Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for ERNESTO-12 in Belize, Mexico from 03 Aug 2012 03:00 UTC to 10 Aug 2012 09:00 UTC

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Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ERNESTO-12

in Belize, Mexico

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone ERNESTO-12 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID	TC 31651
Name	ERNESTO-12
Glide number:	TC-2012-000133-BLZ
From - To	03 Aug - 10 Aug
Exposed countries	Belize, Mexico
Exposed population	230 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	148 km/h Category 1
Maximum storm surge	1.9 m (08 Aug 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Belize)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
JRC	56 km/h	1.9 m	n.a.	0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF	n.a	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.
GFS	n.a	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.
ECMWF	n.a	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.

Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.

Virtual OSOCC

Meteo assessment

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Analytical products

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Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Articles: 967 | About casualties: 110 | Last hour: 0

Hurricane hits coast of MexicoTue, 14 Aug 2012 07:10:00 +0200.

HURRICANE Ernesto has come ashore on Mexico's Caribbean coast near the border with Belize, after hundreds of tourists left beach resorts and fishermen abandoned low-lying villages to avoid the ...

Ernesto death toll in Mexico reaches 11Tue, 14 Aug 2012 01:57:00 +0200.

Ernesto killed 11 people after hitting Mexico as a hurricane, Mexican authorities said as the storm death toll continued to rise. Ernesto dissipated on Friday over the country’s mountainous southern regions, although heavy rain associated w

...(more)

Freshwater Layers in Seas Found to Speed Up HurricanesTue, 14 Aug 2012 00:24:00 +0200.

Earth’s most powerful storms sometimes called hurricanes or typhoons but collectively known to scientists as tropical cyclones remain dangerously unpredictable. And what’s most mysterious about tropical cyclones is what we would most like t

...(more)

Hurricane Season Stakes Raised by NOAAMon, 13 Aug 2012 06:58:00 +0200.

NOAA raises hurricane season prediction despite expected El Niño, updated outlook calls for near- or above-normal Atlantic season. This year’s Atlantic

View more news

Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Analytical products

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (46), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),

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