Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HIGOS-20
in China

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 191800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 8
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM 2007 HIGOS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 191800UTC 23.5N 109.7E
MOVEMENT WNW 12KT
PRES/VMAX 1004HPA 21KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 191800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 191800UTC 24N 109E
MOVE NW 15KT
PRES 1004HPA =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 191800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 191800UTC 24N 109E
MOVE NW 15KT
PRES 1004HPA =


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 191500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 191500UTC 23.7N 109.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
24HF 201500UTC 26.6N 106.6E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 191500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 191500UTC 23.7N 109.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
24HF 201500UTC 26.6N 106.6E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 191200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 9 FOR TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS HIGOS IS LOCATED AT 23.4N, 110.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT12. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 191200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 7
NAME 2007 HIGOS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 191200UTC 23.1N 110.9E
MOVEMENT WNW 10KT
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 35KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 200000UTC 23.9N 108.6E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1004HPA 21KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 191200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 191200UTC 23.4N 110.4E FAIR
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
24HF 201200UTC 26.5N 106.9E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 191200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 191200UTC 23.4N 110.4E FAIR
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
24HF 201200UTC 26.5N 106.9E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 191200
WARNING 191200.
WARNING VALID 201200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2007 HIGOS (2007) 1002 HPA
AT 23.4N 110.4E SOUTH CHINA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 25.1N 108.5E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 26.5N 106.9E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1006 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 190900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 190900UTC 23.0N 111.5E FAIR
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
24HF 200900UTC 26.1N 107.2E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 190900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 190900UTC 23.0N 111.5E FAIR
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
24HF 200900UTC 26.1N 107.2E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 190745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 190600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM HIGOS (2007) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (23.0 N) ONE
ONE TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (112.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHEAST QUADRANT, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS TROPICAL STORM WILL BE ISSUED
BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION
TAKES PLACE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 200600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 190600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS HIGOS IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 22.8N, 112.0E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
998HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN
AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND.
GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE
CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE
OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT12. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 190600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 6
NAME 2007 HIGOS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 190600UTC 22.6N 111.8E
MOVEMENT WNW 11KT
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 35KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 191800UTC 23.5N 109.5E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1004HPA 21KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 190600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 190600UTC 22.8N 112.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
24HF 200600UTC 25.6N 107.6E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 190600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 190600UTC 22.8N 112.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
24HF 200600UTC 25.6N 107.6E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 190600
WARNING 190600.
WARNING VALID 200600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2007 HIGOS (2007) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL
STORM 998 HPA
AT 22.8N 112.0E SOUTH CHINA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 24.6N 109.5E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 25.6N 107.6E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1006 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 190300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 190300UTC 22.5N 112.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
24HF 200300UTC 25.1N 107.6E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 190300
WARNING 190300.
WARNING VALID 200300.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2007 HIGOS (2007) 996 HPA
AT 22.5N 112.7E SOUTH CHINA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 191500UTC AT 23.9N 110.1E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200300UTC AT 25.1N 107.6E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1006 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 190300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 190300UTC 22.5N 112.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
24HF 200300UTC 25.1N 107.6E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 190300
WARNING ATCG MIL 08W NWP 200819012211
2020081900 08W HIGOS 006 01 315 10 SATL RADR SYNP XTRP 015
T000 223N 1130E 040 R034 055 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 235N 1108E 025
T024 247N 1085E 020
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 08W (HIGOS) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (HIGOS) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190000Z --- NEAR 22.3N 113.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR, SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N 113.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 23.5N 110.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 24.7N 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
190300Z POSITION NEAR 22.6N 112.5E.
