Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for CARLOTTA-12 in Mexico from 14 Jun 2012 09:00 UTC to 16 Jun 2012 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for CARLOTTA-12

in Mexico

16 Jun 2012 03 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CARLOTTA-12 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2012-000104-MEX
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	1.3 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	175 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (16 Jun 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	148 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	175 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

TOP

Wind

148 km/h Current Max.

Up to 440000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	14 Jun 2012 03:00	121	No people	No people	Mexico
2	14 Jun 2012 09:00	130	No people	No people	Mexico
3	14 Jun 2012 15:00	148	No people	No people	Mexico
4	14 Jun 2012 21:00	148	No people	110 thousand	Mexico
5	15 Jun 2012 03:00	148	No people	5 thousand	Mexico
6	15 Jun 2012 09:00	148	No people	2 thousand	Mexico
7	15 Jun 2012 15:00	158	No people	340 thousand	Mexico
8	15 Jun 2012 21:00	175	No people	410 thousand	Mexico
9	16 Jun 2012 03:00	148	No people	440 thousand	Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	6/14/2012 3:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	9.4, -92.4
2	6/14/2012 9:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	10.3, -93.3
3	6/14/2012 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	10.9, -93.6
4	6/14/2012 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	11.8, -94.2
5	6/15/2012 3:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	101	no people	no people	12.5, -94.7
6	6/15/2012 9:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	13.2, -95.3
7	6/15/2012 3:00:00 PM	Category 1	130	no people	310000 people	14, -96	Mexico
8	6/15/2012 9:00:00 PM	Category 2	167	180000 people	1.8 million people	14.8, -96.3	Mexico
9	6/16/2012 3:00:00 AM	Category 1	148	410000 people	2.8 million people	15.9, -97.2	Mexico
9	6/16/2012 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	111	770000 people	3.1 million people	16.5, -98	Mexico
9	6/17/2012 12:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	260000 people	1.2 million people	17.5, -99.5	Mexico
9	6/18/2012	Tropical depression	47	55000 people	1.3 million people	17.5, -100	Mexico
9	6/19/2012	Tropical depression	37	240000 people	1.1 million people	17, -100	Mexico
9	6/20/2012	Tropical depression	37	140000 people	2.2 million people	17, -99.5	Mexico
9	6/21/2012	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	17, -99	Mexico

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
Mexico	Oaxaca
Mexico	Guerrero

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Jamiltepec	Oaxaca	Mexico	City	9800 people
Zacatepec	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	4400 people
La Reforma	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Cacahuatepec	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	3600 people
Huanjintepec	Guerrero	Mexico	Village	-
Ixtayutla	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Santa Cruz Zenzontepec	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Alto de las Mesas	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
San Juan Bautista lo de Soto	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Huanacastle	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Jicayan	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	4200 people
Pueblo Viejo	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
El Cacao	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Pinotepa	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
San Andres	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Ixpantepec	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Panixtlahuaca	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	5600 people
Zacatepec	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Santa Lucía Teotepec	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
San Francisco	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Yegüey	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
La Perla	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Tiltepec	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
San Pedro Mixtepec	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Bajos de Chila	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Puerto Escondido	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	19000 people
Chagues	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Paso Hondo	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Cuixtla	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Colotepec	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Agua Fría	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Cosoltepec	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Tlachicón	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Coyote	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
La Redonda	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Puerto Ángel	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Achiotes	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Aguacate	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Barranca Honda	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Carrizal	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Chico Ometepec	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Cinco Cerros	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Ciruelo	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Cofradía	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Cumbre	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
El Platanillo	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Ipalapa	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Lachao	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
La Tuza	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Lo de Liborio	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Pie Cerro	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
Piedra Ancha	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
San Cristóbal	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-
San Jacinto	Oaxaca	Mexico	Village	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Puerto Escondido	PXM	88	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7500
Pinotepa Nacional	PNO	unknown

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Puerto Angel		Mexico
Punta Escondida		Mexico

TOP

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

TOP

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Puerto Escondido, Mexico. This height is estimated for 16 Jun 2012 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (51 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 10 of 16 Jun 2012 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 2 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Jun 2012 03:00	Puerto Escondido	Mexico	0.6
	16 Jun 2012 02:00	Chagues	Mexico	0.5
	16 Jun 2012 00:00	La Redonda	Mexico	0.4
	16 Jun 2012 02:00	Tlachicon	Mexico	0.4
	16 Jun 2012 03:00	Paso Hondo	Mexico	0.4
	16 Jun 2012 05:00	Bajos de Chila	Mexico	0.4
	16 Jun 2012 07:00	La Tuza	Mexico	0.3
	16 Jun 2012 08:00	Pie Cerro	Mexico	0.3
	15 Jun 2012 22:00	Lagarto	Mexico	0.2
	16 Jun 2012 00:00	Bajo de Arenal	Mexico	0.2
	16 Jun 2012 00:00	Costa Rica	Mexico	0.2
	16 Jun 2012 01:00	Loma Larga	Mexico	0.2
	16 Jun 2012 01:00	Puerto Angel	Mexico	0.2
	16 Jun 2012 02:00	Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	16 Jun 2012 10:00	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	16 Jun 2012 13:00	Marquelia	Mexico	0.2
	16 Jun 2012 13:00	Copala	Mexico	0.2
	16 Jun 2012 17:00	Chicapa		0.2
	15 Jun 2012 22:00	Salina Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 00:00	Garrapateras	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 00:00	Majada Villalobos	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 00:00	Ayutla	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 00:00	Mirador	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 00:00	Tangolunda	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 03:00	Coatzacoalcos	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 03:00	Las Barrillas	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 15:00	Mauricio Gutierrez	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 16:00	Tenixtepec	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 16:00	Pasito de la Senora	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 16:00	Boqueron	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 17:00	Laja	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 17:00	La Mata	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 17:00	El Naranjal	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 17:00	Tamiahua	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 17:00	Cabo Rojito	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 17:00	El Tular	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 17:00	Solo Dios	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 17:00	Buenavista	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 17:00	Arista	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 17:00	Cachimba	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 17:00	El Roble	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 17:00	Huajapan	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 17:00	San Dionisio del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 18:00	San Francisco del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 18:00	La Majada	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 18:00	Pesqueria	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 18:00	Santa Maria Xandani	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 19:00	San Pedro	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 19:00	Monte de Oro	Mexico	0.1
	16 Jun 2012 23:00	Francisco I. Madero	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2012 02:00	El Marques	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.