Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for NISARGA-20
in India
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Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NISARGA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2020-000135-IND
Exposed countries India
Exposed population 13.5 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (03 Jun 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 120 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 139 km/h 1.2 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

120 km/h Current Max.

Up to 13.5 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 83 48.5 million No people India
Orange 2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 102 55.2 million No people India
Red 3 03 Jun 2020 06:00 139 74.3 million 10.6 million India
Red 4 03 Jun 2020 12:00 120 86.3 million 13.5 million India

Bulletin Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
ORANGE
1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 34.1 million people 17, 71.7 India
ORANGE
2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 38.5 million people 17.2, 72.1 India
RED
3 03 Jun 2020 06:00 Category 1 139 10.6 million people 61.9 million people 17.9, 72.9 India
RED
4 03 Jun 2020 12:00 Category 1 120 8.6 million people 70.5 million people 19.1, 73.7 India
ORANGE
4 04 Jun 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 21.6 million people 21, 75.8 India
GREEN
4 04 Jun 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 22.7, 78.2 India
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.