19AUG20. TROPICAL STORM 08W (HIGOS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 67 NM
WEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
//
0820081600 173N1244E 15
0820081606 174N1242E 15
0820081612 176N1238E 15
0820081618 184N1230E 15
0820081700 190N1217E 20
0820081706 194N1207E 20
0820081712 197N1196E 20
0820081718 200N1179E 25
0820081800 204N1166E 30
0820081806 207N1157E 40
0820081812 212N1148E 50
0820081812 212N1148E 50
0820081818 216N1138E 55
0820081818 216N1138E 55
0820081900 223N1130E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 190300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08W (HIGOS) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (HIGOS) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190000Z --- NEAR 22.3N 113.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR, SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N 113.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 23.5N 110.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 24.7N 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
190300Z POSITION NEAR 22.6N 112.5E.
19AUG20. TROPICAL STORM 08W (HIGOS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 67 NM
WEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MSI AND COMPOSITE RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES
THE SYSTEM HAS MADE LANDFALL APPROXIMATELY 52NM WEST-SOUTHWEST HONG
KONG AND BEGUN TO RAPIDLY ERODE. INITIAL POSITION BASED ON DEFINED
LLC ON RADAR WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. INITIAL INTENSITY IS EXTRAPOLATED
FROM NEARBY OBSERVATIONS AND REFLECTS THE RAPID DECAY. TS 08W WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK FURTHER INLAND OVER RUGGED TERRAIN AND DISSIPATE
BY TAU 24 DUE TO FRICTIONAL EFFECTS. NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN TIGHT
AGREEMENT LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 190000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 7 FOR STS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS HIGOS IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 22.2N, 113.0E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
992HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
ELONGATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC.
GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND
WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE
OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 190145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 190000 UTC, TYPHOON HIGOS (2007) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (22.2 N) ONE ONE THREE
POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (113.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHEAST QUADRANT, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 15 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHEAST QUADRANT, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 200000 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (24.8 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (108.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 210000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 190000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 5
NAME 2007 HIGOS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 190000UTC 22.3N 113.0E
MOVEMENT NW 16KT
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 191200UTC 23.6N 110.4E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 190000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 190000UTC 22.2N 113.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 100NM EAST 60NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 200000UTC 24.7N 108.3E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 190000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 190000UTC 22.2N 113.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 100NM EAST 60NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 200000UTC 24.7N 108.3E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 190000
WARNING 190000.
WARNING VALID 200000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2007 HIGOS (2007) 992 HPA
AT 22.2N 113.0E SOUTH CHINA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 23.5N 110.5E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 24.7N 108.3E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1006 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 182245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 182100 UTC, TYPHOON HIGOS (2007) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO ONE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (21.9 N) ONE ONE THREE
POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (113.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 30 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 15 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 192100 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (24.0 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (109.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 202100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 182100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 182100UTC 21.8N 113.5E FAIR
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 100NM EAST 60NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 192100UTC 24.3N 108.8E 57NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 182100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 182100UTC 21.8N 113.5E FAIR
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 100NM EAST 60NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 192100UTC 24.3N 108.8E 57NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 182100
WARNING 182100.
WARNING VALID 192100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2007 HIGOS (2007) 992 HPA
AT 21.8N 113.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 190900UTC AT 23.1N 111.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 192100UTC AT 24.3N 108.8E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 182100
WARNING ATCG MIL 08W NWP 200818193136
2020081818 08W HIGOS 005 01 295 10 SATL RADR XTRP 020
T000 216N 1138E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 226N 1117E 035 R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 236N 1092E 020
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 08W (HIGOS) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (HIGOS) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181800Z --- NEAR 21.6N 113.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N 113.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 22.6N 111.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 23.6N 109.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
182100Z POSITION NEAR 21.9N 113.3E.
18AUG20. TROPICAL STORM 08W (HIGOS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 48 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 181800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z, 190900Z AND
191500Z.//
0820081600 173N1244E 15
0820081606 174N1242E 15
0820081612 176N1238E 15
0820081618 184N1230E 15
0820081700 190N1217E 20
0820081706 194N1207E 20
0820081712 197N1196E 20
0820081718 200N1179E 25
0820081800 204N1166E 30
0820081806 207N1157E 40
0820081812 212N1148E 50
0820081812 212N1148E 50
0820081818 216N1138E 55
0820081818 216N1138E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 182100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 08W (HIGOS) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (HIGOS) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181800Z --- NEAR 21.6N 113.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N 113.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 22.6N 111.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 23.6N 109.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
182100Z POSITION NEAR 21.9N 113.3E.
