Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for GENEVIEVE-20 in Mexico from 16 Aug 2020 15:00 UTC to 21 Aug 2020 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GENEVIEVE-20

in Mexico

17 Aug 2020 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GENEVIEVE-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	101 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (17 Aug 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	101 km/h	0.2 m	372 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	144 km/h	0.4 m	620 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

144 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	656

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	16 Aug 2020 00:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Aug 2020 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	17 Aug 2020 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	17 Aug 2020 12:00	133	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Mexico, Guatemala	71,449	+
	Mexico	68,189
	Guatemala	3,260
50-100 mm	Mexico, Guatemala	3,443,876	+
	Mexico	2,590,996
	Guatemala	852,880

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	16 Aug 2020 00:00	453	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
2	16 Aug 2020 12:00	466	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	17 Aug 2020 00:00	403	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	17 Aug 2020 12:00	386	70 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mexico, Guatemala

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 17 Aug 2020 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 Aug 2020 17:00	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 23:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 17:00	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 17:00	San Felipe	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 16:45	La Choya	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 16:45	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 18:45	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:15	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:15	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:00	San Pedro	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:00	Wilmington	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:00	Signal Hill	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:00	Belmont Shore	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:00	Surfside	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:00	Seal Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:00	Sunset Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:00	Huntington Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:00	Salina Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:00	Lagarto	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	Huajapan	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:30	Barra de la Gabina	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:30	Las Champas	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	Barra Madre Vieja	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	Tecojate	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	San Jose Rama Blanca	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	Sipacate	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:45	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 12:15	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:00	Cabo Punta Banda	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:00	Ensenada	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 19:00	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 19:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:30	La Verde	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:30	El Tulate	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:30	Tahuesco	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:30	Nueva Venecia	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:30	El Roble	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:30	Cachimba	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:15	Campeche	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:15	Huitzitzil	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 13:00	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:30	Tecomate	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:30	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.1
	18 Aug 2020 00:00	Boqueron	Mexico	0.1
	18 Aug 2020 00:00	Pasito de la Senora	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	Arista	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	Buenavista	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:00	La Concepion	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	Puerto de San Benito	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	Ocos	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 13:15	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 13:15	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 13:15	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 20:30	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 20:30	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 20:30	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:00	Solo Dios	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Rincon	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Shepards	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Punta	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Faria	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Dulah	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	San Buenaventura	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Ventura	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Hollywood By The Sea	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Channel Islands Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Oxnard	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 20:45	Guaymas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 20:45	Empalme	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:00	San Pedro	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:00	Garrapateras	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:00	Majada Villalobos	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:30	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 13:30	Mirador	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 13:30	Ayutla	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:15	Mission	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:15	Montecito	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:15	Summerland	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:15	Serena Park	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:15	Franciscan Village	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:15	Carpinteria	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 20:15	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 20:15	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 20:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 20:45	Guasimas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:45	Balantanche	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 20:00	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 16:30	Las Barrillas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 20:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 21:30	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 12:45	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 20:30	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:45	Santa Maria Xandani	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:45	Costa Rica	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:45	Pesqueria	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:45	San Dionisio del Mar	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.