Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FILIPO-24
in Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi
03 Mar 2024 12 UTC
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Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone FILIPO-24 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
    Glide number: TC-2024-000032-MOZ
    Exposed countries Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 158 km/h
    Maximum storm surge n.a.
    Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 116 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
    Overall 158 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

    Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France
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    Wind

      116 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 3 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 03 Mar 2024 06:00 63 No people No people
        Green 2 03 Mar 2024 12:00 116 3 million No people Madagascar

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Category
          (WMO/RSMC) **           		Max winds
          (km/h)
          (WMO/RSMC)           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 03 Mar 2024 06:00 Tropical storm 63 no people no people Tropical Depression 56 -11.8, 51.6
          GREEN
          		 2 05 Mar 2024 18:00 Tropical storm 63 no people 25000 people Tropical Depression 56 -19.7, 41.1
          GREEN
          		 2 06 Mar 2024 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 320000 people Moderate Tropical Storm 65 -21.5, 40.9
          GREEN
          		 2 06 Mar 2024 18:00 Tropical storm 84 no people 600000 people Moderate Tropical Storm 74 -23.2, 41
          GREEN
          		 2 07 Mar 2024 06:00 Tropical storm 116 no people 920000 people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -24.1, 41.3
          GREEN
          		 2 07 Mar 2024 18:00 Tropical storm 116 no people 1.4 million people Severe Tropical Storm 102 -24.8, 41.7
          GREEN
          		 2 08 Mar 2024 06:00 Tropical storm 106 no people 2.5 million people Severe Tropical Storm 93 -25.3, 42.2
          GREEN
          		 2 08 Mar 2024 18:00 Tropical storm 95 no people 2.9 million people Moderate Tropical Storm 83 -25.8, 42.9
          GREEN
          		 2 09 Mar 2024 06:00 Tropical storm 84 no people no people Moderate Tropical Storm 74 -26, 43.8
          **
          Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Madagascar 2.9 million people

          Provinces

          Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Toliara Madagascar 2.9 million people

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Morombe Toliara Madagascar City -
          Tulear Toliara Madagascar Major city -
          Tolanaro Madagascar City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Morombe MXM 5 Civ. Paved No 4200
          Betioky BKU unknown 0
          Toliara TLE 8 Civ. Paved No 6500
          Bekily OVA 387 Civ. Unpaved No 4100
          Tolagnaro FTU 8 Civ. Paved No 5900
          Ampanihy AMP 235 Civ. Unpaved No 3600

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Morombe MGMXM Madagascar
          Manombo MGMOB Madagascar
          Toliara MGTLE Madagascar
          Tolanaro MGFTU Madagascar
          Faux Cap Madagascar
          Androka MGADK Madagascar
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.