18AUG20. TROPICAL STORM 08W (HIGOS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 48 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 181800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z, 190900Z AND
191500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 181800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 6 FOR STS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS HIGOS IS LOCATED AT 21.6N, 113.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. IT HAS ALSO DEVELOPED RAPIDLY
OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE
CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT12. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT12 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE
OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 181800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 4
NAME 2007 HIGOS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 181800UTC 21.6N 113.8E
MOVEMENT WNW 12KT
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 47KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 190600UTC 22.5N 111.8E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 39KT
24HR
POSITION 191800UTC 23.6N 109.4E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1002HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 181800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2007 HIGOS (2007) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 181800UTC 21.6N 113.8E FAIR
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 100NM EAST 60NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 191800UTC 23.8N 109.2E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 181800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2007 HIGOS (2007) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 181800UTC 21.6N 113.8E FAIR
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 100NM EAST 60NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 191800UTC 23.8N 109.2E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 181800
WARNING 181800.
WARNING VALID 191800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2007 HIGOS (2007) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM
996 HPA
AT 21.6N 113.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 22.6N 111.8E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 23.8N 109.2E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 181645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 181500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM HIGOS (2007) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3
N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (114.3 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10
KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 191500 UTC
TWO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (22.7 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (109.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 201500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 181500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 181500UTC 21.3N 114.4E FAIR
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 100NM NORTHEAST 60NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 191500UTC 23.1N 109.6E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 201200UTC 23.8N 105.5E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 181500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 181500UTC 21.3N 114.4E FAIR
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 100NM NORTHEAST 60NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 191500UTC 23.1N 109.6E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 201200UTC 23.8N 105.5E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 181200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 5 FOR TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS HIGOS IS LOCATED AT 21.2N, 114.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS
OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. DMSP-F15/SSMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE
CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL
WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 181500
WARNING ATCG MIL 08W NWP 200818130829
2020081812 08W HIGOS 004 01 300 08 SATL 030
T000 211N 1149E 045 R034 070 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 219N 1127E 050 R050 020 NE QD 015 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 229N 1105E 030
T036 237N 1083E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 08W (HIGOS) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (HIGOS) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181200Z --- NEAR 21.1N 114.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 114.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 21.9N 112.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 22.9N 110.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 23.7N 108.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
181500Z POSITION NEAR 21.3N 114.3E.
18AUG20. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (HIGOS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
82 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z, 190300Z,
190900Z AND 191500Z.//
0820081600 173N1244E 15
0820081606 174N1242E 15
0820081612 176N1238E 15
0820081618 184N1230E 15
0820081700 190N1217E 20
0820081706 194N1207E 20
0820081712 197N1196E 20
0820081718 200N1179E 25
0820081800 204N1166E 30
0820081806 207N1157E 40
0820081812 211N1149E 45
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 181500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (HIGOS) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181200Z --- NEAR 21.1N 114.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 114.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 21.9N 112.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 22.9N 110.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 23.7N 108.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
181500Z POSITION NEAR 21.3N 114.3E.
18AUG20. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (HIGOS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
82 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z, 190300Z,
190900Z AND 191500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 181200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 3
NAME 2007 HIGOS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 181200UTC 21.2N 114.9E
MOVEMENT WNW 8KT
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 190000UTC 21.7N 112.9E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
24HR
POSITION 191200UTC 22.8N 110.5E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 37KT
36HR
POSITION 200000UTC 23.6N 108.4E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 181200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 181200UTC 21.2N 114.9E GOOD
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 191200UTC 22.9N 110.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 201200UTC 23.8N 105.5E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 181200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 181200UTC 21.2N 114.9E GOOD
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 191200UTC 22.9N 110.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 201200UTC 23.8N 105.5E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 181200
WARNING 181200.
