Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SEBASTIEN-19
in Portugal, Ireland, United Kingdom,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SEBASTIEN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Portugal, Ireland, United Kingdom,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (20 Nov 13:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Portugal)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 102 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 130 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

102 km/h Current Max.

Up to 33000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 19 Nov 2019 15:00 83 No people No people
Green 2 19 Nov 2019 21:00 102 No people No people
Green 3 20 Nov 2019 03:00 102 No people No people
Green 4 20 Nov 2019 09:00 102 No people No people
Green 5 20 Nov 2019 15:00 111 No people No people
Green 6 20 Nov 2019 21:00 111 No people No people
Green 7 21 Nov 2019 03:00 120 No people No people
Green 8 21 Nov 2019 09:00 130 4 thousand No people Portugal
Green 9 21 Nov 2019 15:00 130 20 thousand No people Portugal
Green 10 21 Nov 2019 21:00 120 50 thousand No people Portugal
Green 11 22 Nov 2019 03:00 102 No people No people
Green 12 22 Nov 2019 09:00 93 No people No people
Green 13 22 Nov 2019 15:00 83 No people No people
Green 14 22 Nov 2019 21:00 93 No people No people
Green 15 23 Nov 2019 03:00 102 No people No people
Green 16 23 Nov 2019 09:00 102 3 thousand No people Portugal
Green 17 23 Nov 2019 15:00 102 250 thousand No people Portugal
Green 18 23 Nov 2019 21:00 102 110 thousand No people Portugal
Green 19 24 Nov 2019 03:00 102 30 thousand No people Portugal

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 19 Nov 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 20.1, -58.7
GREEN
2 19 Nov 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 20.6, -59.7
GREEN
3 20 Nov 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 20.7, -60.6
GREEN
4 20 Nov 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 21, -61
GREEN
5 20 Nov 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 21.1, -61.7
GREEN
6 20 Nov 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 21.7, -61.5
GREEN
7 21 Nov 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 22.2, -61.5
GREEN
8 21 Nov 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 23, -61.2
GREEN
9 21 Nov 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 23.5, -60.5
GREEN
10 21 Nov 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 23.8, -59.7
GREEN
11 22 Nov 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 24.7, -57.8
GREEN
12 22 Nov 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 24.8, -57
GREEN
13 22 Nov 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 25.2, -55.3
GREEN
14 22 Nov 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 26.2, -53.7
GREEN
15 23 Nov 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 27, -52.2
GREEN
16 23 Nov 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 27.8, -50.6
GREEN
17 23 Nov 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 30.4, -47.7
GREEN
18 23 Nov 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 32.4, -45.4
GREEN
19 24 Nov 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 34.4, -43.1
GREEN
19 24 Nov 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 5600 people 37, -38.7 Portugal
GREEN
19 25 Nov 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 33000 people 40.1, -31.1 Portugal
GREEN
19 25 Nov 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 43.9, -22.3
GREEN
19 26 Nov 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 48, -14.5
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Portugal

Provinces

Region Province Country
Azores Portugal

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Flores FLW 34 Civ. Paved No 4500
Corvo Island CVU unknown 0
Horta HOR 35 Civ. Paved Yes 5500
Pico PIX 34 Civ. Paved No 4700
Sao Jorge SJZ 95 Civ. Paved No 4200
Graciosa GRW 26 Civ. Paved No 4300

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Lajes Das Flores PTLAJ Portugal
Santa Cruz Portugal
Vila Nova Portugal
Horta PTHOR Portugal
Madalena Pico Portugal
Velas Sao Jorge Portugal
Santa Cruz Portugal

