Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for CRISTOBAL-20
in United States, Mexico, Canada, Belize, Guatemala

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTOBAL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico, Canada, Belize, Guatemala
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.6 m (07 Jun 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Guatemala)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 65 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 93 km/h 1.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 14.2 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 01 Jun 2020 21:00 93 2.1 million No people Mexico
Green 2 02 Jun 2020 03:00 93 2.6 million No people Mexico
Green 3 02 Jun 2020 09:00 102 1.9 million No people Mexico
Green 4 02 Jun 2020 15:00 102 990 thousand No people Mexico
Green 5 02 Jun 2020 21:00 102 3.5 million No people Mexico, United States
Green 6 03 Jun 2020 03:00 102 7.3 million No people Mexico, Guatemala, United States
Green 7 03 Jun 2020 09:00 102 5.9 million No people Mexico, Guatemala, United States
Green 8 03 Jun 2020 15:00 102 5.2 million No people Mexico, Guatemala, United States
Green 9 03 Jun 2020 21:00 102 5.9 million No people Mexico, Guatemala, United States
Green 10 04 Jun 2020 03:00 93 10.1 million No people Mexico, Guatemala, United States
Green 11 04 Jun 2020 09:00 93 13.4 million No people Mexico, Guatemala, Belize, United States
Green 12 04 Jun 2020 15:00 93 14.9 million No people Mexico, Guatemala, United States
Green 13 04 Jun 2020 21:00 93 13.1 million No people Guatemala, Mexico, United States
Green 14 05 Jun 2020 03:00 93 12.6 million No people Guatemala, Mexico, United States
Green 15 05 Jun 2020 09:00 93 13.6 million No people Mexico, Guatemala, United States
Green 16 05 Jun 2020 15:00 93 11.3 million No people Mexico, Guatemala, United States
Green 17 05 Jun 2020 21:00 93 14.7 million No people Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, United States
Green 18 06 Jun 2020 03:00 93 16.3 million No people Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, United States
Green 19 06 Jun 2020 09:00 93 14.6 million No people Mexico, United States, Belize, Guatemala
Green 20 06 Jun 2020 15:00 93 14.1 million No people Mexico, United States, Belize, Guatemala
Green 21 06 Jun 2020 21:00 93 13.3 million No people United States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 22 07 Jun 2020 03:00 93 16.5 million No people United States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 23 07 Jun 2020 09:00 83 15 million No people United States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 24 07 Jun 2020 15:00 83 15.1 million No people United States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 25 07 Jun 2020 21:00 83 16 million No people United States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Green 26 08 Jun 2020 03:00 74 14.6 million No people United States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Canada
Green 27 08 Jun 2020 09:00 65 14.1 million No people United States, Mexico, Canada, Belize, Guatemala
Green 28 08 Jun 2020 15:00 65 14.2 million No people United States, Mexico, Canada, Belize, Guatemala

Bulletin Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 01 Jun 2020 21:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 19.6, -91.2
GREEN
2 02 Jun 2020 03:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 19.6, -91.9
GREEN
3 02 Jun 2020 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 19.6, -92.1
GREEN
4 02 Jun 2020 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 19.5, -92.6
GREEN
5 02 Jun 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2.4 million people 19.1, -92.5
GREEN
6 03 Jun 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 690000 people 19.1, -92.3
GREEN
7 03 Jun 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 470000 people 18.9, -92
GREEN
8 03 Jun 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 570000 people 18.6, -92
GREEN
9 03 Jun 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 720000 people 18.3, -91.8
GREEN
10 04 Jun 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 790000 people 18.3, -91.8
GREEN
11 04 Jun 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 500000 people 17.9, -91.3
GREEN
12 04 Jun 2020 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.6, -91
GREEN
13 04 Jun 2020 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.5, -90.8
GREEN
14 05 Jun 2020 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.8, -90.4
GREEN
15 05 Jun 2020 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 18.8, -90.1
GREEN
16 05 Jun 2020 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 2.9 million people 20, -89.9
GREEN
17 05 Jun 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 4.6 million people 21.4, -89.7
GREEN
18 06 Jun 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 3.8 million people 22.7, -90.1
GREEN
19 06 Jun 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 1.9 million people 23.8, -90.2
GREEN
20 06 Jun 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.5 million people 24.2, -90.1
GREEN
21 06 Jun 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 150000 people 25.2, -90.2
GREEN
22 07 Jun 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 2.6 million people 26.2, -90.2
GREEN
23 07 Jun 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 4.9 million people 27.3, -90.1
GREEN
24 07 Jun 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 7.4 million people 28.7, -90
GREEN
25 07 Jun 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 7.8 million people 29.1, -89.9
GREEN
26 08 Jun 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 8 million people 30.3, -90.2
GREEN
27 08 Jun 2020 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 31, -91.2
GREEN
28 08 Jun 2020 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 32.5, -91.8
GREEN
28 09 Jun 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 34.3, -92.3
GREEN
28 09 Jun 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 38, -91.8
GREEN
28 10 Jun 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 42.4, -90.4
GREEN
28 10 Jun 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 48000 people 47.4, -87.7
GREEN
28 11 Jun 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 57000 people 51.1, -84.4
GREEN
28 11 Jun 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 140000 people 52.2, -82.3
GREEN
28 12 Jun 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 51.5, -77.5
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.