Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone for HAGUPIT-20
in China, Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HAGUPIT-20 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries China, Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea
Exposed population 8.5 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.8 m (03 Aug 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)
Landfall between
04 Aug 2020 06:00 - 04 Aug 2020 12:00

in China

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 46 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 139 km/h 1.8 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

46 km/h Current Max.

Up to 65.3 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 01 Aug 2020 00:00 83 72 million No people Japan, China
Orange 2 01 Aug 2020 06:00 65 160 million No people Japan, China, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea
Orange 3 01 Aug 2020 12:00 65 114.4 million No people Japan, China, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea
Orange 4 01 Aug 2020 18:00 65 192.4 million No people Japan, China, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea
Green 5 02 Aug 2020 00:00 83 127 million No people Japan, China
Green 6 02 Aug 2020 06:00 93 125.3 million No people Japan, China
Green 7 02 Aug 2020 12:00 102 153.2 million No people Japan, China
Orange 8 02 Aug 2020 18:00 65 211.1 million No people Japan, China, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea
Orange 9 03 Aug 2020 00:00 120 205.3 million 4.7 million China
Orange 10 03 Aug 2020 06:00 120 178.7 million 16.7 million China
Orange 11 03 Aug 2020 12:00 139 202.7 million 18 million China
Orange 12 03 Aug 2020 18:00 130 144.3 million 15.6 million China
Green 13 04 Aug 2020 00:00 83 116.4 million 8.5 million China
Green 14 04 Aug 2020 06:00 56 65.3 million 8.5 million China
Green 15 04 Aug 2020 12:00 46 65.3 million 8.5 million China

Bulletin Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 01 Aug 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 20, 128.8
GREEN
2 01 Aug 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 20.9, 127.9
GREEN
3 01 Aug 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 21.5, 126.9
GREEN
4 01 Aug 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 61000 people 22, 126.1
GREEN
5 02 Aug 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 100000 people 22.6, 125
GREEN
6 02 Aug 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 590000 people 23.2, 124.6
GREEN
7 02 Aug 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 9.5 million people 23.5, 124.3
GREEN
8 02 Aug 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 10.4 million people 24.2, 124 Japan
GREEN
9 03 Aug 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 23.3 million people 25, 123.6
ORANGE
10 03 Aug 2020 06:00 Category 1 120 2.7 million people 45.1 million people 26.3, 122.5
ORANGE
11 03 Aug 2020 12:00 Category 1 139 8.6 million people 49 million people 26.8, 121.7
ORANGE
12 03 Aug 2020 18:00 Category 1 130 15.6 million people 65.5 million people 27.8, 121.1
GREEN
13 04 Aug 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 72 million people 28.8, 120.5 China
GREEN
14 04 Aug 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 29.8, 120.3 China
GREEN
15 04 Aug 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 30.8, 120.2 China
GREEN
15 05 Aug 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 33.5, 120.7 China
GREEN
15 05 Aug 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 36.3, 122.8
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.