167 50 thousand No people
        Green 16 23 Nov 2018 12:00 157 50 thousand No people
        Green 17 23 Nov 2018 18:00 167 50 thousand No people
        Green 18 24 Nov 2018 00:00 148 50 thousand No people
        Green 19 24 Nov 2018 06:00 139 50 thousand No people
        Green 20 24 Nov 2018 12:00 148 50 thousand No people
        Green 21 24 Nov 2018 18:00 148 50 thousand No people
        Green 22 25 Nov 2018 00:00 148 50 thousand No people
        Green 23 25 Nov 2018 06:00 148 50 thousand No people
        Green 24 25 Nov 2018 12:00 139 50 thousand No people
        Green 25 25 Nov 2018 18:00 111 50 thousand No people
        Green 26 26 Nov 2018 00:00 83 50 thousand No people
        Green 27 26 Nov 2018 06:00 74 50 thousand No people
        Green 28 26 Nov 2018 12:00 74 50 thousand No people
        Green 29 26 Nov 2018 18:00 56 50 thousand No people
        Green 30 27 Nov 2018 00:00 56 50 thousand No people
        Green 31 27 Nov 2018 06:00 65 50 thousand No people
        Green 32 27 Nov 2018 12:00 74 50 thousand No people

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 19 Nov 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people 3700 people 4.4, 156.6
          GREEN
          		 2 20 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people 40000 people 4.8, 155.6
          GREEN
          		 3 20 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people 4400 people 4.6, 154.9
          GREEN
          		 4 20 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 49000 people 4.8, 154.2
          GREEN
          		 5 20 Nov 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 <1000 people 50000 people 6, 152.6
          GREEN
          		 6 21 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 <1000 people 49000 people 6.7, 151
          GREEN
          		 7 21 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 4000 people 7.6, 149.1
          GREEN
          		 8 21 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 1300 people 8.7, 146.9
          GREEN
          		 9 21 Nov 2018 18:00 Category 1 120 no people <1000 people 9.6, 143.9
          GREEN
          		 10 22 Nov 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 no people 2900 people 10.6, 141.8
          GREEN
          		 11 22 Nov 2018 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 11.8, 139.7
          GREEN
          		 12 22 Nov 2018 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 13, 138.3
          GREEN
          		 13 22 Nov 2018 18:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 13.8, 137.3
          GREEN
          		 14 23 Nov 2018 00:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 14.5, 136.5
          GREEN
          		 15 23 Nov 2018 06:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 15.4, 135.6
          GREEN
          		 16 23 Nov 2018 12:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 16.6, 135.4
          GREEN
          		 17 23 Nov 2018 18:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 17.6, 135.3
          GREEN
          		 18 24 Nov 2018 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 18, 135.4
          GREEN
          		 19 24 Nov 2018 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 18.2, 135.6
          GREEN
          		 20 24 Nov 2018 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 18.5, 136.2
          GREEN
          		 21 24 Nov 2018 18:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 18.7, 136.4
          GREEN
          		 22 25 Nov 2018 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 18.3, 136
          GREEN
          		 23 25 Nov 2018 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 18.2, 135.7
          GREEN
          		 24 25 Nov 2018 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 18.5, 135
          GREEN
          		 25 25 Nov 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 18.9, 133.9
          GREEN
          		 26 26 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 19.6, 132.9
          GREEN
          		 27 26 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 20.2, 132.4
          GREEN
          		 28 26 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 21, 132.1
          GREEN
          		 29 26 Nov 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 21.5, 131.9
          GREEN
          		 30 27 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 22.4, 132.3
          GREEN
          		 31 27 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.5, 132.9
          GREEN
          		 32 27 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.4, 133.3
          GREEN
          		 32 28 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people 26.2, 135.5
          GREEN
          		 32 28 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 30.2, 140.8
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Ulithi ULI 2 0
          Truk International TKK 3 Civ. Paved Yes 6000

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Tori Island Japan
          Aoga Island Japan
          Fais Micronesia
          Woleai Atoll Micronesia
          Moen Micronesia
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Dinggang, China. This height is estimated for 26 Nov 2018 14:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (160 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 27 of 26 Nov 2018 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          26 Nov 2018 14:00 Dinggang China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 14:00 Ancheng China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 14:00 Chang-chia-li China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 14:00 Hsi-hui-tsui China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 14:00 Ch'ien-ni China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 14:00 Chengpu China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 14:00 Songxia China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 14:00 Heng-pa-ts'un China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 20:00 Taipingzha China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 20:00 Feng-p'u-ao China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 20:00 Ch'iu-wang China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 20:00 Ch'ing-shui-hu China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 20:00 Hsieh-fu China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 20:00 Wantang China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 20:00 Ch'ai-ch'iao China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 14:00 Chu-ch'iao-chen China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 14:00 Hsieh-t'ang China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 20:00 Zhenhai China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 14:00 Dingqiao China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 14:00 Chaoyang China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 14:00 Chiu-hsiang-chen China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 14:00 Huangwan China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 14:00 Ganpu China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 23:00 Linshan China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 23:00 Chou-hung-ch'iu China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 23:00 Hsiung-ting-yu China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 Ganlan China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 20:00 Jiangjia China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 23:00 Hsiao-an-chieh China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 13:00 Changchuanba China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 Ligang China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 Xiaoli'ao China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 Nan'ao China  0.2
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Dongsha China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 Hsin-p'u China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 Shigaotang China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 Beiqigen China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 21:00 Beilungang China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 21:00 Daniwan China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 03:00 Pequit Philippines  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 03:00 Pabanong Philippines  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 03:00 Hinabangan Philippines  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 Ch'en-chia-lu China  0.2
