Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIRRILY-24
in Australia
27 Jan 2024 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIRRILY-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 72 km/h n.a. 231 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 97 km/h 1.1 m 582 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

97 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2024 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia00
+

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Jan 2024 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Jan 2024 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Jan 2024 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Jan 2024 00:00 79 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 5 24 Jan 2024 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 6 25 Jan 2024 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 7 25 Jan 2024 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 8 26 Jan 2024 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 26 Jan 2024 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 27 Jan 2024 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 27 Jan 2024 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2024 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmPapua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, New Caledonia, Australia9,817
+
Papua New Guinea1,758 
Solomon Islands1,117 
Vanuatu02 
Australia09 
New Caledonia6,928 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, Australia, New Caledonia936,336
+
Indonesia298,894 
Papua New Guinea347,790 
Solomon Islands99,787 
Vanuatu108,378 
Australia30,493 
New Caledonia50,991 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Jan 2024 12:00 406 -
- - - - - Papua New Guinea, Australia
Blue 2 23 Jan 2024 00:00 161 Few people
- - - - Papua New Guinea, Australia, New Caledonia
Blue 3 23 Jan 2024 12:00 392 30 thousand
- - - Papua New Guinea
Blue 4 24 Jan 2024 00:00 268 2 thousand
- - - - Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands
Blue 5 24 Jan 2024 12:00 195 5 thousand
- - - - Solomon Islands, Australia, Vanuatu
Blue 6 25 Jan 2024 00:00 253 20 thousand
- - - - Solomon Islands, Australia
Blue 7 25 Jan 2024 12:00 336 Few people
- - - - Solomon Islands, Australia
Blue 8 26 Jan 2024 00:00 132 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 9 26 Jan 2024 12:00 98 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 10 27 Jan 2024 00:00 105 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 11 27 Jan 2024 12:00 792 3.6 million
- Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Australia, Vanuatu




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Jan 2024 12:00 UTC
    

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