Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for FILIPO-24 in Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi from 03 Mar 2024 06:00 UTC to 13 Mar 2024 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FILIPO-24

in Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe, Malawi

13 Mar 2024 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

WMO-RSMC La Réunion
Primary source
GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FILIPO-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2024-000032-MOZ
Exposed countries	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	111 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (12 Mar 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Mozambique)
Landfall	between 11 Mar 2024 18:00 - 12 Mar 2024 06:00 in Mozambique

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	93 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	111 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

TOP

Wind

93 km/h Current Max.

Up to 9.1 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	10 Mar 2024 18:00	102	3.5 million	No people	Mozambique
2	11 Mar 2024 06:00	102	4.4 million	No people	Mozambique
3	11 Mar 2024 18:00	111	6.2 million	No people	Mozambique
4	12 Mar 2024 06:00	120	8.5 million	No people	Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa
5	12 Mar 2024 18:00	120	8.7 million	No people	Mozambique, Eswatini, South Africa, Zimbabwe
6	13 Mar 2024 06:00	120	9.3 million	No people	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe
7	13 Mar 2024 18:00	93	9.1 million	No people	Mozambique, South Africa, Eswatini, Zimbabwe

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	10 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	81000 people	-19.8, 38.5
2	11 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	14000 people	-20.3, 37.3
3	11 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	1.8 million people	-20.6, 35.8
4	12 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	4.4 million people	-21.5, 34.9	Mozambique
5	12 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	5.7 million people	-24.5, 33.8	Mozambique
6	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	5.2 million people	-26, 33.1	Mozambique
7	13 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-28.2, 35.6
7	14 Mar 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-30.9, 39.4
7	14 Mar 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-34, 44.8

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
South Africa	460000 people
Mozambique	8.4 million people
Eswatini	160000 people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
KwaZulu/Natal	South Africa	160000 people
Maputo	Mozambique	3.7 million people
Lubombo	Eswatini	140000 people
Gaza	Mozambique	1.4 million people
Inhambane	Mozambique	1.5 million people
Manzini	Eswatini	2900 people
Mpumalanga	South Africa	300000 people
Hhohho	Eswatini	18000 people
Manica	Mozambique	490000 people
Sofala	Mozambique	1.3 million people
Zambezia	Mozambique	<1000 people

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Maputo	Maputo	Mozambique	Capital	1.2 million people
Matola	Maputo	Mozambique	City	540000 people
Xai-Xai	Gaza	Mozambique	City	130000 people
Maxixe		Mozambique	City	120000 people
Beira	Sofala	Mozambique	Major city	520000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Maputo	MPM	40	Civ.	Paved	Yes	12000
Xai Xai	VJB	unknown				0
Simunye		205	Priv.	Unpaved	No	3600
Komatipoort	KOF	152	Civ.	Paved	No	4300
Inhambane	INH	9	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900
Chokwe	TGS	unknown				0
Vilanculos	VNX	14	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4800
Vila Franca Do Save		30				0
Beira	BEW	10	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7800

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Bela Vista	MZBEL	Mozambique
Bela Vista		Mozambique
Maputo	MZMPM	Mozambique
Inhambane	MZINH	Mozambique
Vilanculas		Mozambique
Bazaruto Island		Mozambique
Bartolomeo Diaz		Mozambique
Nova Mambone		Mozambique
Beira	MZBEW	Mozambique

Dams

Dam Name	River	Year
Van Eck	Great Usutu	1971
Sivunga	Nyetane	1974
Nyetane	Nyetane	1970
Pequenos Libombos	Umbeluzi	1987
Mnjoli	Black Umbeluzi	1980
Sand River	Komati	1966
Corumana	Sabie	1988

TOP

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

TOP

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Bartolomeu Dias, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 12 Mar 2024 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (76 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 7 of 13 Mar 2024 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	12 Mar 2024 02:00	Bartolomeu Dias	Mozambique	0.6
	12 Mar 2024 08:00	China	Mozambique	0.6
	12 Mar 2024 08:00	Mahoa	Mozambique	0.6
	12 Mar 2024 04:00	Jo	Mozambique	0.6
	12 Mar 2024 04:00	Natalia	Mozambique	0.6
	12 Mar 2024 04:00	Dinguiduane	Mozambique	0.6
	12 Mar 2024 04:00	Laisse	Mozambique	0.6
	12 Mar 2024 04:00	Inhassoro	Mozambique	0.6
	12 Mar 2024 08:00	Xetoquica	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2024 06:00	Caulino	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2024 05:00	Castigo	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2024 07:00	Vilanculos	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2024 05:00	Asneira	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2024 07:00	Mariano	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 08:00	Afonso	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2024 04:00	Catine	Mozambique	0.3
	13 Mar 2024 00:00	Inhampsi	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 13:00	Maxixe	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2024 13:00	Inhambane	Mozambique	0.3
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Maconharumo	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Amado	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 07:00	Fabiao	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 07:00	Uetela	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Damiao	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Nhangau	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Chamba	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Beira	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 00:00	Gueima	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Manica	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 23:00	Contra Costa	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 23:00	Chiloane	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Chimuaza	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 11:00	Marivate	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Nova Sofala	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 00:00	Linchica	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Canhamba	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Chofandicho	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Panaca	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 00:00	D'lhelo	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 06:00	Morrumbene	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Jonja	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 13:00	Beula	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 13:00	Chicoque	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 13:00	Banga	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 23:00	Jacob	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 22:00	Mtunzini	South Africa	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Tama	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 23:00	Bingue	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2024 21:00	Chavanine	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Cimbene	Mozambique	0.2
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Rupia	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Machesse	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Aiai	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Ocone	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 06:00	Machavene	Mozambique	0.1
	14 Mar 2024 01:00	Induna	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 07:00	Praia do Tofo	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 22:00	Highfield	South Africa	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 16:00	Mahupe	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 22:00	Ingale	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Vila do Chinde	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Nhamatamanga	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Mulia	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2024 00:00	Barra	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 10:00	Bambe	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 10:00	Maguemba	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Quelimane do Sal	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Inhangulue	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Mendozo	Mozambique	0.1
	10 Mar 2024 22:00	Magromane	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 12:00	Mabsil	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2024 23:00	Guiducua	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 13:00	Miramar	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2024 22:00	Dokodweni	South Africa	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 02:00	Afo	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2024 16:00	Nangalete	Mozambique	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.