Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for DOKSURI-23 in China, Philippines from 21 Jul 2023 12:00 UTC to 28 Jul 2023 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for DOKSURI-23

in China, Philippines

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DOKSURI-23 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2023-000121-CHN
Exposed countries	China, Philippines
Exposed population	22.8 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	241 km/h
Maximum storm surge	2.1 m (28 Jul 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (China)
Landfall	between 28 Jul 2023 00:00 - 28 Jul 2023 06:00 in China

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	139 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	241 km/h	2.1 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

139 km/h Current Max.

Up to 22.8 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	21 Jul 2023 12:00	185	27 million	2 thousand	Philippines, Japan, China
2	21 Jul 2023 18:00	194	24.8 million	4 thousand	China
3	22 Jul 2023 00:00	194	53.3 million	10.1 million	Japan, China
4	22 Jul 2023 06:00	204	59.3 million	11.9 million	China
5	22 Jul 2023 12:00	213	69.6 million	16.5 million	China
6	22 Jul 2023 18:00	204	97.9 million	24.3 million	China
7	23 Jul 2023 00:00	213	98 million	26.7 million	China
8	23 Jul 2023 06:00	222	128.6 million	21.7 million	Philippines, China
9	23 Jul 2023 12:00	231	129.1 million	23.2 million	Philippines, China
10	23 Jul 2023 18:00	231	147.9 million	29.5 million	Philippines, China
11	24 Jul 2023 00:00	231	170.7 million	22.1 million	Philippines, China
12	24 Jul 2023 06:00	231	124.1 million	7.1 million	Philippines, China
13	24 Jul 2023 12:00	231	191.1 million	8.1 million	Philippines, China
14	24 Jul 2023 18:00	250	176.9 million	3.1 million	Philippines, China
15	25 Jul 2023 00:00	194	170.6 million	2.5 million	Philippines, China
16	25 Jul 2023 06:00	231	207.5 million	6.2 million	Philippines, China
17	25 Jul 2023 12:00	222	261.7 million	4.5 million	Philippines, China
18	25 Jul 2023 18:00	222	206.6 million	6.2 million	Philippines, China
19	26 Jul 2023 00:00	204	218.1 million	1.6 million	Philippines, China
20	26 Jul 2023 06:00	185	141.2 million	10.1 million	Philippines, China
21	26 Jul 2023 12:00	167	142.5 million	12.8 million	Philippines, China
22	26 Jul 2023 18:00	167	182.8 million	16 million	Philippines, China
23	27 Jul 2023 00:00	139	181.4 million	16.8 million	Philippines, China
24	27 Jul 2023 06:00	167	121.4 million	18.5 million	Philippines, China
25	27 Jul 2023 12:00	213	154.7 million	23.9 million	China, Philippines
26	27 Jul 2023 18:00	194	136.2 million	24.1 million	China, Philippines
27	28 Jul 2023 00:00	176	123.4 million	23.5 million	China, Philippines
28	28 Jul 2023 06:00	139	155.7 million	22.8 million	China, Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	21 Jul 2023 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.3, 131.6
2	21 Jul 2023 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.4, 131.6
3	22 Jul 2023 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	14.5, 131.1
4	22 Jul 2023 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	14.6, 130.6
5	22 Jul 2023 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	14.5, 130.3
6	22 Jul 2023 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	14.7, 129.7
7	23 Jul 2023 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	14.8, 129
8	23 Jul 2023 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	210000 people	14.9, 128.3
9	23 Jul 2023 12:00	Category 1	148	no people	610000 people	15.1, 127.7
10	23 Jul 2023 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	1.3 million people	15.2, 126.9
11	24 Jul 2023 00:00	Category 3	185	no people	760000 people	15.3, 126.5
12	24 Jul 2023 06:00	Category 4	213	no people	10.6 million people	15.7, 126.3
13	24 Jul 2023 12:00	Category 4	222	no people	9.7 million people	16.5, 125.8
14	24 Jul 2023 18:00	Category 4	241	no people	19.5 million people	17, 125.1
15	25 Jul 2023 00:00	Category 4	241	1400 people	15.1 million people	17.7, 124.6
16	25 Jul 2023 06:00	Category 4	231	290000 people	15.4 million people	18.4, 123.7
17	25 Jul 2023 12:00	Category 4	222	130000 people	12.5 million people	18.9, 122.7
18	25 Jul 2023 18:00	Category 4	222	690000 people	15.5 million people	19, 121.6
19	26 Jul 2023 00:00	Category 3	204	710000 people	7.7 million people	18.9, 121.4
20	26 Jul 2023 06:00	Category 3	185	200000 people	13 million people	19.3, 121
21	26 Jul 2023 12:00	Category 2	176	11000 people	16.3 million people	19.6, 120.6
22	26 Jul 2023 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	24.2 million people	20, 120.1
23	27 Jul 2023 00:00	Category 1	139	no people	57.3 million people	20.7, 119.7
24	27 Jul 2023 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	58.2 million people	21.1, 119.3
25	27 Jul 2023 12:00	Category 3	194	570000 people	64.6 million people	21.8, 119.2
26	27 Jul 2023 18:00	Category 3	194	16.6 million people	69.4 million people	22.9, 118.9
27	28 Jul 2023 00:00	Category 2	176	17.2 million people	62.3 million people	24, 118.7
28	28 Jul 2023 06:00	Category 1	139	9 million people	65.7 million people	25.7, 118.4	China
28	28 Jul 2023 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	49.2 million people	28.9, 117.6	China
28	29 Jul 2023 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	39.2 million people	31.7, 116.8	China
28	29 Jul 2023 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	33.5, 116.1	China
28	30 Jul 2023 06:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	35.2, 115.6	China

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Population in Category 1 or higher strength
20.2 million people
730000 people

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Population in Category 1 or higher strength
16.6 million people
3.6 million people
560000 people
80000 people
89000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.