Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FIFTEEN-19 in Cape Verde from 14 Oct 2019 21:00 UTC to 16 Oct 2019 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FIFTEEN-19

in Cape Verde

15 Oct 2019 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIFTEEN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	72 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (16 Oct 23:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	72 km/h	0.2 m	76 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	72 km/h	0.2 m	215 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

72 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 15 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	14 Oct 2019 18:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Oct 2019 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Oct 2019 06:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Oct 2019 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 15 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	14 Oct 2019 18:00	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Oct 2019 00:00	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Oct 2019 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Oct 2019 12:00	139	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in El Mamghar, Mauritania. This height is estimated for 16 Oct 2019 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Oct 2019 23:00	El Mamghar	Mauritania	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Uato Mandinga	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Uato Fula	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ponta Doce Mancanha	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ga Moria	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Canema	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Pecete	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ilheu do Mancebo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Bolama	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Intindumbo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Gantumane	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Sao Joao	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Santa Maria	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Fei	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ganchombe	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Madina de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ganture	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Tabanca Nova	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Sancoma	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Fortuna	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Bigine	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Gambacar Nancho	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Mansaba	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Darsalame	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ganafa	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ga Eugenia	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ga Maior de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Paiunco	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Camaga	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ga Maior Beafada	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Farancunda	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Umpoloco	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Nova Sintra	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Cabaceira	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Belai	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Gantongo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ponta Filipe	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Tema	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Pobreza	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Canchungozinho	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Baloma de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Nhala de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Nhala de Cima	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Santa Joana	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Biogate	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Foia	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Mato Grande	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Gambinta	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Cabame	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Ponta Gardele	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Conlumo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Bissau	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Antula	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Birte	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Cumere	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Oco Grande	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Enxude	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Enchude	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Ambacana	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Acampamento	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Ametite	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Anchorupe	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Ancano	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Suro	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Petate	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Prabis	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Oco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Eticoba	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Bubaque	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ambeno	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Inhoda	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ambuduco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Umpucute	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Indena	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Meneque	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Angumba	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Inorei	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Angojiga	Guinea-Bissau	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.