Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for ETA-20 in Nicaragua, United States, Honduras from 31 Oct 2020 21:00 UTC to 13 Nov 2020 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for ETA-20

in Nicaragua, United States, Honduras

13 Nov 2020 09 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ETA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2020-000218-NIC
Exposed countries	Nicaragua, United States, Honduras
Exposed population	200 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	241 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.4 m (03 Nov 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Nicaragua)
Landfall	between 12 Nov 2020 03:00 - 12 Nov 2020 09:00 in United States

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	83 km/h	0.8 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	241 km/h	1.4 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

83 km/h Current Max.

Up to 33.5 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	31 Oct 2020 21:00	139	7.1 million	290 thousand	Nicaragua
2	01 Nov 2020 03:00	130	6.3 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua, Honduras
3	01 Nov 2020 09:00	148	3.4 million	100 thousand	Nicaragua
4	01 Nov 2020 15:00	130	7.5 million	130 thousand	Nicaragua
5	01 Nov 2020 21:00	176	15.1 million	170 thousand	Nicaragua
6	02 Nov 2020 03:00	185	9.4 million	130 thousand	Nicaragua
7	02 Nov 2020 09:00	176	1.5 million	150 thousand	Nicaragua
8	02 Nov 2020 15:00	222	1.3 million	130 thousand	Nicaragua
9	02 Nov 2020 21:00	241	1.8 million	140 thousand	Nicaragua
10	03 Nov 2020 03:00	259	4.8 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
11	03 Nov 2020 09:00	204	1.4 million	120 thousand	Nicaragua
12	03 Nov 2020 15:00	185	2.2 million	110 thousand	Nicaragua
13	03 Nov 2020 21:00	222	3.3 million	230 thousand	Nicaragua, Honduras
14	04 Nov 2020 03:00	167	12 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
15	04 Nov 2020 09:00	111	9.7 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
16	04 Nov 2020 15:00	93	10.4 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
17	04 Nov 2020 21:00	93	10.5 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
18	05 Nov 2020 03:00	102	9.2 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
19	05 Nov 2020 09:00	102	11.8 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
20	05 Nov 2020 15:00	102	9.8 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
21	05 Nov 2020 21:00	102	9.8 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
22	06 Nov 2020 03:00	102	21 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
23	06 Nov 2020 09:00	102	22.8 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
24	06 Nov 2020 15:00	102	23.2 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
25	06 Nov 2020 21:00	102	22.4 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
26	07 Nov 2020 03:00	102	24.2 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
27	07 Nov 2020 09:00	102	23.9 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
28	07 Nov 2020 15:00	102	28.3 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
29	07 Nov 2020 18:00	102	28.3 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
30	07 Nov 2020 21:00	111	25 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
31	08 Nov 2020 03:00	111	25.9 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
32	08 Nov 2020 09:00	111	24.7 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
33	08 Nov 2020 15:00	120	24.2 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
34	08 Nov 2020 21:00	120	28.7 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
35	09 Nov 2020 03:00	120	30.2 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
36	09 Nov 2020 09:00	120	28.5 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
37	09 Nov 2020 15:00	111	28.8 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
38	09 Nov 2020 21:00	111	28.2 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
39	10 Nov 2020 03:00	111	28.2 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
40	10 Nov 2020 09:00	111	28.7 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
41	10 Nov 2020 15:00	111	28.5 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
42	10 Nov 2020 21:00	111	29.2 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
43	11 Nov 2020 03:00	111	30 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
44	11 Nov 2020 09:00	120	29.8 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
45	11 Nov 2020 15:00	120	29.9 million	1.2 million	United States, Nicaragua
46	11 Nov 2020 21:00	111	30.1 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
47	12 Nov 2020 03:00	102	30.1 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
48	12 Nov 2020 09:00	83	33.1 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
49	12 Nov 2020 15:00	83	33.2 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
50	12 Nov 2020 21:00	83	33.6 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
51	13 Nov 2020 03:00	83	33.6 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua
