Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone for MANDOUS-22 in India, Sri Lanka from 07 Dec 2022 18:00 UTC to 10 Dec 2022 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone for MANDOUS-22

in India, Sri Lanka

10 Dec 2022 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MANDOUS-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	India, Sri Lanka
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	102 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (09 Dec 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)
Landfall	between 09 Dec 2022 18:00 - 10 Dec 2022 00:00 in India

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	56 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	102 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

56 km/h Current Max.

Up to 29.7 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	07 Dec 2022 18:00	83	35.2 million	No people	Sri Lanka, India
2	08 Dec 2022 00:00	83	4.3 million	No people	India
3	08 Dec 2022 06:00	74	23.7 million	No people	India
4	08 Dec 2022 12:00	93	29.3 million	No people	India
5	08 Dec 2022 18:00	102	39.4 million	No people	Sri Lanka, India
6	09 Dec 2022 00:00	102	64.6 million	No people	India, Sri Lanka
7	09 Dec 2022 06:00	93	55.5 million	No people	India, Sri Lanka
8	09 Dec 2022 12:00	83	34.4 million	No people	India, Sri Lanka
9	09 Dec 2022 18:00	65	33.4 million	No people	India, Sri Lanka
10	10 Dec 2022 00:00	56	29.7 million	No people	India, Sri Lanka

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	07 Dec 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	9.2, 84.6
2	08 Dec 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	9.4, 84.1
3	08 Dec 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	9.7, 83.5
4	08 Dec 2022 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	10.2, 82.9
5	08 Dec 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	11.5 million people	10.5, 82.2
6	09 Dec 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	38.3 million people	10.9, 81.4
7	09 Dec 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	27.8 million people	11.2, 81.4
8	09 Dec 2022 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	22.6 million people	11.9, 81.2
9	09 Dec 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	21 million people	12.7, 80.7
10	10 Dec 2022 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	12.9, 80.1	India
10	10 Dec 2022 12:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	13.1, 78.9	India
10	11 Dec 2022 00:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	13.3, 78.1	India

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
28.2 million people
910000 people

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
25.9 million people
870000 people
1.4 million people
700000 people
170000 people
35000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

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