Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BERYL-18
in Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BERYL-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 157 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (09 Jul 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Guadeloupe)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 157 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 157 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

157 km/h Current

No content available ..

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 05 Jul 2018 15:00 65 No people No people
Green 2 05 Jul 2018 21:00 120 No people No people
Green 3 06 Jul 2018 03:00 120 No people No people
Green 4 06 Jul 2018 09:00 139 590 thousand No people Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe
Green 5 06 Jul 2018 15:00 157 10.7 million 70 thousand Dominica

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 05 Jul 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.2, -41.4
GREEN
2 05 Jul 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 10.3, -42.8
GREEN
3 06 Jul 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 10.4, -44
GREEN
4 06 Jul 2018 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 10.6, -45.1
GREEN
5 06 Jul 2018 15:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 10.7, -46.5
GREEN
5 07 Jul 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 11.3, -47.9
GREEN
5 07 Jul 2018 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 12.2, -50.1
GREEN
5 08 Jul 2018 00:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 13.3, -53
GREEN
5 08 Jul 2018 12:00 Category 2 157 880000 people 71000 people 14.2, -56.6 Dominica
GREEN
5 09 Jul 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 111 9.8 million people no people 16.2, -64.6 Haiti
GREEN
5 10 Jul 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.5, -72 Haiti
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Dominica

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Dominica Dominica 70000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Roseau Saint George Dominica Capital 16000 people 1693 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

No content available ..

Ports

No content available

Dams

No content available

Nuclear plants

No content available

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in La Plaine, Dominica. This height is estimated for 09 Jul 2018 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (21 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 5 of 06 Jul 2018 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Jul 2018 02:00 La Plaine Dominica  0.3
09 Jul 2018 02:00 Castle Bruce Dominica  0.3
10 Jul 2018 09:00 Los Negros Dominican Republic  0.2
09 Jul 2018 02:00 Dubuc Dominica  0.2
09 Jul 2018 02:00 Marigot Dominica  0.2
10 Jul 2018 08:00 Las Calderas Dominican Republic  0.2
09 Jul 2018 03:00 Baroui Dominica  0.1
09 Jul 2018 05:00 Basse-Terre Guadeloupe  0.1
09 Jul 2018 03:00 Portsmouth Dominica  0.1
09 Jul 2018 05:00 Saint-Claude Guadeloupe  0.1
10 Jul 2018 07:00 La Playa Dominican Republic  0.1
10 Jul 2018 07:00 Agua Clara Dominican Republic  0.1
09 Jul 2018 03:00 Grand-Bourg Guadeloupe  0.1
09 Jul 2018 03:00 Capesterre Guadeloupe  0.1
10 Jul 2018 09:00 El Curro Dominican Republic  0.1
09 Jul 2018 01:00 Basse-Pointe Martinique  0.1
09 Jul 2018 03:00 Roseau Dominica  0.1
09 Jul 2018 02:00 Scotts Head Dominica  0.1
09 Jul 2018 04:00 Le Bourg Guadeloupe  0.1
10 Jul 2018 09:00 Barahona Dominican Republic  0.1
09 Jul 2018 04:00 Pointe-a-Pitre Guadeloupe  0.1