WARNING VALID 191200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2007 HIGOS (2007) 1000 HPA
AT 21.2N 114.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 21.7N 112.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 22.9N 110.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 23.8N 105.5E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1006 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 181045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 180900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM HIGOS (2007) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (21.0 N) ONE ONE
FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (115.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 190900 UTC
TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (22.3 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (111.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 200900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 180900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 180900UTC 21.1N 115.2E FAIR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 190900UTC 22.2N 110.6E 42NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 200600UTC 23.1N 104.7E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 180900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 180900UTC 21.1N 115.2E FAIR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 190900UTC 22.2N 110.6E 42NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 200600UTC 23.1N 104.7E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 180900
WARNING ATCG MIL 08W NWP 200818083202
2020081806 08W EIGHT 003 01 290 10 SATL 030
T000 206N 1156E 040 R034 085 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 212N 1134E 050 R034 070 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 221N 1112E 040 R034 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 229N 1091E 025
T048 236N 1070E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 08W (EIGHT) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (EIGHT) WARNING NR 003
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180600Z --- NEAR 20.6N 115.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N 115.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 21.2N 113.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 22.1N 111.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 22.9N 109.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 23.6N 107.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
180900Z POSITION NEAR 20.8N 115.1E.
18AUG20. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (EIGHT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
129 NM SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z, 182100Z,
190300Z AND 190900Z.
//
0820081600 173N1244E 15
0820081606 174N1242E 15
0820081612 176N1238E 15
0820081618 184N1230E 15
0820081700 190N1217E 20
0820081706 194N1207E 20
0820081712 197N1196E 20
0820081718 200N1179E 25
0820081800 203N1166E 30
0820081806 206N1156E 40

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 180900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (EIGHT) WARNING NR 003
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180600Z --- NEAR 20.6N 115.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N 115.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 21.2N 113.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 22.1N 111.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 22.9N 109.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 23.6N 107.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
180900Z POSITION NEAR 20.8N 115.1E.
18AUG20. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (EIGHT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
129 NM SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z, 182100Z,
190300Z AND 190900Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 180600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 4 FOR TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS HIGOS IS LOCATED AT 20.5N, 115.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE
CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 180745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 180600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM HIGOS (2007) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 994 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N) ONE ONE
SIX POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (116.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 190600 UTC
TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (22.0 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (111.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 200600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 180600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 2
NAME 2007 HIGOS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 180600UTC 20.6N 115.9E
MOVEMENT WNW 8KT
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 181800UTC 21.0N 113.6E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
24HR
POSITION 190600UTC 21.5N 111.3E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
36HR
POSITION 191800UTC 22.0N 108.9E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 35KT
48HR
POSITION 200600UTC 22.4N 107.2E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1002HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 180600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 180600UTC 20.5N 115.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 190600UTC 21.8N 111.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 200600UTC 23.1N 104.7E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 180600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 180600UTC 20.5N 115.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 190600UTC 21.8N 111.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 200600UTC 23.1N 104.7E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 180600
WARNING 180600.
WARNING VALID 190600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2007 HIGOS (2007) 1000 HPA
AT 20.5N 115.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 21.1N 113.5E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 21.8N 111.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 23.1N 104.7E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 180445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 180300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM HIGOS (2007) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (20.3 N) ONE
ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (116.4 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 190300 UTC
TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (112.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 200300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 180300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 180300UTC 20.0N 116.4E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 190300UTC 21.1N 112.1E 42NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 200000UTC 22.3N 107.4E 110NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 180300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 180300UTC 20.0N 116.4E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 190300UTC 21.1N 112.1E 42NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 200000UTC 22.3N 107.4E 110NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 180300
WARNING ATCG MIL 08W NWP 200818012418
2020081800 08W EIGHT 002 01 285 13 SATL XTRP 025
T000 203N 1166E 030
T012 209N 1143E 040 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 214N 1125E 045 R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 222N 1103E 030
T048 229N 1082E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (EIGHT) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (EIGHT) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180000Z --- NEAR 20.3N 116.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N 116.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 20.9N 114.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 21.4N 112.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 22.2N 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 22.9N 108.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
180300Z POSITION NEAR 20.5N 116.0E.
