Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWELVE-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWELVE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (05 Aug 15:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 76 km/h 0.5 m 79 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 104 km/h 0.8 m 554 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

104 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan19,431 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Aug 2021 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Aug 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 02 Aug 2021 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 03 Aug 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 03 Aug 2021 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Aug 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 03 Aug 2021 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 04 Aug 2021 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 04 Aug 2021 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 04 Aug 2021 12:00 68 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 11 04 Aug 2021 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 05 Aug 2021 00:00 72 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 13 05 Aug 2021 06:00 83 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 14 05 Aug 2021 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmJapan22,879,269 
50-100 mmJapan24,152,202 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Aug 2021 06:00 22 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 02 Aug 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 02 Aug 2021 18:00 113 260 thousand
- - - - Japan
Blue 4 03 Aug 2021 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 03 Aug 2021 06:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 03 Aug 2021 12:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 03 Aug 2021 18:00 197 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 04 Aug 2021 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 04 Aug 2021 06:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 04 Aug 2021 12:00 164 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 04 Aug 2021 18:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 05 Aug 2021 00:00 156 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 05 Aug 2021 06:00 172 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 05 Aug 2021 12:00 272 22.9 million
- - - - Japan




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Changsu, Republic of Korea. This height is estimated for 05 Aug 2021 15:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Aug 2021 15:15 Changsu Republic of Korea  0.5
05 Aug 2021 15:15 Aya-ri Republic of Korea  0.5
05 Aug 2021 15:15 Ch'ongam Republic of Korea  0.5
05 Aug 2021 15:00 Chamdu Republic of Korea  0.4
05 Aug 2021 15:00 Chinch'ang Republic of Korea  0.4
05 Aug 2021 15:15 Changjong-ni Republic of Korea  0.3
05 Aug 2021 15:15 Chijung-ni Republic of Korea  0.3
05 Aug 2021 14:45 Anp'o Republic of Korea  0.2
05 Aug 2021 14:45 Chungbang Republic of Korea  0.2
05 Aug 2021 14:45 Chabong Republic of Korea  0.2
05 Aug 2021 14:45 Yeosu Republic of Korea  0.2
05 Aug 2021 14:45 Chukp'o Republic of Korea  0.2
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Hangch'on Republic of Korea  0.2
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Namhae Republic of Korea  0.2
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Gonyang Republic of Korea  0.2
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Pit'o Republic of Korea  0.2
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Samcheongpo Republic of Korea  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Wase Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Asato Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Naze Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Nakachi Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Daikuma Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Takumo Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Kominato Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Akina Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Ashikebu Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Sakiharu Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Tokuchi Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Okachi Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Sekirubu Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Tatsugo Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Akaogi Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Taira Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Akagina Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Setta Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Manya Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Sakibaru Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Kasari Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Usuku Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Nago Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Nakao Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Teima Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Obo Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Ogimi Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Kaata Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 14:15 Ando Republic of Korea  0.2
05 Aug 2021 16:00 Ada Japan  0.2
05 Aug 2021 14:15 Changdo-ri Republic of Korea  0.1
05 Aug 2021 12:30 Hedo Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Asama Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Hedono Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Okamae Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Matsubara Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Sakibaru Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Setaki Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Koshima Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Nishiakina Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Tobe Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Yaesao Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 San Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Katoku Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Kametsu Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Kametoku Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Tokuwase Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Yoro Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:15 Ch'angch'on Republic of Korea  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Kinoko Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Itokina Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Isen Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Bane Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Kenfuku Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Meteku Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Omo Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Kinen Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Akamine Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Yaja Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Furusalo Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Tamajiro Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Degi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Wadomari Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Nishibaru Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Kunigami Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 13:45 Aech'o-ri Republic of Korea  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Shimajiri Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Tamina Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Kamijiro Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 China Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Kuronuki Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Higashieue Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Toguchi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:30 Izena Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:45 Chinsan-ni Republic of Korea  0.1
05 Aug 2021 13:15 Yobuko Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 13:15 Tobo Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 13:15 Karatsu Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 13:15 Oka Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 13:15 Fuchinoe Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 13:15 Keya Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 13:15 Fukae Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 13:15 Maebaru Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Ikechi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Ukearnuro Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Chabang Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Kano Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Ashito Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Nama Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Mugiya Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Oshikaku Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Osai Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Akitoku Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:00 Saneku Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:00 Adachi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:00 Satsukawa Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:00 Hyo Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:00 Sukomo Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 18:00 Tana Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:45 Yui Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:45 Koniya Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:45 Kachiura Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:45 