Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FIFTEEN-19 in Cape Verde from 14 Oct 2019 21:00 UTC to 16 Oct 2019 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FIFTEEN-19

in Cape Verde

15 Oct 2019 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIFTEEN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	61 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (16 Oct 20:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	61 km/h	0.2 m	62 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	72 km/h	0.2 m	215 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

72 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 15 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	14 Oct 2019 18:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Oct 2019 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Oct 2019 06:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Oct 2019 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Oct 2019 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 15 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	14 Oct 2019 18:00	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Oct 2019 00:00	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Oct 2019 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Oct 2019 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Oct 2019 18:00	91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in El Mamghar, Mauritania. This height is estimated for 16 Oct 2019 20:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Oct 2019 20:30	El Mamghar	Mauritania	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Pissangue	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Benanga	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Injante	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Nanga	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Cuiane	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Anga	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Nago	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Botai	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Ondame	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Acuno	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Chedia	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Blom	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Cassaca	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Omaia	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Metampil	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Iofa	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Tepil	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Bissa	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Bucomil	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Ponto Compito	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Tingaga	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Amboje	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Ampincha	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Ponta Gardele	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Conlumo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Bissau	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Antula	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Birte	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Cumere	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Ilheu do Mancebo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Oco Grande	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Nhala de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Nhala de Cima	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Santa Joana	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Fei	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Fortuna	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Biogate	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Enxude	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Foia	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Enchude	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Mato Grande	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Gambacar Nancho	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Gambinta	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Cabame	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Farancunda	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Nova Sintra	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Belai	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Gantongo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:00	Cajegute	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:00	Chanto	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:00	Dapatai	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:00	Quinhamel	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Baloma de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Uato Mandinga	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Uato Fula	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Ponta Doce Mancanha	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Ga Moria	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Canema	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Pecete	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Bolama	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Sao Joao	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Santa Maria	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Ga Eugenia	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Ga Maior de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Ga Maior Beafada	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Cabaceira	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Binte	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Ambacana	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Acampamento	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Ametite	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Anchorupe	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Ancano	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Tabanca Nova	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Sancoma	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Bagongo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Quecete	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Betelhe	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Acubede	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Bichau	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Anipoco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Suro	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Petate	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Prabis	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Oco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Acuminca	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Bedache	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:00	Bruce	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:00	Cabuno	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:00	Angodigo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:00	Ambeduco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:00	Anane	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:00	Ossocone	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:00	Eticoga	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:00	Ancalhe	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:00	Etiogo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:00	Ancumbo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:00	Elicoga	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:00	Ambduco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:00	Eguba	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:00	Ancamona	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:00	Anecuene	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:00	Abu	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:15	Intindumbo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:15	Gantumane	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:15	Ganchombe	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:15	Madina de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:15	Ganture	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:15	Bigine	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:15	Mansaba	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:15	Darsalame	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:15	Ganafa	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:15	Paiunco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:15	Camaga	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:15	Umpoloco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:15	Ponta Filipe	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:15	Tema	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:15	Pobreza	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 18:15	Canchungozinho	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:00	Equisar	Guinea-Bissau	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.