Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MICHAEL-12 Off-shore from 04 Sep 2012 15:00 UTC to 11 Sep 2012 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MICHAEL-12

Off-shore

11 Sep 2012 21 UTC

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Meteorological source:

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MICHAEL-12 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	195 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	-- ()

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	64 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	195 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

64 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher
1	03 Sep 2012 21:00	64	No people	No people
2	04 Sep 2012 03:00	64	No people	No people
3	04 Sep 2012 09:00	64	No people	No people
4	04 Sep 2012 15:00	74	No people	No people
5	04 Sep 2012 21:00	111	No people	No people
6	05 Sep 2012 03:00	121	No people	No people
7	05 Sep 2012 09:00	130	No people	No people
8	05 Sep 2012 15:00	130	No people	No people
9	05 Sep 2012 17:30	138	No people	No people
10	05 Sep 2012 21:00	148	No people	No people
11	06 Sep 2012 03:00	148	No people	No people
12	06 Sep 2012 05:00	185	No people	No people
13	06 Sep 2012 09:00	195	No people	No people
14	06 Sep 2012 15:00	195	No people	No people
15	06 Sep 2012 21:00	175	No people	No people
16	07 Sep 2012 03:00	167	No people	No people
17	07 Sep 2012 09:00	167	No people	No people
18	07 Sep 2012 15:00	167	No people	No people
19	07 Sep 2012 21:00	167	No people	No people
20	08 Sep 2012 03:00	158	No people	No people
21	08 Sep 2012 09:00	158	No people	No people
22	08 Sep 2012 15:00	167	No people	No people
23	08 Sep 2012 21:00	167	No people	No people
24	09 Sep 2012 03:00	158	No people	No people
25	09 Sep 2012 09:00	158	No people	No people
26	09 Sep 2012 15:00	148	No people	No people
27	09 Sep 2012 21:00	148	No people	No people
28	10 Sep 2012 03:00	138	No people	No people
29	10 Sep 2012 09:00	130	No people	No people
30	10 Sep 2012 15:00	130	No people	No people
31	10 Sep 2012 21:00	121	No people	No people
32	11 Sep 2012 03:00	121	No people	No people
33	11 Sep 2012 09:00	101	No people	No people
34	11 Sep 2012 15:00	74	No people	No people
35	11 Sep 2012 21:00	64	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	9/3/2012 9:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	25.6, -42.2
2	9/4/2012 3:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	25.9, -42.8
3	9/4/2012 9:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	26.5, -43.3
4	9/4/2012 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	27, -43.5
5	9/4/2012 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	27.5, -43.7
6	9/5/2012 3:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	27.4, -43.7
7	9/5/2012 9:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	28.1, -43.9
8	9/5/2012 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	28.3, -43.3
9	9/5/2012 5:30:00 PM	Tropical storm	101	no people	no people	28.5, -42.9
10	9/5/2012 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	28.8, -42.7
11	9/6/2012 3:00:00 AM	Category 1	121	no people	no people	29.3, -42.2
12	9/6/2012 5:00:00 AM	Category 2	167	no people	no people	29.4, -42
13	9/6/2012 9:00:00 AM	Category 3	185	no people	no people	29.6, -41.7
14	9/6/2012 3:00:00 PM	Category 3	185	no people	no people	30.1, -41.3
15	9/6/2012 9:00:00 PM	Category 2	175	no people	no people	30.6, -41
16	9/7/2012 3:00:00 AM	Category 2	167	no people	no people	30.8, -40.8
17	9/7/2012 9:00:00 AM	Category 2	167	no people	no people	31, -40.8
18	9/7/2012 3:00:00 PM	Category 2	167	no people	no people	31.2, -41.1
19	9/7/2012 9:00:00 PM	Category 2	167	no people	no people	31.4, -41.3
20	9/8/2012 3:00:00 AM	Category 2	158	no people	no people	31.8, -41.8
21	9/8/2012 9:00:00 AM	Category 2	158	no people	no people	32.2, -41.8
22	9/8/2012 3:00:00 PM	Category 2	167	no people	no people	32.6, -42.1
23	9/8/2012 9:00:00 PM	Category 2	167	no people	no people	33.1, -42.3
24	9/9/2012 3:00:00 AM	Category 2	158	no people	no people	33.4, -42.4
25	9/9/2012 9:00:00 AM	Category 2	158	no people	no people	33.8, -42.7
26	9/9/2012 3:00:00 PM	Category 1	148	no people	no people	33.7, -43.2
27	9/9/2012 9:00:00 PM	Category 1	148	no people	no people	33.6, -43.8
28	9/10/2012 3:00:00 AM	Category 1	138	no people	no people	33.6, -44.4
29	9/10/2012 9:00:00 AM	Category 1	130	no people	no people	33.5, -45.2
30	9/10/2012 3:00:00 PM	Category 1	130	no people	no people	33.6, -46.3
31	9/10/2012 9:00:00 PM	Category 1	121	no people	no people	34.4, -47.6
32	9/11/2012 3:00:00 AM	Category 1	121	no people	no people	35.3, -48
33	9/11/2012 9:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	101	no people	no people	37.1, -47.7
34	9/11/2012 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	39.2, -47.2
35	9/11/2012 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	41.4, -45.8
35	9/12/2012 6:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	45, -43

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 35 of 11 Sep 2012 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert

Date (UTC)

Name

Country

Storm surge height (m)

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.