Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWELVE-24
in Vanuatu

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWELVE-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (10 Feb 11:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Vanuatu)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.2 m 97 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 68 km/h 0.3 m 360 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 10 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Feb 2024 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Feb 2024 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Feb 2024 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Feb 2024 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Feb 2024 00:00 68 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
GREEN 6 09 Feb 2024 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Feb 2024 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Feb 2024 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Feb 2024 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Feb 2024 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmTuvalu, Solomon Islands, Fiji212,039
+
Tuvalu6,772 
Solomon Islands1,722 
Fiji203,544 
50-100 mmPapua New Guinea, Tuvalu, Solomon Islands, Fiji769,483
+
Papua New Guinea17,757 
Tuvalu3,143 
Solomon Islands107,109 
Fiji641,472 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Feb 2024 00:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Feb 2024 06:00 217 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Feb 2024 12:00 230 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Feb 2024 18:00 96 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
Blue 5 09 Feb 2024 00:00 95 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Feb 2024 06:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Feb 2024 12:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Feb 2024 18:00 166 -
- - - - - Wallis and Futuna
Blue 9 10 Feb 2024 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Feb 2024 06:00 303 210 thousand
- - - - Papua New Guinea, Tuvalu, Solomon Islands, Fiji




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Navinggiri, Fiji. This height is estimated for 10 Feb 2024 11:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Feb 2024 11:30 Navinggiri Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 11:30 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 11:30 Ndalomo Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 11:30 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 11:30 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 11:30 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 07:00 Nailanga Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 07:00 Sorokoba Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 07:00 Ba Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 07:00 Natunuka Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 07:00 Tavua Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 11:15 Lautoka Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 10:00 Prony New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 10:00 Ouara New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 10:00 Goro New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Korovou Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Lodoni Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Lawaki Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Navuti Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Nasaga Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Rukuruku Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Lovoni Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Nauouo Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Levuka Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Rakiraki Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Vaileka Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Nasau Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 09:15 Paita New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 09:15 Nouville New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 09:15 Noumea New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 09:15 Dumbea New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 09:15 Comm. du Mont-Dore New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 09:15 Saint-Louis New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 09:15 Plum New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Naingani Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Rabulu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 12:00 Poro New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 12:00 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Nagumu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Togowere Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Galoa Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Yanutha Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Matavuralevu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Pacific Harbour Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Waisomo Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Dakuimbeqa Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Lalati Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Navua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Naitionitoni Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Mau Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Umpon Mompu Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Potnarvin Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Yawisaghuwi Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Ipota Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Ifo Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 08:30 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 08:15 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 08:15 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 08:15 Arama New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 11:30 Korosi Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 11:30 Korotasere Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 11:30 Naweni Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 11:30 Nakarambo Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 11:30 Viani Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 11:30 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 11:30 Mbangasau Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Ponerihouen New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Mou New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Naruwai Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:15 Nacula Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:15 Navotua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:15 Tamusua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:15 Teci Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:15 Mbukama Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:15 Yasawairara Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 08:00 Puto Papua New Guinea  0.1
10 Feb 2024 08:00 Konua Papua New Guinea  0.1
10 Feb 2024 08:00 Sipai Papua New Guinea  0.1
10 Feb 2024 08:00 Amun Papua New Guinea  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Soso Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Somosomo Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Matayalevu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Sisili Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Utanlangi Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Nekapa Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Emua Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Laonomoa Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Onesoua Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Marow Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Ebao Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:00 Rampunalvat Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 08:45 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 08:45 Touho New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 08:45 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Rave-rave Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Ndawara Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Waisa Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Natua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Mbangata Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 08:00 Kuraio Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Nanduri Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Vatutandova Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Nasea Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 11:15 Nadi Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 11:15 Namaka Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 11:30 Malake Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 11:45 Biagunu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 11:45 Lao Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 09:00 Nde New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 11:30 Solevu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 11:30 Momi Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Naua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Namukalau Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Namboutini Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Nailou Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Tawake Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Napuka Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Nikaura Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Tavio Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Leman Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Votlo Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Mate Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Halos Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Nul Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Filakara Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:00 Savu Sau Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Forari Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Lambukuti Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Moeriou Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Kouroumanpe Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Mangarisu Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Epuen Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Nawi Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Vunikura Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 10:45 Vunivatu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 10:45 Navukembuli Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:30 Leiwoma Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Lamarou Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Paia Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Vaoleli Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Tafouale Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Pawe Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Liro Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Ignal Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Lulep Nesa Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Endu Pahakol Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Toak Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Makatea Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:15 Loonelapeun Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:15 Loounimhapeun Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:15 Laounalang Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:15 Lowkahmal Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:15 Yerou Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:15 Lownepina Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:15 Imwareupo Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:15 Waisisi Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:15 Isaka Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:15 White Sands Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:15 Ombous Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 07:15 Ireupuow Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Boloa Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Mangita Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:45 Malakof Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Lamen Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:15 Valesdir Vanuatu  0.1