Tokuhama Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:45 Shodon Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:45 Ikenma Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:45 Sokaru Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:45 Sekko Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:45 Katoku Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:45 Kuji Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:45 Ashiken Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:45 Imasato Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:45 Yuwan Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:45 Amurogama Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:45 Niimura Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:45 Nishi-Nakama Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:45 Sennai Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:45 Aoku Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:45 Gusuku Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:45 Misato Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:45 Nakazato Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 18:00 Shimajiri Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 18:00 Gakiya Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 18:00 Maetomari Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:15 Kin Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:15 Ichi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Heda Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Kudadon Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:00 Miyazaki Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:00 Shimo-Tashima Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:00 Kisaki Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:00 Niinauri Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:00 Tachibandori Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:00 Haruguchi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:00 Takanabe Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:00 Uwae Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Uken Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:15 Sacheon Republic of Korea  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Kiire Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Ibusuki Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Yamagawa Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Izashiki Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Baba Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 O-nejime Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Nakamura Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 13:30 Kok'ori Republic of Korea  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:15 Ishimine Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:15 Kadena Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:15 Atsuta Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:15 Ishikawa Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:15 Henna Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Onkachi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Yamato Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Shiida Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Buzen Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Higashiyoshitomi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Nakatsu Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Imazu Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Naon Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Tomai Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 13:00 Ichibuura Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 13:00 Yamanaka Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 13:00 Azuchi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 13:00 Hirado Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 13:00 Emukae Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Aka Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Zamami Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Awaren Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Tokashiku Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Nomo Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Wakimisaki Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Shikimi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Fukahori Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Mieda Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Nagasaki Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 12:00 Mogi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 13:15 Nishinoura Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:45 Tayooka Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:45 Beppu Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:45 Kitsuki Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:45 Oita Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:45 Aki Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 15:45 Tsurusaki Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:15 Taniyama Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:15 Kagoshima Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:15 Yuno Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:15 Tarumizu Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 12:45 Mikuriya Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 12:45 Matsuura Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 12:45 Ao Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 12:45 Madarashima Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 12:45 Imabuku Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 12:45 Kusuku Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Araki Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Uekatsu Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Akatsure Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Urabaru Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:45 Aden Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:15 Furue Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:15 Somachi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:15 Shitooke Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Sanezaki Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Shimoda Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Irino Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Nada Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Saga Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Yotsunoura Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 16:45 Oryuzako Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Chifuwa Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Naha Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:30 Fusozaki Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:15 Fumoto Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:15 Futagawa Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Tado Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Hiraki Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Uchinoumi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Oura Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Mitsuguchi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Kami-Oda Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Kazahaya Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Komatsubara Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Uchiura Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Kanashi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Mitsu Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Kubi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Okitomo Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Ocho Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Okushi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Daicho Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Mitarai Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Hama Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Akashi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Sukune Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Nakano Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Okiura Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Takehara Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Kinoe Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Onashi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Shiramizu Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Takasakicho Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Takasaki Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Munagata Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Fukuda Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Kuchisubo Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Kinehara Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Tadanoumi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Higai Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Miyanoura Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Tamagi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Inokuchi Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Mukuna Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Sakai Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Noji Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Ryomei Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Saiwaishinden Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Seto Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Nishinocho Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:30 Yosokuni Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:15 Nanakuba Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:15 Koike Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 17:15 Koramuki Japan  0.1
05 Aug 2021 14:15 Cholge Republic of Korea  0.1