Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NESTOR-19
in United States
17 Oct 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NESTOR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (17 Oct 14:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 72 km/h 0.3 m 241 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 112 km/h 0.8 m 777 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

112 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States16,106 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Oct 2019 00:00 112 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 2 17 Oct 2019 12:00 90 -
- - - - - United States
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico512,868
+
United States444,036 
Mexico68,832 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala6,057,795
+
United States4,732,194 
Mexico1,314,700 
Guatemala10,901 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Oct 2019 00:00 601 690 thousand
- - - Mexico
Blue 2 17 Oct 2019 12:00 386 510 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Daytona Beach, United States. This height is estimated for 17 Oct 2019 14:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Daytona Beach United States  0.3
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Holly Hill United States  0.3
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Ellinor Village United States  0.3
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Ortona United States  0.3
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Seabreeze United States  0.3
17 Oct 2019 14:15 South Daytona United States  0.3
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Daytona Beach Shores United States  0.3
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Allandale United States  0.3
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Halifax Estates United States  0.3
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Wilbur-by-the-Sea United States  0.3
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Isleboro United States  0.3
17 Oct 2019 14:15 New Smyrna Beach United States  0.3
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Ponce Inlet United States  0.3
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Ponce Park United States  0.3
17 Oct 2019 13:00 Melbourne Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:00 Indialantic United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:00 Valkaria United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:00 Grant United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:00 Melbourne Shores United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:00 Evans Pines United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:00 Ballard Pines United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:00 Cummings United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:00 Orchid United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:45 Mound Grove United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:45 Ormond-by-the-Sea United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 14:00 Beverly Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 14:00 Flagler Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:15 Bethune Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:15 Eldora United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 20:00 Raya Honduras  0.2
17 Oct 2019 20:00 Clubki Honduras  0.2
17 Oct 2019 20:00 Irlaya Honduras  0.2
17 Oct 2019 19:45 Casa Cola United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 19:45 Araquey United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 19:45 South Ponte Vedra Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 19:45 Saint Augustine United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 19:45 Villano Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 19:45 Anastasia United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 19:45 Saint Augustine Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 19:45 Butler Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:45 Tropic United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:45 South Patrick Shores United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:45 Satellite Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:45 Indian Harbour Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:45 Canova Beach United States  0.2
18 Oct 2019 00:00 Port Mansfield United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:00 Cape Canaveral United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:00 Cocoa Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 14:30 Summer Haven United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 14:30 Palm Coast United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 14:30 Marineland United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 14:30 Bon Terra United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 22:15 Buena Vista United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 19:45 Crescent Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 22:30 Constance Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 22:30 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 22:30 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
18 Oct 2019 00:00 Holly Beach United States  0.2
18 Oct 2019 00:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.2
18 Oct 2019 00:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.2
18 Oct 2019 00:00 Port Isabel United States  0.2
18 Oct 2019 00:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.2
18 Oct 2019 00:00 South Padre Island United States  0.2
18 Oct 2019 00:00 Boca Chica United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:00 Gilchrist United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:00 High Island United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Galveston United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Fort Travis United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Flake United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Elmgrove United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Patton United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Caplen United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:30 Wabasso United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:30 Nevins United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:30 Indian River Shores United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:30 Riomar United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:30 South Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Hitchcock United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Virginia Point United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Forked River United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Brookside Heights United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Bayville United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Oak Glen United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Cedar Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Island Heights United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Sunrise Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Ocean Gate United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Beachwood United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Barnegat Bay Estates United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Bay Shore United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Island Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Seaside Park United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Seaside Heights United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 15:00 Lavallette United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:30 Saint Lucie United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:30 Ankona United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:30 Walton United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:30 Eden United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:30 Jensen Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:30 Hutchinson Island South United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:30 Sewall's Point United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 13:30 Port Sewall United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:15 Hoskins United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:15 Port Morris United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:15 Bay Harbor United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:15 Sea Isle United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Surfside United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Mims United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Surfside Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 16:15 Seabrook United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 16:15 Edisto Beach United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 16:15 Edisto Island United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 16:15 Freedman United States  0.2
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Dungeness United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Stafford United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Greyfield United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Amelia City United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Fernandina Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 American Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 13:45 Indrio United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 13:45 Queens Cove United States  0.1
