Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for JASMINE-22 in Madagascar from 24 Apr 2022 00:00 UTC to 27 Apr 2022 04:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JASMINE-22

in Madagascar

27 Apr 2022 04 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC
Primary source
WMO-RSMC La Réunion
10 min - 1 min
Beta version

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact
10 min
1 min

Tropical Cyclone JASMINE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Exposed countries	Madagascar, Mozambique
Exposed population	No people in Tropical Cyclone or higher
Maximum wind speed	111 km/h (10-min*)
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (26 Apr 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)
Landfall	between 26 Apr 2022 16:00 - 26 Apr 2022 22:00 in Madagascar
* GDACS: 1-min sustained winds; WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France: 10-min average

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind (10-min*)	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	56 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	0.5
Overall	111 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: latest forecast, Overall: entire TC track) based on WMO/RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France impact

Joint Pilot Activity: EC-JRC,WMO/RSMC La Réunion-Meteo France

TOP

Wind
10 min
1 min

Impact Timeline
10 min
1 min

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h) (10-min*)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	23 Apr 2022 04:00	93	2.1 million	No people	Mozambique
2	23 Apr 2022 10:00	111	1.3 million	No people	Mozambique
3	23 Apr 2022 16:00	111	1.7 million	No people	Mozambique
4	23 Apr 2022 22:00	93	No people	No people
5	24 Apr 2022 04:00	93	Few people	No people	Mozambique
6	24 Apr 2022 10:00	83	Few people	No people	Mozambique
7	24 Apr 2022 16:00	83	Few people	No people	Mozambique
8	24 Apr 2022 22:00	111	320 thousand	No people	Mozambique
9	25 Apr 2022 04:00	120	690 thousand	No people	Mozambique, Madagascar
10	25 Apr 2022 10:00	120	640 thousand	No people	Madagascar, Mozambique
11	25 Apr 2022 16:00	102	530 thousand	No people	Madagascar, Mozambique
12	25 Apr 2022 22:00	111	1.5 million	No people	Madagascar, Mozambique
13	26 Apr 2022 04:00	102	1.3 million	No people	Madagascar, Mozambique
14	26 Apr 2022 10:00	102	1.2 million	No people	Madagascar, Mozambique
15	26 Apr 2022 16:00	93	1.5 million	No people	Madagascar, Mozambique
16	26 Apr 2022 22:00	65	1.3 million	No people	Madagascar, Mozambique
17	27 Apr 2022 04:00	56	1.1 million	No people	Madagascar, Mozambique

Bulletin Timeline
10 min
1 min

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h) (10-min*)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	23 Apr 2022 04:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	1.3 million people	-14.5, 41.2
2	23 Apr 2022 10:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	1.3 million people	-15.2, 40.5	Mozambique
3	23 Apr 2022 16:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	1.7 million people	-16.1, 40	Mozambique
4	23 Apr 2022 22:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-16.6, 39.9
5	24 Apr 2022 04:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	<1000 people	-17, 39.6
6	24 Apr 2022 10:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-17.9, 39.4
7	24 Apr 2022 16:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-18.4, 39.5
8	24 Apr 2022 22:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-18.8, 39.7
9	25 Apr 2022 04:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-19.8, 39.9
10	25 Apr 2022 10:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-20.3, 40.3
11	25 Apr 2022 16:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	-21.3, 40.9
12	25 Apr 2022 22:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	-22.1, 41.2
13	26 Apr 2022 04:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	280000 people	-22.7, 41.6
14	26 Apr 2022 10:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	690000 people	-23.1, 42.3
15	26 Apr 2022 16:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	1 million people	-23.4, 43.2
16	26 Apr 2022 22:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	450000 people	-23.6, 44.2	Madagascar
17	27 Apr 2022 04:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	-23.8, 46.1	Madagascar
17	27 Apr 2022 16:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-23.3, 49
17	28 Apr 2022 04:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-21.7, 51.5
17	28 Apr 2022 16:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	-20.3, 52.8

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Madagascar
Mozambique

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Toliara	Madagascar
Nampula	Mozambique
Zambezia	Mozambique

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Tulear	Toliara	Madagascar	Major city	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Betioky	BKU	unknown				0
Toliara	TLE	8	Civ.	Paved	No	6500
Moma	MMW	unknown				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Toliara	MGTLE	Madagascar
Manombo	MGMOB	Madagascar
Moma	MZMMW	Mozambique

TOP

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Maconharumo, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 26 Apr 2022 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

The storm surge calculations have been performed using 1 min atmospheric wind forcing

