Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for OSAI-24
in Cook Islands

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OSAI-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (08 Feb 04:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Cook Is.)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 79 km/h 0.6 m 111 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 112 km/h 0.6 m 761 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAmerican Samoa00
+

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Feb 2024 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmAmerican Samoa12 
50-100 mmTuvalu, Tokelau, Cook Islands, Samoa, American Samoa, Fiji, French Polynesia199,292
+
Tuvalu8,535 
Tokelau1,250 
Cook Islands3,033 
American Samoa1,676 
Samoa148,069 
Fiji31,483 
French Polynesia5,243 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Feb 2024 18:00 478 Few people
- - - - Tuvalu, Tokelau, Cook Islands, American Samoa, Samoa, Fiji, French Polynesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Korosi, Fiji. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2024 04:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Korosi Fiji  0.6
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Korotasere Fiji  0.6
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Naweni Fiji  0.6
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Viani Fiji  0.6
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.6
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Mbangasau Fiji  0.6
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Naindi Fiji  0.6
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Nakarambo Fiji  0.6
08 Feb 2024 12:00 Lautoka Fiji  0.5
08 Feb 2024 12:00 Nailanga Fiji  0.5
08 Feb 2024 12:00 Sorokoba Fiji  0.5
08 Feb 2024 12:00 Ba Fiji  0.5
07 Feb 2024 21:00 Lao Fiji  0.5
07 Feb 2024 21:00 Nailou Fiji  0.5
07 Feb 2024 21:00 Nawi Fiji  0.5
07 Feb 2024 21:00 Vunikura Fiji  0.5
07 Feb 2024 21:00 Napuka Fiji  0.5
07 Feb 2024 11:15 Natua Fiji  0.5
07 Feb 2024 11:15 Mbangata Fiji  0.5
07 Feb 2024 11:15 Savusavu Fiji  0.5
09 Feb 2024 14:45 Malake Fiji  0.4
09 Feb 2024 14:45 Biagunu Fiji  0.4
07 Feb 2024 03:00 Korovou Fiji  0.4
07 Feb 2024 03:00 Lodoni Fiji  0.4
07 Feb 2024 03:00 Lawaki Fiji  0.4
07 Feb 2024 03:00 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.4
07 Feb 2024 03:00 Naingani Fiji  0.4
07 Feb 2024 03:00 Navuti Fiji  0.4
07 Feb 2024 03:00 Nasaga Fiji  0.4
07 Feb 2024 03:00 Rukuruku Fiji  0.4
07 Feb 2024 03:00 Lovoni Fiji  0.4
08 Feb 2024 12:00 Natunuka Fiji  0.4
08 Feb 2024 12:00 Tavua Fiji  0.4
08 Feb 2024 03:15 Rabulu Fiji  0.4
08 Feb 2024 03:15 Togowere Fiji  0.4
07 Feb 2024 19:30 Nanduri Fiji  0.4
07 Feb 2024 19:30 Vatutandova Fiji  0.4
07 Feb 2024 19:30 Nasea Fiji  0.4
08 Feb 2024 20:30 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.3
08 Feb 2024 20:30 Savu Sau Fiji  0.3
08 Feb 2024 20:30 Navinggiri Fiji  0.3
08 Feb 2024 20:30 Yangganga Fiji  0.3
08 Feb 2024 20:30 Nawailevu Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 08:00 Namboutini Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 03:00 Nauouo Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 03:00 Levuka Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 06:30 Rakiraki Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 06:30 Vaileka Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 06:30 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 06:30 Nasau Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 11:30 Ndawara Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 11:30 Waisa Fiji  0.3
08 Feb 2024 20:30 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 07:30 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 07:30 Thavanga Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 07:30 Ndaria Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 07:30 Rave-rave Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 16:30 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 07:30 Namaka Fiji  0.3
08 Feb 2024 16:30 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.3
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Gasele Fiji  0.3
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Soso Fiji  0.3
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Kavala Fiji  0.3
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Kaduvu Fiji  0.3
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Nukuvou Fiji  0.3
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.3
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Vabea Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 07:45 Kasavu Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 07:45 Nausori Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 07:45 Lokia Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 07:45 Cautata Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 07:45 Nasilai Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 07:45 Dromuna Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 07:15 Tavua Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 07:15 Solevu Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 07:15 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.3
07 Feb 2024 07:00 Soso Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 07:00 Somosomo Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 06:45 Matayalevu Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 06:45 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 06:45 Sisili Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 08:00 Naua Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 08:00 Tawake Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 18:00 Galoa Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 18:00 Yanutha Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 18:00 Matavuralevu Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 18:00 Pacific Harbour Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 18:00 Waisomo Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 18:00 Dakuimbeqa Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 18:00 Lalati Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 18:00 Navua Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 18:00 Naitionitoni Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 18:00 Mau Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 02:30 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 02:30 Nagumu Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Nakondu Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Nathamaki Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Nasau Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 07:00 Nadi Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 12:00 Ndalomo Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 07:45 Namukalau Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 07:45 Nukusa Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Ndenimanu Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 18:30 Vunivatu Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 05:45 Vangai Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 22:15 Nasau Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 22:15 Talaulia Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 22:15 Nalotu Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 22:15 Vunisea Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 22:15 Mburelevu Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 22:15 Mokoisa Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 22:15 Naikorokoro Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 22:15 Namara Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 19:15 Nacula Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 19:15 Navotua Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 19:15 Tamusua Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 19:15 Teci Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 21:30 Mbukama Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 21:30 Yasawairara Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 06:15 Naruwai Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 18:30 Navukembuli Fiji  0.2
06 Feb 2024 21:30 Korovou Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 07:00 Vione Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 07:00 Dalice Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 18:00 Makongai Fiji  0.2
06 Feb 2024 21:30 Navakawau Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 07:45 Nambouono Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 07:15 Momi Fiji  0.2
07 Feb 2024 07:45 Korovisilou Fiji  0.2
06 Feb 2024 21:15 Sawaieke Fiji  0.2
06 Feb 2024 21:15 Vandravandra Fiji  0.1
07 Feb 2024 11:15 Keteira Fiji  0.1
06 Feb 2024 21:15 Kalokolevu Fiji  0.1
06 Feb 2024 21:15 Laucala Fiji  0.1
06 Feb 2024 21:15 Suva Fiji  0.1
06 Feb 2024 21:15 Tamavua Fiji  0.1
06 Feb 2024 21:15 Lauthala Bay Fiji  0.1
07 Feb 2024 18:45 Lomawal Fiji  0.1
07 Feb 2024 19:30 Mbatiri Fiji  0.1
07 Feb 2024 07:00 Andako Fiji  0.1
07 Feb 2024 09:00 Tonga Tuvalu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 06:15 Lakina Tuvalu  0.1
07 Feb 2024 19:30 Cuvu Fiji  0.1
07 Feb 2024 07:30 Sigatoka Fiji  0.1
07 Feb 2024 07:30 Laselase Fiji  0.1
07 Feb 2024 07:30 Vatukarasa Fiji  0.1
07 Feb 2024 07:30 Korolevu Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 06:00 Roreti Kiribati  0.1
07 Feb 2024 19:45 Bouwanga Fiji  0.1
07 Feb 2024 19:45 Taunovo Fiji  0.1
07 Feb 2024 09:00 Elsee Fiji  0.1
07 Feb 2024 09:00 Sumi Fiji  0.1
07 Feb 2024 09:00 Vaitupu Tuvalu  0.1