18 Oct 2019 00:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:45 Freeport United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:45 Quintana United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Port Salerno United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Gomez United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Hobe Sound United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Jupiter Island United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Hickory Bluff United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Forest Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Hilton Head Island United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Long Cove Plantation United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Seabrook Landing United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Bram Landing United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Palmetto Dunes United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Hilton Head Plantation United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Gator Field United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Parris Island United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Folly Field United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Fort Fremont United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Scott United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 Longwood United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 22:30 Yarborough United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Gulf Park United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Hoskins United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:45 High Point United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 22:45 El Martillo United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 20:00 Black Hammock United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 20:00 Franklintown United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 20:00 Mayport United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 20:00 Isle of Palms United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 20:00 Oak Harbor United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 20:00 East Mayport United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 20:00 Atlantic Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 20:00 Jacksonville Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 20:00 Ponte Vedra Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Barnegat United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 South Toms River United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Pebble Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Waretown United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Toms River United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Pine Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Pineward United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Harvey Cedars United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Barnegat Light United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 19:45 Palm Valley Landing United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 19:45 Palm Valley United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 19:45 Sawgrass United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 19:45 Mickler Landing United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:45 Cedar Reef Villas United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:30 Oakgrove United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:30 Rockville United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:30 Seabrook Island United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:30 Kiawah Island United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:00 Chinquapin United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Jupiter United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Tequesta United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Selhaven United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Blowing Rocks United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Jupiter Inlet Colony United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Juno Ridge United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:15 Juno Beach United States  0.1
18 Oct 2019 00:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Saint Simons United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:15 The Meadows United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Ship Bottom United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Surf City United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Long Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 21:00 Sisal Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 21:00 Chelem Mexico  0.1
18 Oct 2019 00:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
18 Oct 2019 00:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 22:30 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 22:30 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 Spray Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 North Beach Haven United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 Brant Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:45 Matagorda United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 22:45 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 22:45 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 22:45 Port Aransas United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:45 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:30 Daufuskie Landing United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:30 Cooper River Landing United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:30 Fort Screven United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:30 Tybee Island United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:30 South Beach Villas United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:30 Greenwood Forest United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:30 Calibogue Cay United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 16:30 Sea Pines Plantation United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 Holgate United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:30 Beach Haven United States  0.1
18 Oct 2019 00:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.1
18 Oct 2019 00:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
18 Oct 2019 00:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 Caines United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 Quarantine United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 Clambank United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 De Bordieu Colony United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 Hagley Estates United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 True Blue United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 Birds Nest United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 Chapel Creek United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 Pawleys Island United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 Parkersville United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 Annieville United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 North Litchfield Beach United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Barque Haiti  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Lombard Haiti  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:15 Cap-Haitien Haiti  0.1
18 Oct 2019 00:00 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
18 Oct 2019 00:00 Lamar United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:45 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:45 Ingleside United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:45 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:45 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 22:45 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 22:45 Estes United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 22:45 Rockport United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 22:45 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 22:45 Copano Village United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 22:45 Fulton United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 Aubry Haiti  0.1
17 Oct 2019 14:45 Port-au-Prince Haiti  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:45 La Pesca Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 22:45 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:15 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 20:45 Progreso Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 13:00 Salvo United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 13:00 Steeple United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 13:00 Rodanthe United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:45 Beach Haven West United States  0.1
18 Oct 2019 00:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:45 La Presita Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:45 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:45 Hawksbill The Bahamas  0.1
17 Oct 2019 15:45 Freeport The Bahamas  0.1
17 Oct 2019 21:30 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 21:30 Cerrito Mexico  0.1
18 Oct 2019 00:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 22:30 Salinas Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 22:30 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 22:30 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 23:30 Los Pericos Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 22:30 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 21:30 Guerrero Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 21:30 Real de Salinas Mexico  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:15 German Village United States  0.1
17 Oct 2019 17:15 Sea Island United States  0.1