Locations affected by Storm surge (161 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 23 Apr 2022 04:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	26 Apr 2022 07:00	Maconharumo	Mozambique	0.5
	26 Apr 2022 07:00	Amado	Mozambique	0.5
	26 Apr 2022 07:00	Chimuaza	Mozambique	0.4
	23 Apr 2022 18:00	Barroa	Mozambique	0.4
	23 Apr 2022 13:00	Mocambique	Mozambique	0.3
	23 Apr 2022 13:00	Cabaceira	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 11:00	Mulia	Mozambique	0.3
	23 Apr 2022 14:00	Lumbo	Mozambique	0.3
	23 Apr 2022 17:00	Terrene	Mozambique	0.3
	23 Apr 2022 20:00	Quinga	Mozambique	0.3
	23 Apr 2022 20:00	Metula	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Manampea	Madagascar	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 09:00	Chamba	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 09:00	Beira	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 09:00	Damiao	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 09:00	Nhangau	Mozambique	0.3
	23 Apr 2022 13:00	Sanhute	Mozambique	0.3
	23 Apr 2022 13:00	Mossuril	Mozambique	0.3
	23 Apr 2022 19:00	Metopa	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 11:00	Ocone	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Machesse	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Ankazobe	Madagascar	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Tama	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Jonja	Mozambique	0.3
	23 Apr 2022 14:00	Mosengeri	Mozambique	0.3
	23 Apr 2022 18:00	Coluvelane	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 11:00	Barra	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Onara	Madagascar	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Marovazha	Madagascar	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Belavenoka	Madagascar	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Ankerefo	Madagascar	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 08:00	Ampanihy	Madagascar	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 11:00	Quelimane do Sal	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 11:00	Inhangulue	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 11:00	Magromane	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 11:00	Nhamatamanga	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Marofototra	Madagascar	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Voalavo	Madagascar	0.3
	23 Apr 2022 12:00	Matibane	Mozambique	0.3
	23 Apr 2022 20:00	Muaco	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 11:00	Vila do Chinde	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Ankirijibe	Madagascar	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 10:00	Chofandicho	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Antsafy	Madagascar	0.3
	23 Apr 2022 16:00	Calajulo	Mozambique	0.3
	23 Apr 2022 22:00	Namacoto	Mozambique	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Ankoakala	Madagascar	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 08:00	Belailay	Madagascar	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 08:00	Ankatrafay	Madagascar	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 08:00	Antandrokomby	Madagascar	0.3
	26 Apr 2022 10:00	Panaca	Mozambique	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 07:00	Rupia	Mozambique	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 08:00	Maintirano	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 08:00	Andemba	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 08:00	Reharaka	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Boanamary	Madagascar	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 21:00	Namuali	Mozambique	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 23:00	Coropoa	Mozambique	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 23:00	Larde	Mozambique	0.2
	24 Apr 2022 01:00	Natiquinde	Mozambique	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 23:00	Metapa	Mozambique	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Tambohorano	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Ambatomilahy	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Bingue	Mozambique	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Manomba	Madagascar	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 21:00	Nantapa	Mozambique	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 23:00	Raraga	Mozambique	0.2
	24 Apr 2022 01:00	Manica	Mozambique	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 08:00	Manometimay	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 08:00	Antsamaka	Madagascar	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 21:00	Momade	Mozambique	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 22:00	Mocareja	Mozambique	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 23:00	Caliua	Mozambique	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 23:00	Morrua	Mozambique	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 23:00	Pebane	Mozambique	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Kamendriky	Madagascar	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 14:00	Injaca	Mozambique	0.2
	24 Apr 2022 02:00	Angoche	Mozambique	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Majunga	Madagascar	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 12:00	Alimperia	Mozambique	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 22:00	Napito	Mozambique	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 22:00	Namorre	Mozambique	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 23:00	Tomodo	Mozambique	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 23:00	Mutiba	Mozambique	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 22:00	Murrumuana	Mozambique	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 23:00	Moebase	Mozambique	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 23:00	Chululu	Mozambique	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 23:00	Mendozo	Mozambique	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Ambalabao	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Bevatry	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Tsilambana	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 07:00	Antserananbondro	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 07:00	Ankirijibe	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 07:00	Kivalo Est	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Katsepy	Madagascar	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 12:00	Messonta	Mozambique	0.2
	24 Apr 2022 00:00	Caramaca	Mozambique	0.2
	24 Apr 2022 01:00	Nova Sofala	Mozambique	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 08:00	Morondava	Madagascar	0.2
	24 Apr 2022 00:00	Aube	Mozambique	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 17:00	Carramali	Mozambique	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 23:00	Mutadua	Mozambique	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Andopitaly	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Ambozaka	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Manampatra	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 08:00	Belo-sur-Mer	Madagascar	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 12:00	Minhauine	Mozambique	0.2
	23 Apr 2022 22:00	Bajone	Mozambique	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Ankerefo	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Vilamatsa	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Nosy Faly	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 07:00	Antanamazava	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 07:00	Ambatomainty	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 07:00	Manehoko	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 07:00	Antanimandry	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 07:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 07:00	Tanambao	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 07:00	Anjabe	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 07:00	Andranomena	Madagascar	0.2
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Ampapamena	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Masokoamena	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 12:00	Ankiliabo	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Ambalatsingy	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Ankinganomby	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Anjiajia	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Anjiabe	Madagascar	0.1
	23 Apr 2022 11:00	Miaola	Mozambique	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Ampombilava	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Andriana	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Ambaramidada	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 08:00	Antanambao Samaka	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 08:00	Antohgo	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Tsaratanana	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Ampasindava	Madagascar	0.1
	23 Apr 2022 13:00	Matiquite	Mozambique	0.1
	23 Apr 2022 14:00	Lunga	Mozambique	0.1
	23 Apr 2022 14:00	Ali	Mozambique	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Ambatoxavavy	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Andrafia	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Antaribao	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 06:00	Ankinganifahatelo	Madagascar	0.1
	23 Apr 2022 14:00	Chepa	Mozambique	0.1
	23 Apr 2022 13:00	Namelala	Mozambique	0.1
	23 Apr 2022 14:00	Nhiendgi	Mozambique	0.1
	23 Apr 2022 16:00	Maaia	Mozambique	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 08:00	Andanivato	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 08:00	Ambatojoby	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 08:00	Andramy	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 08:00	Marotaola	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 17:00	Asneira	Mozambique	0.1
	23 Apr 2022 14:00	Macalopa	Mozambique	0.1
	23 Apr 2022 15:00	Capelelene	Mozambique	0.1
	23 Apr 2022 15:00	Nangata	Mozambique	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 05:00	Andranovoribe	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 15:00	Ambararata	Madagascar	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 15:00	Ankevo	Madagascar	0.1
	23 Apr 2022 15:00	Formone	Mozambique	0.1
	26 Apr 2022 16:00	Moravano	Madagascar	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.

Impact 10 min1 min