Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for GENEVIEVE-20 in Mexico from 16 Aug 2020 15:00 UTC to 21 Aug 2020 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GENEVIEVE-20

in Mexico

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GENEVIEVE-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	176 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (17 Aug 21:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	176 km/h	0.2 m	257 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	220 km/h	0.5 m	632 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

220 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	Mexico	05
Tropical Storm	Mexico	651

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	16 Aug 2020 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Aug 2020 18:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	17 Aug 2020 00:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	17 Aug 2020 06:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	17 Aug 2020 12:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	17 Aug 2020 18:00	205	Few people			-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Mexico	442
50-100 mm	Mexico	1,085

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	16 Aug 2020 12:00	559	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Aug 2020 18:00	368	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	17 Aug 2020 00:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	17 Aug 2020 06:00	329	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	17 Aug 2020 12:00	234	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	17 Aug 2020 18:00	515	Few people			-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 17 Aug 2020 21:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	La Choya	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 21:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 22:30	San Felipe	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 23:00	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 23:00	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 18:00	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 18:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 22:15	Santa Marie	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 22:15	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 22:15	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:30	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:30	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:00	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:00	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 23:30	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 23:30	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:30	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 22:15	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 22:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 22:15	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:15	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 23:30	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 23:45	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 22:30	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 22:30	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:45	San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:45	Monteon	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:45	La Lima	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 19:45	Faria	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 19:45	Dulah	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 19:45	San Buenaventura	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 19:45	Ventura	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 19:45	Hollywood By The Sea	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 19:45	Channel Islands Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 19:45	Oxnard	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:30	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 22:00	El Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 23:30	Chola	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 20:00	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:45	Rancho Cepeda	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:45	Rancho San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:45	Colonia Camalu	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 23:45	Tecomate	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 23:45	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:30	Loreto	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:30	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:30	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 22:45	San Pedro	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 22:45	Wilmington	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 22:45	Signal Hill	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 22:45	Belmont Shore	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 22:45	Surfside	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 22:45	Seal Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 22:45	Sunset Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 22:45	Huntington Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 22:45	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	18 Aug 2020 00:00	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Santiago	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Manzanillo	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	El Ciruelo	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 22:15	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Barra de la Gabina	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Las Champas	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Barra Madre Vieja	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Tecojate	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	San Jose Rama Blanca	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Sipacate	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 19:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 19:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	18 Aug 2020 00:00	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	18 Aug 2020 00:00	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	18 Aug 2020 00:00	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	18 Aug 2020 00:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 20:00	Rancho Palos Verdes	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 20:00	Rolling Hills Estates	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 20:00	Rolling Hills	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:45	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:45	El Sauzal	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:45	Cabo Punta Banda	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:45	Ensenada	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:15	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.