18AUG20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (EIGHT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM
SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z
IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z, 181500Z, 182100Z AND 190300Z.//
0820081600 173N1244E 15
0820081606 174N1242E 15
0820081612 176N1238E 15
0820081618 184N1230E 15
0820081700 190N1217E 20
0820081706 194N1207E 20
0820081712 197N1196E 20
0820081718 200N1179E 25
0820081800 203N1166E 30
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 180300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (EIGHT) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (EIGHT) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180000Z --- NEAR 20.3N 116.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N 116.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 20.9N 114.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 21.4N 112.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 22.2N 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 22.9N 108.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
180300Z POSITION NEAR 20.5N 116.0E.
18AUG20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (EIGHT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM
SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z
IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z, 181500Z, 182100Z AND 190300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 180000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 3 FOR TS 2007 HIGOS (2007)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
A TD PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 19.8N, 118.4E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS
(HIGOS) STATUS. TS HIGOS IS LOCATED AT 20.1N, 116.7E. INFORMATION
ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND MICROWAVE
IMAGERY. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA
AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE
SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE
MAINLAND BY FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS
LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 180000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 1
NAME 2007 HIGOS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 180000UTC 20.1N 117.0E
MOVEMENT WNW 12KT
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 35KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 181200UTC 20.6N 114.8E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 37KT
24HR
POSITION 190000UTC 21.2N 112.4E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
36HR
POSITION 191200UTC 21.7N 110.2E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 37KT
48HR
POSITION 200000UTC 22.1N 107.9E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 180000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 180000UTC 20.1N 116.7E FAIR
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 190000UTC 21.1N 112.3E 70NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 200000UTC 22.3N 107.4E 110NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 180000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2007 HIGOS (2007) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 180000UTC 20.1N 116.7E FAIR
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 190000UTC 21.1N 112.3E 70NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 200000UTC 22.3N 107.4E 110NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 180000
WARNING 180000.
WARNING VALID 190000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2007 HIGOS (2007) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
1000 HPA
AT 20.1N 116.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 20.6N 114.6E WITH 52 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 21.1N 112.3E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 22.3N 107.4E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 172100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (EIGHT) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (EIGHT) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171800Z --- NEAR 19.9N 118.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N 118.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 20.3N 116.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 21.0N 114.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 21.6N 112.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 22.4N 110.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 23.2N 107.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
172100Z POSITION NEAR 20.0N 118.0E.
17AUG20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (EIGHT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
285 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 171800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z, 180900Z, 181500Z
AND 182100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 172100
WARNING ATCG MIL 08W NWP 200817193456
2020081718 08W EIGHT 001 01 280 10 SATL XTRP 030
T000 199N 1186E 025
T012 203N 1161E 035 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 210N 1140E 040 R034 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 216N 1121E 045 R034 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 224N 1100E 030
T072 232N 1078E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (EIGHT) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (EIGHT) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171800Z --- NEAR 19.9N 118.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N 118.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 20.3N 116.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 21.0N 114.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 21.6N 112.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 22.4N 110.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 23.2N 107.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
172100Z POSITION NEAR 20.0N 118.0E.
17AUG20. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (EIGHT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
285 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 171800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z, 180900Z, 181500Z
AND 182100Z.//
0820081600 173N1244E 15
0820081606 174N1242E 15
0820081612 176N1238E 15
0820081618 184N1230E 15
0820081700 190N1217E 20
0820081706 194N1207E 20
0820081712 197N1196E 20
0820081718 199N1186E 25
NNNN

>