Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for HAISHEN-20 in Democratic Republic of Korea, Republic of Korea, Japan, China, from 31 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC to 07 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for HAISHEN-20

in Democratic Republic of Korea, Republic of Korea, Japan, China,

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HAISHEN-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2020-000178-PRK
Exposed countries	Democratic Republic of Korea, Republic of Korea, Japan, China,
Exposed population	29.9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	250 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.5 m (06 Sep 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (North Korea)
Landfall	between 07 Sep 2020 06:00 - 07 Sep 2020 12:00 in Democratic Republic of Korea

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	65 km/h	1.0 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	250 km/h	1.5 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 178 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	31 Aug 2020 12:00	157	Few people	No people
2	31 Aug 2020 18:00	213	300 thousand	No people	Japan
3	01 Sep 2020 00:00	222	8.1 million	No people	Japan
4	01 Sep 2020 06:00	204	23.3 million	2.1 million	Japan
5	01 Sep 2020 12:00	222	54.5 million	7.8 million	Japan
6	01 Sep 2020 18:00	222	76 million	15.2 million	Japan, Republic of Korea
7	02 Sep 2020 00:00	222	84 million	19.4 million	Japan, Republic of Korea
8	02 Sep 2020 06:00	222	93.2 million	42.8 million	Japan, Republic of Korea
9	02 Sep 2020 12:00	222	111.8 million	48.1 million	Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea
10	02 Sep 2020 18:00	222	162.1 million	50.6 million	Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea, China
11	03 Sep 2020 00:00	222	185.9 million	60.7 million	Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea, China
12	03 Sep 2020 06:00	213	167.8 million	55.2 million	Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea, China
13	03 Sep 2020 12:00	204	180 million	60.8 million	Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea, China
14	03 Sep 2020 18:00	194	174.7 million	57.7 million	Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea, China
15	04 Sep 2020 00:00	222	134 million	37 million	Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea
16	04 Sep 2020 06:00	222	177.3 million	14.3 million	Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea, China
17	04 Sep 2020 12:00	204	189.5 million	54.8 million	Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea, China
18	04 Sep 2020 18:00	167	162.1 million	24.3 million	Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea
19	05 Sep 2020 00:00	157	107.5 million	16.7 million	Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea, China
20	05 Sep 2020 06:00	130	219.2 million	18.2 million	Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea, China
21	05 Sep 2020 12:00	148	212.1 million	14.5 million	Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea
22	05 Sep 2020 18:00	102	94.9 million	2.4 million	Japan, Republic of Korea
23	06 Sep 2020 00:00	130	157.9 million	16.6 million	Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea
24	06 Sep 2020 06:00	111	192.1 million	17.2 million	Japan, Republic of Korea
25	06 Sep 2020 12:00	139	209.7 million	20 million	Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea
26	06 Sep 2020 18:00	157	200.7 million	60.6 million	Japan, Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea
27	07 Sep 2020 00:00	120	101.1 million	31.2 million	Republic of Korea, Japan, Democratic Republic of Korea
28	07 Sep 2020 06:00	111	167.4 million	29.9 million	Republic of Korea, Democratic Republic of Korea, Japan
29	07 Sep 2020 12:00	65	178 million	29.9 million	Democratic Republic of Korea, Republic of Korea, Japan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	31 Aug 2020 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	22.9, 145.8
2	31 Aug 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	22.1, 144.9
3	01 Sep 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	21.8, 144.5
4	01 Sep 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	20.9, 144.4
5	01 Sep 2020 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	20.5, 144.1
6	01 Sep 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	20.2, 143.2
7	02 Sep 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	19.3, 142.4
8	02 Sep 2020 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	19.2, 141.3
9	02 Sep 2020 12:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	19.5, 140.4
10	02 Sep 2020 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	20.1, 139.3
11	03 Sep 2020 00:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	20.2, 138.5
12	03 Sep 2020 06:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	20.7, 137.7
13	03 Sep 2020 12:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	21, 136.5
14	03 Sep 2020 18:00	Category 4	231	no people	no people	21.2, 135.8
15	04 Sep 2020 00:00	Category 4	250	no people	no people	21.7, 135.1
16	04 Sep 2020 06:00	Category 4	250	no people	2100 people	22.2, 134.3
17	04 Sep 2020 12:00	Category 4	250	no people	2100 people	22.7, 133.5
18	04 Sep 2020 18:00	Category 4	250	2100 people	1.3 million people	23.3, 132.7
19	05 Sep 2020 00:00	Category 4	231	2100 people	1.4 million people	24, 132
20	05 Sep 2020 06:00	Category 4	213	2100 people	1.4 million people	24.6, 131.5
21	05 Sep 2020 12:00	Category 4	213	93000 people	3 million people	25.4, 131
22	05 Sep 2020 18:00	Category 3	194	100000 people	12.6 million people	26.3, 130.7
23	06 Sep 2020 00:00	Category 2	176	230000 people	28.8 million people	27.5, 130.3
24	06 Sep 2020 06:00	Category 2	176	2.7 million people	49.1 million people	29.3, 130
25	06 Sep 2020 12:00	Category 2	176	14.1 million people	94 million people	30.9, 129.4
26	06 Sep 2020 18:00	Category 2	157	60.5 million people	108.9 million people	33.2, 129.1	Japan
27	07 Sep 2020 00:00	Category 1	120	15.1 million people	99.5 million people	35.5, 128.9	Republic of Korea
28	07 Sep 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	120.2 million people	38.3, 129
29	07 Sep 2020 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	123.1 million people	40.7, 128.9	Democratic Republic of Korea
29	08 Sep 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	52.9 million people	44, 128.5	China
29	08 Sep 2020 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	45.7, 128.3	China

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

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While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.