Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWELVE-24
in Vanuatu

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWELVE-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Vanuatu
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (08 Feb 11:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Vanuatu)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 79 km/h 0.2 m 185 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 112 km/h 0.3 m 519 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to 1 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormVanuatu1,331 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Feb 2024 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Feb 2024 06:00 122 -
- - - - - Vanuatu
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmVanuatu8,670 
100-250 mmVanuatu, New Caledonia52,120
+
Vanuatu48,744 
New Caledonia3,375 
50-100 mmVanuatu, New Caledonia89,849
+
Vanuatu89,425 
New Caledonia424 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Feb 2024 00:00 111 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Feb 2024 06:00 722 60 thousand
- - - Vanuatu, New Caledonia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Nailanga, Fiji. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2024 11:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Nailanga Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Sorokoba Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Ba Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Natunuka Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Paita New Caledonia  0.2
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Nouville New Caledonia  0.2
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Noumea New Caledonia  0.2
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Dumbea New Caledonia  0.2
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Comm. du Mont-Dore New Caledonia  0.2
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Saint-Louis New Caledonia  0.2
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Plum New Caledonia  0.2
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Lautoka Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Korosi Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Korotasere Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Naweni Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Nakarambo Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Viani Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Mbangasau Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 11:00 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 11:00 Nagumu Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 11:00 Nanduri Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Malake Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 06:45 Biagunu Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 06:45 Namboutini Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 06:45 Nailou Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 06:30 Lao Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 06:45 Napuka Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 11:15 Vatutandova Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 06:45 Nawi Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 06:45 Vunikura Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:30 Nikaura Vanuatu  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:30 Tavio Vanuatu  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:30 Leman Vanuatu  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:30 Votlo Vanuatu  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:30 Mate Vanuatu  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:30 Nul Vanuatu  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:30 Filakara Vanuatu  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:30 Lambukuti Vanuatu  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:00 Mou New Caledonia  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:00 Moneo New Caledonia  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:00 Ho New Caledonia  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:00 Meomo New Caledonia  0.2
08 Feb 2024 06:00 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:00 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:00 Arama New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:00 Pam New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 07:30 Nawailevu Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 07:30 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:00 Vangai Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:00 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:00 Savu Sau Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:00 Navinggiri Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:00 Yangganga Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:00 Ndalomo Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:30 Tavua Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:00 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:00 Lodoni Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:00 Lawaki Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:00 Naingani Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:15 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:15 Touho New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:15 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:15 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:15 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:15 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:45 Namukalau Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:45 Tawake Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:45 Nukusa Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:45 Nambouono Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 08:30 Jaba Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 08:30 Koiaris Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Galoa Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Yanutha Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Matavuralevu Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Pacific Harbour Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Waisomo Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Dakuimbeqa Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Lalati Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Navua Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Naitionitoni Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Mau Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:15 Panane New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:15 Mouane New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:15 Ono New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Matayalevu Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Sisili Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Nacula Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Navotua Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Tamusua Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:45 Prony New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:45 Ouara New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:45 Goro New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Teci Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Mbukama Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:45 Balaide New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:45 Saint-Paul New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:45 Pouebo New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:00 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:00 Ponerihouen New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 08:15 Torakina Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:15 Rabulu Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Soso Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Somosomo Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:45 Poro New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:45 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:00 Houailou New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:00 Ouakaya New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:00 Togowere Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 08:30 Puto Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 08:30 Konua Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 08:30 Sipai Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 08:30 Amun Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 08:30 Kuraio Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Kava Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Loalonga Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Veranaue Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Dhadhaje Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Tatamba Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Sidu Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Lokiha Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Sepi Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Vuluva Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 08:30 Malapu Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 08:30 Tuo Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 08:30 Lomlom Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 08:30 Namania Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 08:30 Nuali Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 08:30 Lipe Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:00 Naruwai Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:00 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:45 Vinegau Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:45 Tuhungganggo Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:45 Tunguiha Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:45 Tupui Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Piapouria Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Mae Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Tourebiou Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Atsaritibi Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Robertsons Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Bakakara Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Terou Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Worovok Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Ladhu Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Lavatavo Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Iakobone Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:45 Naua Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Souleisere Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:00 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Ngoye New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Petit-Borindi New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:00 Rakiraki Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:00 Vaileka Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:00 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:00 Nasau Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:15 Yambe New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:00 Ghaomai Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:00 Harapa Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:00 Kamaleai Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:00 Shortland I Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:00 Koliai Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:00 Harehare Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:00 Nila Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:00 East Pt Papua New Guinea  0.1