Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for NANA-20
in Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 120 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (03 Sep 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Belize)
Landfall between
03 Sep 2020 21:00 - 04 Sep 2020 03:00

in Guatemala, Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 46 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 120 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

46 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1.8 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 01 Sep 2020 15:00 93 1.7 million No people Honduras, Belize, Guatemala
Green 2 01 Sep 2020 17:00 120 1.5 million 50 thousand Belize, Guatemala
Green 3 01 Sep 2020 21:00 120 2.1 million 80 thousand Belize, Guatemala
Green 4 02 Sep 2020 03:00 120 5 million No people Honduras, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala
Orange 5 02 Sep 2020 09:00 120 2.7 million 100 thousand Belize, Guatemala
Green 6 02 Sep 2020 15:00 111 4.1 million No people Honduras, Belize, Mexico, Guatemala
Green 7 02 Sep 2020 21:00 111 3.4 million No people Honduras, Belize, Guatemala, Mexico
Green 8 03 Sep 2020 03:00 120 2 million 20 thousand Belize, Guatemala
Green 9 03 Sep 2020 09:00 111 2.9 million 20 thousand Belize
Green 10 03 Sep 2020 15:00 74 2.7 million 20 thousand Belize
Green 11 03 Sep 2020 21:00 56 1.8 million 20 thousand Belize
Green 12 04 Sep 2020 03:00 46 1.8 million 20 thousand Belize

Bulletin Timeline

Level Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 01 Sep 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.1, -77.5
GREEN
2 01 Sep 2020 17:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 16.6, -77.9
GREEN
3 01 Sep 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 16.8, -79.3
GREEN
4 02 Sep 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 17, -80.9
GREEN
5 02 Sep 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 36000 people 17, -82.7
GREEN
6 02 Sep 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 100000 people 17.1, -84.6
GREEN
7 02 Sep 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 520000 people 17, -85.9
GREEN
8 03 Sep 2020 03:00 Category 1 120 24000 people 730000 people 17, -87.5
GREEN
9 03 Sep 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 1.4 million people 16.7, -88.8 Belize
GREEN
10 03 Sep 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 1.9 million people 16.4, -90.3 Guatemala, Mexico
GREEN
11 03 Sep 2020 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16, -91.1 Guatemala, Mexico
GREEN
12 04 Sep 2020 03:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 15.6, -92 Guatemala, Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Guatemala
Mexico
Belize
Honduras

Provinces

Region Province Country
Huehuetenango Guatemala
Chiapas Mexico
Quiche Guatemala
Alta Verapaz Guatemala
Peten Guatemala
Izabal Guatemala
Toledo Belize
Cayo Belize
Orange Walk Belize
Stann Creek Belize
Cortes Honduras
Belize Belize
Atlantida Honduras
Corozal Belize
Islas de la Bahia Honduras
Colon Honduras

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
El Achiotal Alta Verapaz Guatemala City -
Lívingston Izabal Guatemala City -
Puerto Barrios Izabal Guatemala City 56000 people
Belmopan Cayo Belize Capital 13000 people
Stann Creek Town Stann Creek Belize City -
Belize City Belize Belize City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Rubelsanto RUV 130 0
Inta Northeast 155 0
Santa Elena FRS 128 Civ. Paved Yes 10000
Poptun PON 505 Civ. Unpaved No 6800
Uaxactun UAX unknown 0
Melchor de Mencos MCR unknown 0
Punta Gorda PND unknown 0
Puerto Barrios PBR 10 Civ. Paved No 8900
Independence INB unknown 0
Dangriga DGA unknown 0
Silver Creek SVK unknown 0
Melinda MDB unknown 0
Philip S. W. Goldson International BZE 5 Civ. Paved Yes 7100
Caye Chapel CYC unknown 0
San Pedro SPR 1 0
Utila Island UII unknown 0
Roatan Island RTB 2 Civ. Paved Yes 6300
Guanaja GJA 11 0
Islas del Cisne 12 Civ. Unpaved No 4600

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Livingston GTLIV Guatemala
Puerto Barrios GTPBR Guatemala
Stann Creek Belize
Belize BZBZE Belize
Utila Island Honduras
Puerto Este Honduras
Coxen Bay Honduras
Puerto Castilla HNPCA Honduras
Guanaja Island HNGJA Honduras
Islas Santanilla Honduras

