Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWELVE-24
in Vanuatu

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone TWELVE-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001048
Name TWELVE-24
From - To 08 Feb - 11 Feb
Exposed countries Vanuatu
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 74 km/h Tropical storm
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (10 Feb 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Vanuatu)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 56 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 112 km/h 0.3 m 519 mm 0.5
GFS 68 km/h 0.3 m 360 mm 0.5
ECMWF 68 km/h 0.4 m 736 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Vanuatu, New Caledonia (France) - Tropical storm TWELVE (ECHO 09 Feb 2024)Fri, 09 Feb 2024 11:22

  • A new tropical storm named TWELVE formed over the eastern Coral Sea betwenn 7-8 February (UTC) and started moving south-east toward central Vanuatu and north of New Caledonia (France). On 9 February at 6.00 UTC, its centre was located offshore approximately 180 km north-west of the Port Vila Capital City (Éfaté Island), with maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h (tropical storm).
  • TWELVE is forecast to pass between Éfaté Island and Erromango Island in the morning (UTC) of 10 February, with maximum sustained winds up to 74 km/h. It is expected to continue southeastward over the South West Pacific Ocean, far off the Fiji Islands, on 11-12 February, weakening.
  • Over the next 24 hours, heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surge are forecast over the whole Vanuatu. Moderate rainfall is also forecast over eastern New Caledonia.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Articles: 3 | About casualties: 0 | Last hour: 0

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), (2), DesInventar (1), WMO (1), INFORM (2),