Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for ASTANI-20 in China, Philippines, Viet Nam, Cambodia, Laos, from 29 Oct 2020 12:00 UTC to 07 Nov 2020 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for ASTANI-20

in China, Philippines, Viet Nam, Cambodia, Laos,

07 Nov 2020 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ASTANI-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2020-000214-PHL
Exposed countries	China, Philippines, Viet Nam, Cambodia, Laos,
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	102 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (07 Nov 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	46 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	102 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

46 km/h Current Max.

Up to 12.1 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	29 Oct 2020 12:00	185	No people	No people
2	29 Oct 2020 18:00	185	No people	No people
3	30 Oct 2020 00:00	185	No people	No people
4	30 Oct 2020 06:00	176	No people	No people
5	30 Oct 2020 12:00	167	No people	No people
6	30 Oct 2020 18:00	167	No people	No people
7	31 Oct 2020 00:00	194	1 thousand	No people	Philippines
8	31 Oct 2020 06:00	194	3.5 million	No people	Philippines
9	31 Oct 2020 12:00	148	No people	No people
10	31 Oct 2020 18:00	148	6 million	No people	Philippines
11	01 Nov 2020 00:00	139	10.2 million	1.4 million	Philippines
12	01 Nov 2020 06:00	157	6.4 million	50 thousand	Philippines
13	01 Nov 2020 12:00	148	3.2 million	9 thousand	Philippines
14	01 Nov 2020 18:00	148	6.4 million	980 thousand	Philippines
15	02 Nov 2020 00:00	139	4.1 million	7 thousand	Philippines
16	02 Nov 2020 06:00	139	440 thousand	3 thousand	Philippines, China
17	02 Nov 2020 12:00	120	70 thousand	7 thousand	Philippines, China
18	02 Nov 2020 18:00	120	14.7 million	No people	Philippines, China
19	03 Nov 2020 00:00	111	600 thousand	No people	Philippines, China
20	03 Nov 2020 06:00	111	510 thousand	No people	Philippines
21	03 Nov 2020 12:00	102	610 thousand	No people	Philippines
22	03 Nov 2020 18:00	111	7 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam, Laos, Cambodia
23	04 Nov 2020 00:00	102	6.2 million	No people	Philippines, Viet Nam
24	04 Nov 2020 06:00	120	6.6 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam
25	04 Nov 2020 12:00	130	12.6 million	3 thousand	Philippines, China, Viet Nam, Cambodia
26	04 Nov 2020 18:00	130	3.9 million	20 thousand	Philippines, China
27	05 Nov 2020 00:00	130	5.5 million	3 thousand	Philippines, China
28	05 Nov 2020 06:00	130	18.5 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam, Cambodia
29	05 Nov 2020 12:00	120	22.7 million	No people	China
30	05 Nov 2020 18:00	93	56.3 million	No people	Philippines, China
31	06 Nov 2020 00:00	102	7.5 million	No people	Philippines, China
32	06 Nov 2020 06:00	102	12.6 million	No people	China, Philippines
34	06 Nov 2020 18:00	102	6.7 million	No people	China, Philippines
35	07 Nov 2020 00:00	93	30.7 million	No people	China, Philippines
36	07 Nov 2020 06:00	74	12.1 million	No people	China, Philippines
37	07 Nov 2020 12:00	46	12.1 million	No people	China, Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	29 Oct 2020 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	8.2, 148.4
2	29 Oct 2020 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	9.4, 147.4
3	30 Oct 2020 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	10.3, 146
4	30 Oct 2020 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	11.3, 143.3
5	30 Oct 2020 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	12, 142.2
6	30 Oct 2020 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	12.4, 140.7
7	31 Oct 2020 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	13.3, 139.7
8	31 Oct 2020 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.2, 138.7
9	31 Oct 2020 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.7, 137.6
10	31 Oct 2020 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.8, 136.5
11	01 Nov 2020 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15.7, 134.4
12	01 Nov 2020 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	16.2, 132.8
13	01 Nov 2020 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	16.9, 131.5
14	01 Nov 2020 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	16.6, 129.8
15	02 Nov 2020 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	18.1, 127.7
16	02 Nov 2020 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	19.8, 127.9
17	02 Nov 2020 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	20.3, 127.5
18	02 Nov 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	19.9, 127.1
19	03 Nov 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	19.9, 127.6
20	03 Nov 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	19.9, 128.1
21	03 Nov 2020 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	19.8, 128.6
22	03 Nov 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	20.1, 129
23	04 Nov 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	20.1, 129.7
24	04 Nov 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	20.3, 129.1
25	04 Nov 2020 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	20.2, 128.8
26	04 Nov 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	20, 128.2
27	05 Nov 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	20.5, 126.6
28	05 Nov 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	18000 people	20.2, 125.5
29	05 Nov 2020 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	190000 people	20.6, 124.2
30	05 Nov 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	5.5 million people	20.7, 123
31	06 Nov 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	7.2 million people	20.7, 121.8
32	06 Nov 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	8.4 million people	21.4, 121
34	06 Nov 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	6.7 million people	22.3, 119.8
35	07 Nov 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	29.9 million people	22.6, 119.4
36	07 Nov 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	7 million people	22.7, 119.2
37	07 Nov 2020 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	22.6, 118.6
37	08 Nov 2020 00:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	22.3, 117.7
37	08 Nov 2020 12:00	Tropical depression	28	no people	no people	21.8, 116.9

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.