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Gaoting China  0.2
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Nanfeng China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 03:00 Wright Philippines  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 22:00 Hepu China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 22:00 Shihphu China  0.2
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Dinghai China  0.2
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Chung-tse China  0.2
          26 Nov 2018 13:00 Cheng-chia-tai China  0.2
          27 Nov 2018 21:00 Huangang China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 06:00 Jinxiang China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Lingmen China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Aohuan China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Dalu China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Chiao-t'ou China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Da'ao China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 P'u-t'o China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 06:00 Gexiang China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Guoju China  0.1
          26 Nov 2018 03:00 Mualbual Philippines  0.1
          26 Nov 2018 03:00 Bangon Philippines  0.1
          26 Nov 2018 13:00 Zhapu China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 01:00 Niu-ch'iao-shih China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 01:00 Hsing-hsing-chen China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 01:00 Chou-chia-peng China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 04:00 Chin-ssu-niang-ch'iao China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 Jinshanwei China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 Chin-shan-tsui China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Shanyang China  0.1
          26 Nov 2018 02:00 San Andres Philippines  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 18:00 Songmen China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Changtu China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 06:00 Luxia China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 05:00 Sansha China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 20:00 Haiyanzhen China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 21:00 Donggangcun China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 Caojing China  0.1
          26 Nov 2018 19:00 San-chia-shih China  0.1
          26 Nov 2018 19:00 Chin-ch'ing China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 21:00 Liulishe China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 21:00 Liu-tsao China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 21:00 Hsiao-yang-k'ou China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Beilong China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Touyan China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 Banping China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Bei'ao China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Chenyu China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 05:00 Guan'ao China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 Shih-t'ang China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 03:00 Danmen China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Ta-ch'u China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 06:00 Changchun China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 01:00 Yacheng China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 06:00 Huang-ch'i China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Shacheng China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 06:00 Xiaguan China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Pucheng China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 Fangang China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Qiancang China  0.1
          26 Nov 2018 03:00 Tatabunan Philippines  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 21:00 Beikan China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 00:00 Chung-ch'i Taiwan  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 00:00 San-hsing Taiwan  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 00:00 T'ai-hsi Taiwan  0.1
          26 Nov 2018 03:00 Narombacan Philippines  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 05:00 Gongjialu China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 21:00 Bailonggang China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 22:00 Yuansha China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 22:00 Fumin China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 21:00 Hsin-min China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Che-lin China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Chiu-nan-t'ien China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Kanmen China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Litang China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 00:00 Tiantu China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 T'ien-hou-kung China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 Nan 'ao China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 06:00 Hanjiang China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 06:00 Songcheng China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 06:00 Da'ao China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 06:00 Wuqu China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 01:00 Sha-fan-chieh China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 07:00 I-shan China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 01:00 Xiabu China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 01:00 Zhuangyuanqiao China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 01:00 Longwan China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 01:00 Jiangtan China  0.1
          26 Nov 2018 03:00 Guintampilan Philippines  0.1
          26 Nov 2018 03:00 Bagacay Philippines  0.1
          26 Nov 2018 23:00 Hsia-lun Taiwan  0.1
          26 Nov 2018 23:00 Sa-ti Taiwan  0.1
          26 Nov 2018 23:00 Hai-kou Taiwan  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 04:00 Xianxiang China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 04:00 Zhuxi China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 21:00 T'ai-an-chen China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 21:00 Daxingzhen China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 21:00 Nanqinghe China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 22:00 Qianwei China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 06:00 Nanbu China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 05:00 Dongxing China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 01:00 Sanshan China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 22:00 Dongtaihezha China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 01:00 Huanshan China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 Luomen China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 Ta-chan China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 23:00 Bianjiao'ao China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 02:00 Siqianjie China  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 02:00 Xiaodoumen China  0.1
          26 Nov 2018 03:00 Macalonud Philippines  0.1
          26 Nov 2018 03:00 Catbalogan Philippines  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 00:00 Hsin-chiang Taiwan  0.1
          28 Nov 2018 01:00 Chumen China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 00:00 Sha-shan Taiwan  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 00:00 Wang-kung Taiwan  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 02:00 Shiqiao China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 02:00 Hsu-p'u China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 02:00 Xizhoushi China  0.1
          27 Nov 2018 06:00 Youcheqiao China  0.1