Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone for NESAT-22 in Viet Nam, China, Laos, Cambodia, Philippines from 14 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC to 20 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone for NESAT-22

in Viet Nam, China, Laos, Cambodia, Philippines

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NESAT-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2022-000339-VNM
Exposed countries	Viet Nam, China, Laos, Cambodia, Philippines
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	167 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.1 m (18 Oct 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Cambodia)
Landfall	between 21 Oct 2022 00:00 - 21 Oct 2022 12:00 in Viet Nam

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	46 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	167 km/h	1.1 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

46 km/h Current Max.

Up to 159.8 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	14 Oct 2022 18:00	148	2.2 million	No people	Philippines
2	15 Oct 2022 00:00	139	1.5 million	No people	Philippines
3	15 Oct 2022 06:00	148	12.5 million	Few people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam
4	15 Oct 2022 12:00	157	13.2 million	No people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam, Laos
5	15 Oct 2022 18:00	120	17.8 million	230 thousand	China
6	16 Oct 2022 00:00	111	16.6 million	Few people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam, Laos
7	16 Oct 2022 06:00	83	20.2 million	90 thousand	China
8	16 Oct 2022 12:00	157	26.8 million	750 thousand	China
9	16 Oct 2022 18:00	148	27.7 million	1.6 million	China
10	17 Oct 2022 00:00	148	30.7 million	920 thousand	China
11	17 Oct 2022 06:00	167	16.5 million	Few people	Philippines, China, Viet Nam, Laos
12	17 Oct 2022 12:00	167	12.9 million	Few people	China, Philippines, Viet Nam
13	17 Oct 2022 18:00	167	186.3 million	No people	China, Philippines, Viet Nam, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand
14	18 Oct 2022 00:00	148	196.3 million	No people	China, Viet Nam, Philippines, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand
15	18 Oct 2022 06:00	148	190.3 million	No people	China, Viet Nam, Laos, Cambodia, Philippines, Thailand
16	18 Oct 2022 12:00	139	162.3 million	Few people	China, Viet Nam, Laos, Cambodia, Philippines
17	18 Oct 2022 18:00	120	164.1 million	Few people	China, Viet Nam, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand, Philippines
18	19 Oct 2022 00:00	102	161.2 million	Few people	China, Viet Nam, Laos, Cambodia, Philippines
19	19 Oct 2022 06:00	93	159.8 million	Few people	China, Viet Nam, Laos, Cambodia, Philippines
20	19 Oct 2022 12:00	74	159.8 million	Few people	China, Viet Nam, Laos, Cambodia, Philippines
21	19 Oct 2022 18:00	74	160.5 million	Few people	China, Viet Nam, Laos, Cambodia, Philippines
22	20 Oct 2022 00:00	65	159.8 million	Few people	China, Viet Nam, Laos, Cambodia, Philippines
23	20 Oct 2022 06:00	46	159.8 million	Few people	China, Viet Nam, Laos, Cambodia, Philippines
24	20 Oct 2022 12:00	46	159.8 million	Few people	Viet Nam, China, Laos, Cambodia, Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	14 Oct 2022 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	18.8, 127.6
2	15 Oct 2022 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	18.9, 126.6
3	15 Oct 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	3.7 million people	18.5, 124
4	15 Oct 2022 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	3.1 million people	18.8, 123
5	15 Oct 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	4.5 million people	19.2, 122.3
6	16 Oct 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	4.2 million people	19.3, 121.2	Philippines
7	16 Oct 2022 06:00	Category 1	130	no people	1.7 million people	19.5, 119.9
8	16 Oct 2022 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	160000 people	19.8, 118.9
9	16 Oct 2022 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	19.7, 117.7
10	17 Oct 2022 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	19.8, 116.8
11	17 Oct 2022 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	19.2, 116.4
12	17 Oct 2022 12:00	Category 2	167	no people	<1000 people	19, 115.4
13	17 Oct 2022 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	174.1 million people	18.7, 114.6
14	18 Oct 2022 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	191.5 million people	18.2, 113.7
15	18 Oct 2022 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	178.7 million people	18.1, 113.1
16	18 Oct 2022 12:00	Category 1	139	<1000 people	37.1 million people	17.5, 112.7
17	18 Oct 2022 18:00	Category 1	120	<1000 people	20.6 million people	17.2, 111.9
18	19 Oct 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	20 million people	17, 110.9
19	19 Oct 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	17, 110.2
20	19 Oct 2022 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	17.2, 109.4
21	19 Oct 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	2.6 million people	17.4, 108.5
22	20 Oct 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	1 million people	17.6, 108.2
23	20 Oct 2022 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	17.7, 108.2
24	20 Oct 2022 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	17.5, 107.9
24	21 Oct 2022 00:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	17.3, 107.6
24	21 Oct 2022 12:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	16.7, 107.4	Viet Nam

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
9.1 million people
139.2 million people
55000 people
<1000 people
4.6 million people

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
600000 people
540000 people
900000 people
8.8 million people
2.2 million people
9300 people
9500 people
14000 people
30000 people
1.1 million people
570000 people
1200 people
<1000 people
520000 people
1.5 million people
5700 people
104.6 million people
410000 people
19.7 million people
680000 people
<1000 people
290000 people
5.8 million people
1.4 million people
870000 people
2.3 million people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.