Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for TWELVE-24 in Vanuatu from 08 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC to 11 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWELVE-24

in Vanuatu

08 Feb 2024 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWELVE-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	68 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (08 Feb 04:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Vanuatu)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	68 km/h	0.2 m	111 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	112 km/h	0.3 m	519 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

112 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	08 Feb 2024 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Vanuatu	1,059
100-250 mm	Vanuatu, New Caledonia	27,693	+
	Vanuatu	13,800
	New Caledonia	13,892
50-100 mm	Vanuatu, New Caledonia	150,041	+
	Vanuatu	138,397
	New Caledonia	11,643

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	08 Feb 2024 00:00	725	30 thousand				-	-	-	Vanuatu, New Caledonia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Poum, New Caledonia. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2024 04:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	08 Feb 2024 04:30	Poum	New Caledonia	0.2
	08 Feb 2024 04:30	Poum-Plage	New Caledonia	0.2
	08 Feb 2024 04:30	Arama	New Caledonia	0.2
	08 Feb 2024 04:30	Pam	New Caledonia	0.2
	08 Feb 2024 03:15	Nailanga	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:15	Sorokoba	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:15	Ba	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:15	Natunuka	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:15	Piapouria	Vanuatu	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:15	Mae	Vanuatu	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:15	Tourebiou	Vanuatu	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:15	Atsaritibi	Vanuatu	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:15	Robertsons	Vanuatu	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:15	Bakakara	Vanuatu	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:15	Terou	Vanuatu	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:15	Worovok	Vanuatu	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:15	Ladhu	Vanuatu	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:15	Lavatavo	Vanuatu	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:15	Iakobone	Vanuatu	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Puto	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Konua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Sipai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Amun	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Kuraio Mission	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:15	Souleisere	Vanuatu	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:00	Lautoka	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 06:00	Nailou	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 06:00	Nawi	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 06:00	Vunikura	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 06:00	Napuka	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Jaba	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Koiaris	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 06:00	Namboutini	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 06:00	Lao	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 06:00	Vangai	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Sopanitogha	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Ambuavao	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Ghorambau	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Komuvadha	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Ngalikomba	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Komukea	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Kulu	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Mbokoaghau	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Tambunimane	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Mbelasara	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Vanuagobu	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Torakina	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:30	Navinggiri	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:30	Yangganga	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:30	Ndalomo	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:30	Nawailevu	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:30	Nasarowangga	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:30	Navindamu	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:45	Biagunu	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Pokuito	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Atsilima	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:15	Balaide	New Caledonia	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:45	Korosi	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:45	Korotasere	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:45	Naweni	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:45	Nakarambo	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:45	Viani	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:45	Ndrekeniwai	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:45	Mbangasau	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Aitara Mission	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Tokuaka	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Ghaomai	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Harapa	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Kamaleai	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Shortland I	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Maleai	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Koliai	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Harehare	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Nila	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 06:00	Malake	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:15	Tavua	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:45	Saint-Gabriel	New Caledonia	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:45	Saint Roch	New Caledonia	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:45	Ngoye	New Caledonia	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:45	Petit-Borindi	New Caledonia	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:00	Paita	New Caledonia	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:00	Nouville	New Caledonia	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:00	Noumea	New Caledonia	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:00	Dumbea	New Caledonia	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:00	Comm. du Mont-Dore	New Caledonia	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:00	Saint-Louis	New Caledonia	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 05:00	Plum	New Caledonia	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:45	Koroinasolo	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:45	Naruwai	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:45	Nabouwalu	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Aola	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Komunimboko	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Moisuru	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	East Pt	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 03:45	Olava	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:45	Rakiraki	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:45	Vaileka	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:45	Nanukuloa	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 02:45	Nasau	Fiji	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Yandina	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Vona Vona I	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Mbarasipo	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Mbomboe	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Sulimuni	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Mbanga	Solomon Islands	0.1
	08 Feb 2024 04:00	Menakasapa	Solomon Islands	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.