Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone for PHANFONE-19 in Philippines from 21 Dec 2019 18:00 UTC to 28 Dec 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone for PHANFONE-19

in Philippines

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PHANFONE-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2019-000176-PHL
Exposed countries	Philippines
Exposed population	4.5 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	176 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1 m (24 Dec 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	46 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	176 km/h	1.0 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

46 km/h Current Max.

Up to 25.3 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	21 Dec 2019 18:00	120	22.1 million	2.4 million	Philippines
2	22 Dec 2019 00:00	120	20.9 million	2 million	Philippines
3	22 Dec 2019 06:00	139	20.2 million	3.4 million	Philippines
4	22 Dec 2019 12:00	130	22.2 million	1.8 million	Philippines
5	22 Dec 2019 18:00	120	14.9 million	1.7 million	Philippines
6	23 Dec 2019 00:00	120	18.5 million	1.3 million	Philippines
7	23 Dec 2019 06:00	120	20.1 million	450 thousand	Philippines
8	23 Dec 2019 12:00	130	20.6 million	790 thousand	Philippines
9	23 Dec 2019 18:00	130	19.7 million	1.8 million	Philippines
10	24 Dec 2019 00:00	139	22 million	1.7 million	Philippines
11	24 Dec 2019 06:00	148	22.2 million	2.6 million	Philippines
12	24 Dec 2019 12:00	167	23.6 million	4.1 million	Philippines
13	24 Dec 2019 18:00	167	23.7 million	4.5 million	Philippines
14	25 Dec 2019 00:00	176	24 million	4.5 million	Philippines
15	25 Dec 2019 06:00	176	23.9 million	4.5 million	Philippines
16	25 Dec 2019 12:00	167	25.3 million	4.5 million	Philippines
17	25 Dec 2019 18:00	157	25.3 million	4.5 million	Philippines
18	26 Dec 2019 00:00	148	25.3 million	4.5 million	Philippines
19	26 Dec 2019 06:00	148	25.3 million	4.5 million	Philippines
20	26 Dec 2019 12:00	139	25.3 million	4.5 million	Philippines
21	26 Dec 2019 18:00	139	25.3 million	4.5 million	Philippines
22	27 Dec 2019 00:00	130	25.3 million	4.5 million	Philippines
23	27 Dec 2019 06:00	111	25.3 million	4.5 million	Philippines
24	27 Dec 2019 12:00	93	25.3 million	4.5 million	Philippines
25	27 Dec 2019 18:00	83	25.3 million	4.5 million	Philippines
26	28 Dec 2019 00:00	65	25.3 million	4.5 million	Philippines
27	28 Dec 2019 06:00	56	25.3 million	4.5 million	Philippines
28	28 Dec 2019 12:00	46	25.3 million	4.5 million	Philippines
29	28 Dec 2019 18:00	46	25.3 million	4.5 million	Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	21 Dec 2019 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	6.1, 139.7
2	22 Dec 2019 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	6.7, 139
3	22 Dec 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	10000 people	7.9, 138.1	Palau
4	22 Dec 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	8700 people	8.9, 136.8
5	22 Dec 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	<1000 people	9.3, 135.6
6	23 Dec 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	9.5, 134
7	23 Dec 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	9.8, 132.2
8	23 Dec 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	10.6, 130.8
9	23 Dec 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	450000 people	10.8, 129.5	Philippines
10	24 Dec 2019 00:00	Category 1	130	800000 people	10.8 million people	10.8, 127.6	Philippines
11	24 Dec 2019 06:00	Category 1	148	1.8 million people	15.9 million people	11.1, 126.5	Philippines
12	24 Dec 2019 12:00	Category 2	167	3.4 million people	21.3 million people	11.4, 124.8	Philippines
13	24 Dec 2019 18:00	Category 2	167	1.9 million people	21.2 million people	11.7, 123.4	Philippines
14	25 Dec 2019 00:00	Category 2	176	950000 people	12.2 million people	11.8, 122.4	Philippines
15	25 Dec 2019 06:00	Category 2	176	290000 people	2.8 million people	12.1, 121.3	Philippines
16	25 Dec 2019 12:00	Category 2	167	no people	2.8 million people	12.7, 120.2	Philippines
17	25 Dec 2019 18:00	Category 2	157	no people	310000 people	12.8, 119.4	Philippines
18	26 Dec 2019 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	13.1, 118.6
19	26 Dec 2019 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	13.4, 118
20	26 Dec 2019 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	13.9, 117.6
21	26 Dec 2019 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	14.4, 117.3
22	27 Dec 2019 00:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	14.7, 116.9
23	27 Dec 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	14.9, 116.5
24	27 Dec 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	15, 116.2
25	27 Dec 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	14.9, 115.8
26	28 Dec 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	14.5, 115.2
27	28 Dec 2019 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.5, 113.9
28	28 Dec 2019 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	14.4, 113
29	28 Dec 2019 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	14.6, 112.1
29	29 Dec 2019 06:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	15, 110.7
29	29 Dec 2019 18:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	16, 109.9

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.