Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for OLGA-19
in United States
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OLGA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Canada, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (26 Oct 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 76 km/h 0.4 m 172 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 97 km/h 0.4 m 322 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

97 km/h

Up to 510 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Canada, Mexico505,154
+
United States363,314 
Canada15 
Mexico141,825 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Oct 2019 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 2 25 Oct 2019 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 3 26 Oct 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Oct 2019 06:00 76 -
- - - - - United States, Canada, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico83,943 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico1,819,515
+
United States147,139 
Mexico1,672,376 
50-100 mmUnited States, Cuba, Mexico9,468,334
+
United States8,894,091 
Cuba03 
Mexico574,240 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Oct 2019 12:00 174 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 2 25 Oct 2019 18:00 111 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 3 26 Oct 2019 00:00 160 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 26 Oct 2019 06:00 265 1.9 million
- - - United States, Cuba, Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Dauphin Island, United States. This height is estimated for 26 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Dauphin Island United States  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Heron Bay United States  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Fort Gaines United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Fort Morgan United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Gulf Highlands United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Cedar Grove United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Gasque United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Oyster Bay United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Bon Secaur United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Oak United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Gulf Shores United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 06:15 Port Fourchon United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Yent Place United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Carrabelle United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Lanark Village United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Eastpoint United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Apalachicola United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Romar Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Orange Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Caswell United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Joesphine United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Perdido Beach United States  0.3
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Perdido Bay United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Paradise Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Chanticleer United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Haven Park United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Sherman Grove United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Quinavista United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Ramsey Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Pleasant Grove United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Sand Cut United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Fort McRee United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Cerny Heights United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Bellview United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Myrtle Grove United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Fort Barrancas United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Warrington United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 West Pensacola United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Sanders Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Pensacola United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Goulding United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Gulf Breeze United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Gaberonne United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Gulf Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Villa Sabine United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Oriole Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Sun N Sand Beaches United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Seminole United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Villa Tasso United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Big Hammock United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Miramar Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Mullet Creek United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Four Mile Village United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Turquoise Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Grosh United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Dune Allen Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Santa Rosa Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Santa Rosa United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Blue Mountain Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Bay View United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Grayton Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Fluffy Landing United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Seagrove Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Choctaw United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Gulf Beach Heights United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Gulf Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Inlet Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Hollywood Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Sunnyside United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Laguna Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Santa Monica United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Gulf Resort Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Lullwater Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 West Bay United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Bahama Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Gulf Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Panama City Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Edgewater Gulf Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Long Beach Resort United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Gulf Lagoon Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Biltmore Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Lower Grand Lagoon United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Upper Grand Lagoon United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Pretty Bayou United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Killian United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Lillian United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 06:30 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 06:30 Grand Isle United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Destin United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Eglin AFB United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Valparaiso United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Bunker United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Alys Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Tiger Point United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Woodlawn Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Holley United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 East Bay United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Baker United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Lynn Haven United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Beacon Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Cove United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Southport United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Cromanton United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Hiland Park United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Cedar Grove United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Fort Walton Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Ocean City United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Garnier United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Shalimar United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Lake Lorraine United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 San Blas United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Springfield United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Panama City United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Parker United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Tyndall AFB United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Old Callaway United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Callaway United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Cook United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 10:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 10:00 Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Mary Esther United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Wright United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Navarre United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Wynnehaven Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Harris United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Elorosa United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Davis Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Allanton United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 McNeils United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Indian Pass United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Mexico Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Overstreet United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:45 Beacon Hill United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Highland View United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Port Saint Joe United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Milltown United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 11:30 Oak Grove United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 10:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 08:45 Buras United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Guerrero Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Real de Salinas Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Celestum Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 08:30 Coconut United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 08:30 Bonita Shores United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 08:30 Naples Park United States  0.2
26 Oct 2019 10:30 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 10:30 San Pedro Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2019 08:45 Port Royal United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 08:45 East Naples United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Wulfert United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Sanibel United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Ybel United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Fort Myers Beach United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 08:45 Captiva United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Tonala Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2019 08:30 Shell Island United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 08:30 Isles of Capri United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 08:30 Marco United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 08:30 Caxambas United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Manasota Key United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Grove City United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Mobile Gardens United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Cape Haze United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Rotonda United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Gasparilla United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Placida United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Boca Grande United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Charlotte Beach United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Bokeelia United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Pineland United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Burrwood United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:15 Sarasota Beach United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:15 Siesta Key United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:15 South Sarasota United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:15 Point O'Rocks United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:15 Ridge Wood Heights United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:15 Gulf Gate Estates United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:15 South Gate Ridge United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:15 Vamo United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:15 Osprey United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:15 Nokomis United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:15 Laurel United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:15 Venice United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:15 South Venice United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:15 Manasota Beach United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:15 Venice Gardens United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:15 Woodmere United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:15 Englewood United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 Longbeach United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 Cortez United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 Longboat Key United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 South Bradenton United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 Bayshore Gardens United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 Whitfield United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 Siesta United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 West Samoset United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 Tallevast United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 Sarasota United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 North Sarasota United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 Southgate United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:15 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 Anna Maria United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 Holmes Beach United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 Ilexhurst United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 Palma Sola United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 West Bradenton United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 Terra Mana United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 Bradenton United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 Palmetto United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:45 Memphis United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 06:45 West Point United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 06:45 Breton United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2019 09:30 Fort De Soto United States  0.1
26 Oct 2019 06:15 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1