Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for MEKUNU-18 in Oman from 22 May 2018 00:00 UTC to 26 May 2018 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MEKUNU-18

in Oman

21 May 2018 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MEKUNU-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Yemen
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	63 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (21 May 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	63 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
ECMWF Overall	0 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

-4 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 May 2018 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Yemen	82

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	21 May 2018 12:00	63	-		-	-	-	-	-	Yemen

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 21 May 2018 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	21 May 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Mandvi, India. This height is estimated for 21 May 2018 16:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 May 2018 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	21 May 2018 16:00	Mandvi	India	0.2
	22 May 2018 04:45	Hurdiyo	Somalia	0.2
	22 May 2018 04:45	Xaafuun	Somalia	0.2
	21 May 2018 16:00	Okha	India	0.2
	21 May 2018 16:00	Aramda	India	0.2
	21 May 2018 15:45	Suthri	India	0.2
	22 May 2018 04:45	Deh-Cabo	Somalia	0.2
	22 May 2018 05:00	Sala Gon	Somalia	0.2
	21 May 2018 17:45	Ceel Dhahanaan	Somalia	0.2
	24 May 2018 12:00	Kalat	Pakistan	0.2
	24 May 2018 12:00	Makola	Pakistan	0.2
	21 May 2018 17:45	Baarbacadle	Somalia	0.1
	21 May 2018 17:45	Eyl	Somalia	0.1
	21 May 2018 17:45	Daga Laha Uein	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 04:30	Qishn	Yemen	0.1
	21 May 2018 21:00	'Ag	Somalia	0.1
	21 May 2018 19:00	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.1
	23 May 2018 19:45	Ghuar Mota	India	0.1
	21 May 2018 20:45	Lamba	India	0.1
	21 May 2018 20:45	Miyani	India	0.1
	21 May 2018 18:45	Ras Muari	Pakistan	0.1
	21 May 2018 18:45	Goth Haji Muhammad	Pakistan	0.1
	21 May 2018 18:45	Jhol	Pakistan	0.1
	21 May 2018 18:45	Keti	Pakistan	0.1
	21 May 2018 16:45	Gadechi	India	0.1
	22 May 2018 16:45	Harag Jid	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 01:45	Bola Cohuan	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 00:15	Aiesloho	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 00:15	Mach	Somalia	0.1
	21 May 2018 17:00	Dwarka	India	0.1
	21 May 2018 17:00	Madhi	India	0.1
	22 May 2018 00:15	Bargaal	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 01:45	Saqr	Yemen	0.1
	22 May 2018 14:00	Bandar-e Dargaham	Iran	0.1
	22 May 2018 14:00	Dogerdan	Iran	0.1
	22 May 2018 14:00	Qeshm	Iran	0.1
	22 May 2018 14:00	Bandar Abbas	Iran	0.1
	21 May 2018 14:30	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	21 May 2018 14:30	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	24 May 2018 11:00	Hubaris	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	24 May 2018 10:45	Markaz ash Shurtah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	23 May 2018 05:15	Ascira	Somalia	0.1
	22 May 2018 10:15	Bhogat	India	0.1
	23 May 2018 02:30	Tabut	Yemen	0.1
	23 May 2018 02:30	Hayrut	Yemen	0.1
	23 May 2018 02:30	Nishtun	Yemen	0.1
	21 May 2018 17:45	Jazirah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	21 May 2018 17:45	Tarif	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	21 May 2018 17:45	Bu Lifiyat	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	24 May 2018 10:30	Nahud	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	21 May 2018 17:45	Ceelbacduur	Somalia	0.1
	23 May 2018 14:30	Ad Dasma'	Kuwait	0.1
	23 May 2018 14:30	Al Kuwayt	Kuwait	0.1
	23 May 2018 14:30	Shumaymah	Kuwait	0.1
	21 May 2018 14:15	Isa	Pakistan	0.1
	24 May 2018 12:00	Al Madaya	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	21 May 2018 22:15	Marero	Somalia	0.1
	21 May 2018 22:15	Bacaad	Somalia	0.1
	21 May 2018 22:15	Aantaara	Somalia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.