Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PABLO-19
in Portugal
28 Oct 2019 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PABLO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United Kingdom, Portugal
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.7 m (27 Oct 01:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Portugal)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 101 km/h 0.0 m 143 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 101 km/h 0.0 m 143 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

101 km/h

Up to 100 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited Kingdom, Portugal99,618
+
United Kingdom30 
Portugal99,588 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Oct 2019 18:00 86 -
- - - - - United Kingdom, Portugal
GREEN 2 26 Oct 2019 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 26 Oct 2019 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Oct 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 26 Oct 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 27 Oct 2019 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 27 Oct 2019 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 27 Oct 2019 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 27 Oct 2019 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 28 Oct 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 28 Oct 2019 06:00 94 -
- - - - - Portugal
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmPortugal30,105 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Oct 2019 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 26 Oct 2019 00:00 39 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 26 Oct 2019 06:00 34 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 26 Oct 2019 12:00 29 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 26 Oct 2019 18:00 40 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 27 Oct 2019 00:00 37 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 27 Oct 2019 06:00 29 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 27 Oct 2019 12:00 33 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 27 Oct 2019 18:00 46 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 28 Oct 2019 00:00 41 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 28 Oct 2019 06:00 140 -
- - - - - Portugal




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

1.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.7m in El Khabta, Morocco. This height is estimated for 27 Oct 2019 01:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Oct 2019 01:15 El Khabta Morocco  1.7
26 Oct 2019 09:15 Tarfaya Morocco  0.8
26 Oct 2019 14:00 Gran Tarajal Spain  0.3
26 Oct 2019 14:00 Teguitar Spain  0.3
26 Oct 2019 14:00 Pozo Negro Spain  0.3
26 Oct 2019 14:00 Las Salinas Spain  0.3
26 Oct 2019 14:00 El Matorral Spain  0.3
27 Oct 2019 05:15 Puerto del Rosario Spain  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 Cedros Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 Horta Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 Ribeirinha Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 Madalena Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 Candelaria Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 S. Mateus Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 Cachorro Portugal  0.3
27 Oct 2019 05:15 Corralejo Spain  0.3
27 Oct 2019 05:15 Puerto Lajas Spain  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 'Companhia de Baixo' Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 Sao Roque do Pico Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 'Lajes' Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 Velas Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 Prainha de Baixo Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 Ribeira Grande Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 Urzelina Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 'Praia do Norte' Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 'Castelo Branco' Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 Ribeirinha Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 'Norte Grande' Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 Manhenha Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 'Ribeira Seca' Portugal  0.3
27 Oct 2019 05:15 Aldea de Chilegua Spain  0.3
27 Oct 2019 05:15 Tarajalejo Spain  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 'Barreiras' Portugal  0.3
27 Oct 2019 05:15 Playa Blanca Spain  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 'Topo' Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 Beira Mar Portugal  0.3
25 Oct 2019 19:45 Santa Cruz da Graciosa Portugal  0.2
27 Oct 2019 05:15 Tias Spain  0.2
27 Oct 2019 05:15 Arrecife Spain  0.2
26 Oct 2019 14:00 Morro Jable Spain  0.2
26 Oct 2019 14:00 Morro del Jable Spain  0.2
28 Oct 2019 12:00 Costa Teguise Spain  0.2
26 Oct 2019 15:45 Biscoitos Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 15:45 Vila Nova Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 15:45 Baia da Vila Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 15:45 Praia da Vitoria Portugal  0.2
27 Oct 2019 20:15 Tinajo Spain  0.2
27 Oct 2019 20:15 La Santa Spain  0.2
27 Oct 2019 20:15 Soo Spain  0.2
27 Oct 2019 20:15 La Caleta Spain  0.2
27 Oct 2019 20:15 Caleta de Sebo Spain  0.2
27 Oct 2019 20:15 Haria Spain  0.2
27 Oct 2019 20:15 Maguez Spain  0.2
27 Oct 2019 20:15 Guinate Spain  0.2
27 Oct 2019 20:15 Guatiza Spain  0.2
27 Oct 2019 20:15 Orzola Spain  0.2
26 Oct 2019 15:45 Santa Barbara Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 15:45 Serreta Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 15:45 Angra do Heroismo Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 15:45 Angra Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 15:45 Feteira Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 14:00 Cofete Spain  0.2
28 Oct 2019 12:15 Isla de Alegranza Spain  0.2
26 Oct 2019 14:00 Puerto de la Cruz Spain  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Relva Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Feteiras Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Ponta Delgada Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:00 S. Vicente Ferreira Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Mosteiros Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Remedios Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Ponte Delgada Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Lagoa Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Ribeira Grande Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Caloura Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Vila Franca do Campo Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Maia Portugal  0.2
28 Oct 2019 12:15 Ponta Delgada Portugal  0.2
28 Oct 2019 12:15 Lajes Portugal  0.2
28 Oct 2019 12:15 Santa Cruz Portugal  0.2
28 Oct 2019 12:15 Flores Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Ponta Garca Portugal  0.2
28 Oct 2019 12:15 Faja Grande Portugal  0.2
28 Oct 2019 12:15 Corvo Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Vila do Porto Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Povoacao Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Sao Lourenco Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Agua Retorta Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:00 Nordeste Portugal  0.2
26 Oct 2019 02:00 Off-shore site 2 United Kingdom  0.2
26 Oct 2019 13:45 Ingenio Spain  0.2
26 Oct 2019 13:45 Telde Spain  0.2
26 Oct 2019 13:45 Melenara Spain  0.2
26 Oct 2019 13:45 Puerto de la Pena Spain  0.1
26 Oct 2019 13:45 Ajui Spain  0.1
26 Oct 2019 13:45 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria Spain  0.1
26 Oct 2019 13:45 Isleta Spain  0.1
26 Oct 2019 13:45 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 San Nicolas Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Tirma Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Sardina Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Guayedra Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Galdar Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Moya Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Toston Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Los Realejos Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 El Medano Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Fasnia Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Guimar Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Samarines Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Candelaria Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Arucas Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Garachico Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Icod de Los Vinos Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 La Guancha Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 San Juan de la Rambla Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Puerto de la Cruz Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 La Orotava Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Santa Ursula Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 La Playa de Mogan Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 La Matanza de Acentejo Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 La Victoria de Acentejo Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 El Sauzal Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Agua-Garcia Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Tacoronte Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Santa Maria del Mar Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Sta.Cruz de Tenerife Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Santa Cruz de Tenerife Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 San Andres Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Tejina Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Bajamar Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Tegueste Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Taborno Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:30 Lomo Bermejo Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:15 Arure Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:15 Acardece Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:15 Vallehermosa Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:15 Agulo Spain  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:15 Hermigua Spain  0.1