Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for GENEVIEVE-20 in Mexico from 16 Aug 2020 15:00 UTC to 21 Aug 2020 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GENEVIEVE-20

in Mexico

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GENEVIEVE-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	162 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (17 Aug 13:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	162 km/h	0.2 m	234 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	220 km/h	0.5 m	632 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	590

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	16 Aug 2020 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Aug 2020 18:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	17 Aug 2020 00:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	17 Aug 2020 06:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	17 Aug 2020 12:00	198	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

632 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Mexico	1,025

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	16 Aug 2020 12:00	559	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Aug 2020 18:00	368	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	17 Aug 2020 00:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	17 Aug 2020 06:00	329	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	17 Aug 2020 12:00	441	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 17 Aug 2020 13:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 Aug 2020 13:30	La Choya	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 13:30	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 17:45	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 17:30	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 17:30	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 17:30	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 12:00	Barra de la Gabina	Guatemala	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 12:00	Las Champas	Guatemala	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 18:00	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 17:45	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 17:45	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 16:15	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	La Verde	Guatemala	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	El Tulate	Guatemala	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	Tahuesco	Guatemala	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	Nueva Venecia	Guatemala	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	Huitzitzil	Guatemala	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 13:45	Boqueron	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 13:45	Pasito de la Senora	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 15:30	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 15:30	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 15:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 15:30	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 17:45	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 12:15	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 12:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	17 Aug 2020 18:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 18:00	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 12:30	Barra Madre Vieja	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 12:30	Tecojate	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 12:30	San Jose Rama Blanca	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	Garrapateras	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	Majada Villalobos	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	Salina Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:00	Sipacate	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 16:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:45	Chola	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 12:30	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:15	Arista	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:45	Corrales	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:45	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:45	Ipala	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 12:45	Acapulco	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	El Pumpo	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	La Avellana	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	Agua Dulce	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	Astillero	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	San Pedro	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:30	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:00	Lagarto	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:15	Buenavista	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:15	Solo Dios	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:15	La Concepion	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:30	Monteon	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:30	La Lima	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 16:00	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 16:00	San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 16:00	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:00	El Real	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:00	Chupadero	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:00	Apisa	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:00	Cayaca	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 12:15	Puerto de San Benito	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 12:15	Ocos	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:30	El Naranjo	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:30	La Barrita	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 14:45	Barra de San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:00	Loreto	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:00	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:15	Huajapan	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 15:15	El Roble	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:45	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:15	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:15	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 13:00	Calvario	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 13:00	Coyuquillas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 13:15	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:45	The Muirlands	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:45	Azure Vista	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:45	Ocean Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:45	Mission Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:45	Fort Rosecrans	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:45	Roseville	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:45	Campland on the Bay Trailer Park	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:45	Loma Portal	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:45	San Diego	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:45	Coronado	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:45	Imperial Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:45	Boal	United States	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:45	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:30	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 17:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 16:00	Costa Rica	Mexico	0.1
	17 Aug 2020 12:30	Champerico	Guatemala	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.