Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for VAYU-19 in , India, Pakistan from 10 Jun 2019 12:00 UTC to 17 Jun 2019 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for VAYU-19

in , India, Pakistan

14 Jun 2019 06 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VAYU-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	176 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.1 m (14 Jun 08:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	176 km/h	1.1 m	1149 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	194 km/h	1.4 m	1209 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 14 Jun 2019 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	10 Jun 2019 12:00	184	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	10 Jun 2019 18:00	209	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	11 Jun 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	11 Jun 2019 06:00	191	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	11 Jun 2019 12:00	184	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	11 Jun 2019 18:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	12 Jun 2019 00:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	12 Jun 2019 06:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	12 Jun 2019 12:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	12 Jun 2019 18:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	13 Jun 2019 00:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	13 Jun 2019 06:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	13 Jun 2019 12:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	13 Jun 2019 18:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	14 Jun 2019 00:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	14 Jun 2019 06:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

1209 mm

Up to 70 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Jun 2019 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	India	68,324
50-100 mm	India, Sri Lanka	14,401,467	+
	India	13,164,763
	Sri Lanka	1,236,704

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	10 Jun 2019 12:00	229	30 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
2	10 Jun 2019 18:00	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	11 Jun 2019 00:00	201	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	11 Jun 2019 06:00	113	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	11 Jun 2019 12:00	230	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	11 Jun 2019 18:00	289	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	12 Jun 2019 00:00	232	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	12 Jun 2019 06:00	264	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	12 Jun 2019 12:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	12 Jun 2019 18:00	297	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	13 Jun 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	13 Jun 2019 06:00	272	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	13 Jun 2019 12:00	307	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	13 Jun 2019 18:00	198	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	14 Jun 2019 00:00	252	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
16	14 Jun 2019 06:00	1149	70 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Sri Lanka

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Jun 2019 06:00 UTC

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Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.