Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GENEVIEVE-20
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GENEVIEVE-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 213 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (21 Aug 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 65 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 213 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 640000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 16 Aug 2020 15:00 194 Few people Few people Mexico
Green 2 16 Aug 2020 21:00 204 Few people Few people Mexico
Green 3 17 Aug 2020 03:00 222 Few people Few people Mexico
Green 4 17 Aug 2020 09:00 222 Few people Few people Mexico
Green 5 17 Aug 2020 15:00 222 Few people No people Mexico
Green 6 17 Aug 2020 21:00 222 120 thousand No people Mexico
Green 7 18 Aug 2020 03:00 222 50 thousand No people Mexico
Green 8 18 Aug 2020 09:00 231 120 thousand No people Mexico
Green 9 18 Aug 2020 15:00 241 Few people No people Mexico
Green 10 18 Aug 2020 21:00 222 120 thousand No people Mexico
Green 11 19 Aug 2020 03:00 194 280 thousand No people Mexico
Green 12 19 Aug 2020 09:00 185 320 thousand No people Mexico
Green 13 19 Aug 2020 15:00 185 350 thousand No people Mexico
Green 14 19 Aug 2020 21:00 148 330 thousand No people Mexico
Green 15 20 Aug 2020 03:00 139 620 thousand No people Mexico
Green 16 20 Aug 2020 09:00 130 650 thousand No people Mexico
Green 17 20 Aug 2020 15:00 120 640 thousand No people Mexico
Green 18 20 Aug 2020 21:00 111 640 thousand No people Mexico
Green 19 21 Aug 2020 03:00 102 640 thousand No people Mexico
Green 20 21 Aug 2020 09:00 83 640 thousand No people Mexico
Green 21 21 Aug 2020 15:00 74 640 thousand No people Mexico
Green 22 21 Aug 2020 21:00 65 640 thousand No people Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 16 Aug 2020 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 11.3, -97.3
GREEN
2 16 Aug 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 12.2, -99.2
GREEN
3 17 Aug 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.4, -100.4
GREEN
4 17 Aug 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.3, -101.7
GREEN
5 17 Aug 2020 15:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.3, -103
GREEN
6 17 Aug 2020 21:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 15.5, -104.6
GREEN
7 18 Aug 2020 03:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 16.5, -106
GREEN
8 18 Aug 2020 09:00 Category 3 185 no people <1000 people 17.4, -107.1
GREEN
9 18 Aug 2020 15:00 Category 4 213 no people <1000 people 18, -108
GREEN
10 18 Aug 2020 21:00 Category 4 213 no people <1000 people 18.7, -108.7
GREEN
11 19 Aug 2020 03:00 Category 3 194 no people <1000 people 19.5, -109
GREEN
12 19 Aug 2020 09:00 Category 3 185 no people 200000 people 20.2, -109.4
GREEN
13 19 Aug 2020 15:00 Category 3 185 no people 310000 people 20.9, -109.7
GREEN
14 19 Aug 2020 21:00 Category 1 148 no people 300000 people 21.4, -110.1
GREEN
15 20 Aug 2020 03:00 Category 1 139 no people 570000 people 22, -110.1
GREEN
16 20 Aug 2020 09:00 Category 1 130 no people 620000 people 22.5, -110.4
GREEN
17 20 Aug 2020 15:00 Category 1 120 no people 620000 people 23.3, -111.4
GREEN
18 20 Aug 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 69000 people 23.9, -112.4
GREEN
19 21 Aug 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 2500 people 24.2, -113.2
GREEN
20 21 Aug 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 24.3, -114.3
GREEN
21 21 Aug 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 25, -114.8
GREEN
22 21 Aug 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 25.8, -115.5
GREEN
22 22 Aug 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 27, -117
GREEN
22 22 Aug 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 28.3, -119.1
GREEN
22 23 Aug 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 29.2, -120.7
GREEN
22 23 Aug 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 28 no people no people 30.2, -121.9
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country
Baja California Sur Mexico

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Villa Constitución Baja California Sur Mexico City -
La Paz Baja California Sur Mexico Major city 170000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Villa Constitucion VIB 43 0
Arroyo Capo 20 0
Leon LAP 21 Civ. Paved Yes 8200
La Paz 26 0
Punta Pescadero 7 0
Cabo San Lucas 139 0
Punta Colorada PCO unknown 0
Los Cabos International SJD 109 Civ. Paved Yes 9800
Isla Socorro 100 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
San Carlos MXSCR Mexico
Puerto Madalena Mexico
San Juan de la Costa MXSJC Mexico
La Paz Mexico
Buenavista Mexico
San Lucas Mexico
San Hose Del Cabo Mexico
Socorro Island Mexico

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in San Felipe, Mexico. This height is estimated for 21 Aug 2020 16:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (92 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 21 of 21 Aug 2020 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 Aug 2020 16:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
21 Aug 2020 10:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
21 Aug 2020 16:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
21 Aug 2020 13:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
21 Aug 2020 14:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
21 Aug 2020 17:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
20 Aug 2020 19:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
21 Aug 2020 14:00 San Jose Mexico  0.2
21 Aug 2020 12:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
21 Aug 2020 15:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
21 Aug 2020 16:00 Molino Mexico  0.2
21 Aug 2020 17:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
21 Aug 2020 17:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
21 Aug 2020 16:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
17 Aug 2020 02:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
17 Aug 2020 02:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
17 Aug 2020 02:00 La Majada Mexico  0.2
17 Aug 2020 02:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
17 Aug 2020 02:00 Union Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
17 Aug 2020 02:00 Chicapa Mexico  0.2
21 Aug 2020 12:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
21 Aug 2020 15:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
21 Aug 2020 17:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
17 Aug 2020 02:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 12:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 19:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 17:00 La Choya Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 17:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 15:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 19:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 17:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 14:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 13:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
17 Aug 2020 01:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 12:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 12:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2020 09:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2020 12:00 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 14:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2020 20:00 Quinones Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 17:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
17 Aug 2020 02:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
17 Aug 2020 02:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2020 09:00 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2020 14:00 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 13:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2020 17:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2020 17:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2020 19:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2020 18:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 17:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 16:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 13:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 13:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 13:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 14:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 16:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 15:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 13:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
17 Aug 2020 02:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
17 Aug 2020 02:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
17 Aug 2020 02:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
17 Aug 2020 02:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
17 Aug 2020 01:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
17 Aug 2020 01:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
17 Aug 2020 01:00 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 12:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2020 10:00 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2020 08:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2020 11:00 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2020 16:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2020 18:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 15:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 13:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 17:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 14:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 13:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 17:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 16:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
17 Aug 2020 02:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
17 Aug 2020 02:00 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
17 Aug 2020 01:00 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.1
17 Aug 2020 02:00 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
17 Aug 2020 01:00 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
21 Aug 2020 19:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 13:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 13:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 14:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 13:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 11:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 11:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2020 12:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1