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Mullins, Belize. This height is estimated for 03 Sep 2020 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (130 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 10 of 03 Sep 2020 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Sep 2020 07:00 Mullins Belize  0.6
03 Sep 2020 06:00 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.5
03 Sep 2020 07:00 Freetown Area Belize  0.5
03 Sep 2020 07:00 Commerce Bight Village Belize  0.5
03 Sep 2020 18:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.4
03 Sep 2020 18:00 El Volcancillo Honduras  0.4
03 Sep 2020 08:00 Maya Beach Belize  0.3
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Dapat Honduras  0.3
02 Sep 2020 02:00 Kaski Honduras  0.3
03 Sep 2020 16:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.3
03 Sep 2020 16:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.3
03 Sep 2020 16:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2020 16:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2020 18:00 Murucagua Honduras  0.3
03 Sep 2020 18:00 La Union El Salvador  0.3
02 Sep 2020 02:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.3
03 Sep 2020 16:00 Gualora Honduras  0.2
03 Sep 2020 16:00 Condega Honduras  0.2
03 Sep 2020 17:00 Petacaltepe Nicaragua  0.2
03 Sep 2020 17:00 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.2
03 Sep 2020 17:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.2
03 Sep 2020 16:00 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.2
01 Sep 2020 17:00 Brazalitta Jamaica  0.2
03 Sep 2020 10:00 Monkey River Belize  0.2
03 Sep 2020 16:00 Guerrero El Salvador  0.2
03 Sep 2020 12:00 New Haven Belize  0.2
01 Sep 2020 17:00 Mahoe Gardens Jamaica  0.2
02 Sep 2020 02:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.2
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Canco Honduras  0.2
04 Sep 2020 03:00 Majahual Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2020 17:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2020 17:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2020 16:00 El Cacao El Salvador  0.2
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Punta Igauna Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Palmarejo Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Santa Rita Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 El Guere Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Cabimas Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 El Mene Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Las Mucuras Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 00:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.1
02 Sep 2020 00:00 Uhi Honduras  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 El Socorro Cuba  0.1
03 Sep 2020 20:00 Santeneja Belize  0.1
04 Sep 2020 01:00 Calderas Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2020 16:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Punta de Leiva Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 El Canito Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.1
02 Sep 2020 00:00 Kanko Honduras  0.1
04 Sep 2020 01:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2020 16:00 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.1
01 Sep 2020 19:00 El Bebedero Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Chiman Panama  0.1
03 Sep 2020 16:00 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.1
03 Sep 2020 16:00 El Puente Nicaragua  0.1
03 Sep 2020 16:00 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.1
03 Sep 2020 15:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2020 16:00 Canoguero El Salvador  0.1
03 Sep 2020 15:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Mocobila Honduras  0.1
02 Sep 2020 04:00 Tunas de Zaza Cuba  0.1
03 Sep 2020 16:00 Linda Vista Nicaragua  0.1
03 Sep 2020 16:00 El Realejo Nicaragua  0.1
03 Sep 2020 16:00 Puerto el Barquito Nicaragua  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Pedregalito Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 San Antonio Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 La Pica Roja Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Agua Clara Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Brujas Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Guera Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Pava Grande Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 03:00 Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
03 Sep 2020 16:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.1
03 Sep 2020 16:00 Venecia Nicaragua  0.1
03 Sep 2020 16:00 Jiquilillo Nicaragua  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Punta Alegre Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Buena Vista Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Sebolleta Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Mogocenega Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Perrecenega Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Bajo Grande Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 El Encanto Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 La Palma Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Bavo Grande Panama  0.1
03 Sep 2020 10:00 Canton Pimiental El Salvador  0.1
03 Sep 2020 16:00 La Herradura El Salvador  0.1
03 Sep 2020 16:00 El Zapote El Salvador  0.1
03 Sep 2020 16:00 Corral de Mulas El Salvador  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.1
02 Sep 2020 02:00 Punto Miranda Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 02:00 El Aceituno Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Haticos del Sur Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 El Cucharal Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Jaguecito Venezuela  0.1
01 Sep 2020 16:00 Alley Jamaica  0.1
02 Sep 2020 00:00 Palmarejo Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 00:00 El Bajo Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 00:00 Bajo Grande Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 00:00 Barrancas Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 00:00 Punta Gordo Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 00:00 La Vaca Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 00:00 El Porvenir Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 00:00 Ciuiad Ojeda Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 00:00 San Matias Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 00:00 Lagunillas Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 00:00 Cabeza de Toro Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Saboga Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Boca de Torin Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Chinina Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Chepillo Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Casaya Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Boca de Pacora Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Rio Chico Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Sabaneta Panama  0.1
02 Sep 2020 21:00 Black Rock Honduras  0.1
03 Sep 2020 10:00 Alabama Wharf Belize  0.1
03 Sep 2020 23:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2020 16:00 El Tanque Nicaragua  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
02 Sep 2020 01:00 Huarta Honduras  0.1
02 Sep 2020 00:00 Claura Honduras  0.1
03 Sep 2020 10:00 Cangrejera El Salvador  0.1
03 Sep 2020 16:00 Hacienda La Chepona El Salvador  0.1
03 Sep 2020 16:00 Agua El Salvador  0.1
02 Sep 2020 02:00 Altagracia Venezuela  0.1
02 Sep 2020 02:00 Las Playitas Venezuela  0.1