Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for GONI-20
in Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GONI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2020-000214-PHL
Exposed countries Philippines
Exposed population 24.4 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 315 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.6 m (01 Nov 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)
Landfall between
05 Nov 2020 18:00 - 06 Nov 2020 00:00

in Viet Nam

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 56 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 315 km/h 1.6 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

56 km/h Current Max.

Up to 54.8 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 167 53.6 million 24 million Philippines
Red 2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 194 50.1 million 25.8 million Philippines
Orange 3 28 Oct 2020 12:00 148 50.4 million 2.3 million Philippines
Red 4 28 Oct 2020 18:00 194 51.2 million 2.2 million Philippines
Red 5 29 Oct 2020 00:00 222 49.7 million 6.5 million Philippines
Red 6 29 Oct 2020 06:00 231 53.2 million 6.5 million Philippines
Red 7 29 Oct 2020 12:00 213 48.2 million 6.1 million Philippines
Red 8 29 Oct 2020 18:00 231 51.4 million 6.1 million Philippines
Red 9 30 Oct 2020 00:00 231 51 million 6.2 million Philippines
Red 10 30 Oct 2020 06:00 222 54 million 3.5 million Philippines
Red 11 30 Oct 2020 12:00 231 55.7 million 6.8 million Philippines
Red 12 30 Oct 2020 18:00 259 61.7 million 21.9 million Philippines
Red 13 31 Oct 2020 00:00 278 58.9 million 26.4 million Philippines
Red 14 31 Oct 2020 06:00 259 62.7 million 26.2 million Philippines
Red 15 31 Oct 2020 12:00 287 57 million 10.3 million Philippines
Red 16 31 Oct 2020 18:00 315 53.5 million 11.5 million Philippines
Red 17 01 Nov 2020 00:00 213 58.2 million 10.3 million Philippines
Orange 18 01 Nov 2020 06:00 139 58.4 million 17.8 million Philippines
Green 19 01 Nov 2020 12:00 111 55.9 million 24.4 million Philippines
Green 20 01 Nov 2020 18:00 102 62.9 million 24.4 million Philippines
Green 21 02 Nov 2020 00:00 83 59.2 million 24.4 million Philippines
Green 22 02 Nov 2020 06:00 74 59.6 million 24.4 million Philippines
Green 23 02 Nov 2020 12:00 74 58.2 million 24.4 million Philippines
Green 24 02 Nov 2020 18:00 74 57.6 million 24.4 million Philippines
Green 25 03 Nov 2020 00:00 65 54.8 million 24.4 million Philippines
Green 26 03 Nov 2020 06:00 65 54.8 million 24.4 million Philippines
Green 27 03 Nov 2020 12:00 65 54.8 million 24.4 million Philippines
Green 28 03 Nov 2020 18:00 65 54.8 million 24.4 million Philippines
Green 29 04 Nov 2020 00:00 65 54.8 million 24.4 million Philippines
Green 30 04 Nov 2020 06:00 65 55.3 million 24.4 million Philippines
Green 31 04 Nov 2020 12:00 65 59.3 million 24.4 million Philippines
Green 32 04 Nov 2020 18:00 74 60.5 million 24.4 million Philippines
Green 33 05 Nov 2020 00:00 74 57.5 million 24.4 million Philippines
Green 34 05 Nov 2020 06:00 65 56.4 million 24.4 million Philippines
Green 35 05 Nov 2020 12:00 56 54.8 million 24.4 million Philippines
Green 36 05 Nov 2020 18:00 56 54.8 million 24.4 million Philippines
Green 37 06 Nov 2020 00:00 56 54.8 million 24.4 million Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.6, 140.1
GREEN
2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.6, 139.5
GREEN
3 28 Oct 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.6, 138.7
GREEN
4 28 Oct 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.6, 137.5
GREEN
5 29 Oct 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 16.5, 136.6
GREEN
6 29 Oct 2020 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 16.8, 135.8
GREEN
7 29 Oct 2020 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 16.7, 134.6
GREEN
8 29 Oct 2020 18:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 16.3, 133.4
GREEN
9 30 Oct 2020 00:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 16.3, 132.7
GREEN
10 30 Oct 2020 06:00 Category 5 278 no people no people 16.3, 131.6
GREEN
11 30 Oct 2020 12:00 Category 5 287 no people no people 16.1, 130.9
GREEN
12 30 Oct 2020 18:00 Category 5 287 no people no people 15.8, 129.9
GREEN
13 31 Oct 2020 00:00 Category 5 296 no people 120000 people 15.3, 128.8
GREEN
14 31 Oct 2020 06:00 Category 5 287 no people 6.5 million people 14.7, 127.6
RED
15 31 Oct 2020 12:00 Category 5 287 330000 people 8 million people 14.2, 126.5
RED
16 31 Oct 2020 18:00 Category 5 315 4.5 million people 42.1 million people 13.7, 125.1
RED
17 01 Nov 2020 00:00 Category 4 213 10.1 million people 49.3 million people 13.5, 123.6 Philippines
ORANGE
18 01 Nov 2020 06:00 Category 1 139 14 million people 50.6 million people 13.6, 122.5 Philippines
GREEN
19 01 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 40.8 million people 14.1, 121.2 Philippines
GREEN
20 01 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 41.7 million people 14.7, 119.5
GREEN
21 02 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 4.5 million people 14.9, 118.5
GREEN
22 02 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.3, 118
GREEN
23 02 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.1, 116.8
GREEN
24 02 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15.1, 115.8
GREEN
25 03 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.8, 115.4
GREEN
26 03 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.7, 115.1
GREEN
27 03 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.7, 114.6
GREEN
28 03 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.6, 114.2
GREEN
29 04 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.4, 113.4
GREEN
30 04 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.4, 113.3
GREEN
31 04 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people 14.3, 112.6
GREEN
32 04 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.2, 112.5
GREEN
33 05 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14, 111.9
GREEN
34 05 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1.6 million people 14, 111.4
GREEN
35 05 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14, 111.2
GREEN
36 05 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14, 110.3
GREEN
37 06 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.9, 109.2 Viet Nam
GREEN
37 06 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 13.6, 106.8 Cambodia
GREEN
37 07 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 13.3, 104.5 Cambodia
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.