52	13 Nov 2020 09:00	83	33.5 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	31 Oct 2020 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15, -73.2
2	01 Nov 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	15, -74.2
3	01 Nov 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	15.2, -75.7
4	01 Nov 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	14.8, -77.2
5	01 Nov 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	<1000 people	14.9, -78.9
6	02 Nov 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	25000 people	14.9, -80
7	02 Nov 2020 09:00	Category 1	120	no people	210000 people	14.8, -80.9
8	02 Nov 2020 15:00	Category 2	176	no people	210000 people	14.8, -81.5
9	02 Nov 2020 21:00	Category 4	213	69000 people	460000 people	14.5, -82.3
10	03 Nov 2020 03:00	Category 4	241	69000 people	660000 people	14.1, -82.7
11	03 Nov 2020 09:00	Category 4	241	81000 people	940000 people	13.8, -83.1
12	03 Nov 2020 15:00	Category 4	231	26000 people	920000 people	13.6, -83.2
13	03 Nov 2020 21:00	Category 4	222	130000 people	900000 people	13.8, -83.5	Nicaragua
14	04 Nov 2020 03:00	Category 2	167	130000 people	2.1 million people	13.8, -84	Nicaragua
15	04 Nov 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	2.4 million people	13.8, -84.7	Nicaragua
16	04 Nov 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	5 million people	13.9, -85.2	Nicaragua
17	04 Nov 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	2.7 million people	13.9, -85.7	Nicaragua, Honduras
18	05 Nov 2020 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.2, -86.3	Honduras
19	05 Nov 2020 09:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	14.5, -87	Honduras
20	05 Nov 2020 15:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	15.1, -87.8	Honduras
21	05 Nov 2020 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15.7, -87.7	Honduras
22	06 Nov 2020 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	1700 people	16.6, -87.8
23	06 Nov 2020 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	17.3, -87.4
24	06 Nov 2020 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	17.8, -87
25	06 Nov 2020 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	17.3, -86.5
26	07 Nov 2020 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	18, -85.2
27	07 Nov 2020 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	18.3, -84.9
28	07 Nov 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	180000 people	19.6, -81.8
29	07 Nov 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	180000 people	20, -81.1
30	07 Nov 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	2.6 million people	20.4, -80.7
31	08 Nov 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	4 million people	20.7, -79.9
32	08 Nov 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	7 million people	21.5, -79.3	Cuba
33	08 Nov 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	12.6 million people	22.5, -79.2	Cuba
34	08 Nov 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	14.1 million people	23.9, -79.5
35	09 Nov 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	23.5 million people	24.6, -80.5
36	09 Nov 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	23.7 million people	25.2, -82
37	09 Nov 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	3.7 million people	24.6, -83.4
38	09 Nov 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	750000 people	23.7, -84.8
39	10 Nov 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	440000 people	23.2, -85.2
40	10 Nov 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	22.9, -85.5
41	10 Nov 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	22.7, -85.3
42	10 Nov 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	23.2, -85.1
43	11 Nov 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	23.8, -84.5
44	11 Nov 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	85000 people	25, -84.1
45	11 Nov 2020 15:00	Category 1	120	980000 people	4.8 million people	26.2, -83.7
46	11 Nov 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	6 million people	27.3, -83.6
47	12 Nov 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	6.7 million people	28.3, -83.4
48	12 Nov 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	9.5 million people	29.1, -83	United States
49	12 Nov 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	6.3 million people	30.2, -81.8	United States
50	12 Nov 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	3.9 million people	31.6, -80.6
51	13 Nov 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	2.3 million people	32.3, -79
52	13 Nov 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	800000 people	33.3, -76.8
52	13 Nov 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	<1000 people	35, -73.1
52	14 Nov 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	37.9, -66.1
52	14 Nov 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	41.1, -57.8

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.