Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for GENEVIEVE-20 in Mexico from 16 Aug 2020 15:00 UTC to 21 Aug 2020 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GENEVIEVE-20

in Mexico

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GENEVIEVE-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	United States, Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	76 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (16 Aug 23:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	76 km/h	0.2 m	191 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	180 km/h	0.7 m	562 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

180 km/h

Up to 330 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	United States, Mexico	327,959	+
	United States	304,387
	Mexico	23,572

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	16 Aug 2020 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	16 Aug 2020 18:00	169	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States, Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Mexico, Guatemala	7,547,095	+
	Mexico	6,174,838
	Guatemala	1,372,257

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	16 Aug 2020 12:00	202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	16 Aug 2020 18:00	396	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico, Guatemala

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Cuantla, Mexico. This height is estimated for 16 Aug 2020 23:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Aug 2020 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Aug 2020 23:45	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 23:45	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 18:15	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 18:15	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 18:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 18:30	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 18:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 23:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 23:30	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 23:15	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 22:15	Campeche	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 23:00	Porfirio Diaz	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 23:00	Chenkan	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 22:30	Noham	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 18:45	La Florida	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 18:45	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 18:15	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 23:30	Hoquel	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 23:30	Champoton	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 23:30	Haltunchen	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 22:00	Barra Madre Vieja	Guatemala	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 22:00	Tecojate	Guatemala	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 22:00	San Jose Rama Blanca	Guatemala	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 22:00	Sipacate	Guatemala	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 19:45	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:45	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 23:30	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 22:45	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 22:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:15	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 21:30	La Verde	Guatemala	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 21:30	El Tulate	Guatemala	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 21:30	Tahuesco	Guatemala	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 21:30	Nueva Venecia	Guatemala	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 21:30	Huitzitzil	Guatemala	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:15	Salinas	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:15	Buen Pais	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:15	Alvarado	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 22:45	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 23:15	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 23:15	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 18:30	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 21:00	San Pedro	Guatemala	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 21:00	Barra de la Gabina	Guatemala	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 21:00	Las Champas	Guatemala	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 21:45	La Choya	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 21:45	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 22:45	Sabancuy	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:30	Rincon	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:30	Shepards	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:30	Punta	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:30	Faria	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:30	Dulah	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:30	San Buenaventura	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:30	Ventura	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:30	Hollywood By The Sea	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:30	Channel Islands Beach	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:30	Oxnard	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 20:45	Ciudad del Carmen	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 20:45	Boca Nueva	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 00:00	Seybaplaya	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 20:45	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 20:45	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 20:45	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 22:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 23:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 23:15	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:30	Montecito	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:30	Summerland	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:30	Serena Park	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:30	Franciscan Village	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:30	Carpinteria	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:15	San Pedro	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:15	Wilmington	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:15	Signal Hill	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:15	Belmont Shore	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:15	Surfside	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:15	Seal Beach	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:15	Sunset Beach	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:15	Huntington Beach	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 21:45	Anton Lizardo	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 22:45	Monte de Oro	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 22:45	San Pedro	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 22:00	Balantanche	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 22:45	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 22:45	Dimas	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 18:45	Hidalgo	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 18:45	Francisco I. Madero	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:30	Mission	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 23:30	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 21:15	Paso Real	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 23:45	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:45	Isla Vista	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:45	Goleta	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:45	Hope Ranch	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 22:45	La Lima	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 23:15	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 21:00	Astillero	Guatemala	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:15	Rancho Palos Verdes	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:15	Rolling Hills Estates	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 19:15	Rolling Hills	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 18:45	Agua Dulce	Guatemala	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.