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Mandal, Virgin Islands. This height is estimated for 20 Nov 2019 13:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (158 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 19 of 24 Nov 2019 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Mandal Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Bolongo Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Donoe Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Benner Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Contant Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Adrian Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Fish Bay Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Belle Vue British Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Annaberg Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Bordeaux Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Calabash Boom Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Hermitage Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 East End Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Road Town British Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Pacham Town British Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Spanish Town British Virgin Islands  0.2
24 Nov 2019 23:00 Ponta Delgada Portugal  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Adelphi Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Neltjeberg Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Cabritaberg Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Barrett Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Charlotte Amalie Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Enighed Virgin Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Bellevue Virgin Islands  0.2
24 Nov 2019 23:00 Corvo Portugal  0.2
24 Nov 2019 23:00 Faja Grande Portugal  0.2
24 Nov 2019 23:00 Santa Cruz Portugal  0.1
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Codrington Antigua and Barbuda  0.1
24 Nov 2019 23:00 Lajes Portugal  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Leap Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Unionhall Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Glandore Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Connonagh Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Reanascreena Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ross Carberry Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Rathbarry Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Lisavaird Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Clonakilty Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 North Ring Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Timoleague Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Butlerstown Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Courtmacsherry Ireland  0.1
20 Nov 2019 13:00 The Settlement British Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 13:00 La Retraite Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Coolie Block Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Dibe Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Port-of-Spain Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
20 Nov 2019 13:00 California Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
20 Nov 2019 13:00 La Pastora Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Carapichaima Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Hermitage Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Cacandee Settlement Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Las Cuevas Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Blanchisseuse Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
24 Nov 2019 23:00 Flores Portugal  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ballynacallagh Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Caherdaniel Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Cahermore Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Allihies Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ballydonegan Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Castlecove Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Urhan Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Eyeries Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ballycrovane Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Castletownbere Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ardgroom Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ballynakilla Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Collorus Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Curryglass Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Rerrin Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Caher Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ballyroon Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Crookhaven Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Goleen Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Kilcrohane Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Dunmanus Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Toormore Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Schull Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ballydehob Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Rossbrin Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Baltimore Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Creagh Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Skibbereen Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Kilbrittain Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Innishannon Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ballinadee Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ballinspittle Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Dunderrow Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Lispatrick Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Kinsale Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Belgooly Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ballyfeard Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Minane Bridge Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Crosshaven Ireland  0.1
20 Nov 2019 13:00 Plaisance Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
20 Nov 2019 13:00 San Fernando Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
25 Nov 2019 23:00 Off-shore site 2 United Kingdom  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Adrigole Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Carrigaline Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Passage West Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Monkstown Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ringaskiddy Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 An Cobh Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Whitegate Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Aghada Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Gyleen Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Rostellan Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ballinacurra Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Churchtown Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Shanagarry Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ballycotton Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Garryvoe Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ballymacoda Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Youghal Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Clashmore Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Grange Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ardmore Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Dun Garbhan Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Loskeran Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ringville Ireland  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:00 Point Fortin Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:00 Parry Lands Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:00 Los Bajos Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
20 Nov 2019 12:00 Morne Diablo Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
20 Nov 2019 14:00 Cuajaracume Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2019 14:00 Cauca Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2019 14:00 Codore Adentro Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2019 14:00 Los Taques Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2019 14:00 Ocorote Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2019 14:00 Adaro Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2019 14:00 El Cardon Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2019 14:00 Punta Cardon Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2019 14:00 Punto Fijo Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2019 14:00 Rio Seco Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2019 14:00 Las Piedras Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2019 14:00 Guanadito Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2019 14:00 Algodones Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2019 14:00 Tiguajada Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2019 14:00 Arajo Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2019 14:00 Caujarito Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2019 14:00 Matacan Venezuela  0.1
20 Nov 2019 14:00 Cayude Venezuela  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Stradbally Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ballylaneen Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Bunmahon Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Kill Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Annestown Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Fenor Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Tra Mhor Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Woodstown Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Dunmore East Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Cheekpoint Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Passage East Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Ballyhack Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Arthurstown Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Campile Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Duncannon Ireland  0.1
26 Nov 2019 00:00 Churchtown Ireland  0.1