Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWELVE-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWELVE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (03 Aug 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 72 km/h 0.7 m 181 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 104 km/h 0.8 m 554 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

104 km/h

Up to 50 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan47,542 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Aug 2021 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Aug 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 02 Aug 2021 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 03 Aug 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 03 Aug 2021 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Aug 2021 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmJapan2,123 
50-100 mmJapan325 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Aug 2021 06:00 22 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 02 Aug 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 02 Aug 2021 18:00 113 260 thousand
- - - - Japan
Blue 4 03 Aug 2021 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 03 Aug 2021 06:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 03 Aug 2021 12:00 355 2 thousand
- - - - Japan




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Changsu, Republic of Korea. This height is estimated for 03 Aug 2021 17:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Aug 2021 17:30 Changsu Republic of Korea  0.7
03 Aug 2021 17:30 Aya-ri Republic of Korea  0.7
03 Aug 2021 17:30 Ch'ongam Republic of Korea  0.7
03 Aug 2021 17:45 Chamdu Republic of Korea  0.6
03 Aug 2021 17:45 Chinch'ang Republic of Korea  0.6
03 Aug 2021 17:30 Changjong-ni Republic of Korea  0.5
03 Aug 2021 17:30 Chijung-ni Republic of Korea  0.5
03 Aug 2021 18:00 Hangch'on Republic of Korea  0.3
03 Aug 2021 18:00 Namhae Republic of Korea  0.3
03 Aug 2021 18:00 Gonyang Republic of Korea  0.3
03 Aug 2021 18:00 Pit'o Republic of Korea  0.3
03 Aug 2021 18:00 Samcheongpo Republic of Korea  0.3
03 Aug 2021 17:00 Chinsan-ni Republic of Korea  0.2
03 Aug 2021 17:45 Sacheon Republic of Korea  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:45 Nishinoura Japan  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:45 Meihama Japan  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:45 Saitosaki Japan  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:45 Fukuoka Japan  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:45 Mitoma Japan  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:45 Kashii Japan  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:45 Harumachi Japan  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:45 Tsuyazaki Japan  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:45 Shingu Japan  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:45 Fukumamachi Japan  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:45 Fukuma Japan  0.2
03 Aug 2021 16:45 Kok'ori Republic of Korea  0.2
03 Aug 2021 16:45 Aech'o-ri Republic of Korea  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:45 Maebaru Japan  0.2
03 Aug 2021 16:00 Anp'o Republic of Korea  0.2
03 Aug 2021 16:00 Chungbang Republic of Korea  0.2
03 Aug 2021 16:00 Chabong Republic of Korea  0.2
03 Aug 2021 16:00 Yeosu Republic of Korea  0.2
03 Aug 2021 16:00 Chukp'o Republic of Korea  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Nago Japan  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Nakao Japan  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Teima Japan  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Obo Japan  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Ogimi Japan  0.2
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Kaata Japan  0.2
03 Aug 2021 13:15 Ashiya Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:15 Kita-kyushu Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:15 Yoshimoura Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:15 Murotsuura Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:15 Yasuoka Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:15 Kanda Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:15 Shimonoseki Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:15 Tsunemi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Ch'angch'on Republic of Korea  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Watanoha Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Aramachi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Oritate Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Onagawahama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Shizugawa Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Tsukihama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Ommaehama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Ogatsu Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Aratohama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Aikawa Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Funagoshi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Terahama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Tatsuhama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Ohama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Ozashi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Izushima Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Kodaki Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Kuwahama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Isatomae Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Terama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Kumazawa Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Osu Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Natari Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:45 Tomarihama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 16:15 Changdo-ri Republic of Korea  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:30 Chifuwa Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:30 Itoman Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:30 Naha Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:30 Nakaza Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:30 Ishimine Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:30 Kadena Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:30 Atsuta Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:30 Fusozaki Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:30 Henna Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 16:30 Changch'on Republic of Korea  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Hedo Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Ada Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 16:30 Owada Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 16:30 Osada Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 16:30 Ishide Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 16:30 Furuyado Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 16:30 Iharacho Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 16:30 Shimizu Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 16:30 Komagoe Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 16:30 Okitsu Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 16:30 Miyakata Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 16:30 Higaihi-Yamadera Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 16:30 Yui Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 16:30 Funamba Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 16:30 Kambara Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Tayooka Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Beppu Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Kitsuki Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Oita Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Aki Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Tsurusaki Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:15 Aka Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:15 Zamami Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:15 Awaren Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:15 Tokashiku Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:00 Kanesaki Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 16:15 Ando Republic of Korea  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Ono Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Tsukihama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Takagi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Hamaichi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Ishinomaki Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Moto-Funaba Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Inai Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Kotake Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Furuichi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Hatsukaichi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Nakaji Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Itsukaichi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Mino Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Korenaga Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Nakanohama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Hata Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Kanokawa Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Osu Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Nakago Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Nakamachi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Hiroshima Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Tsukumo Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Fukae Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Obara Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Umesako Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Kakinoura Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Hitonose Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Etajima Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Kirikushi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Okimi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Koyo Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Ryoshida Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Kamigumi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Sakioku Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Arikiyo Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Hamazaki Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Ondo Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Fujinowaki Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Takasu Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Kaita Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Hatami Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Okujo Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Hiradani Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Kure Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Jin'yama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:30 Hiromachi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:15 Araebuch'un Republic of Korea  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:15 Chuktori Republic of Korea  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:15 Jangseunpo Republic of Korea  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:15 Daiko Republic of Korea  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:00 Tobo Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:00 Karatsu Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:00 Oka Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:00 Fuchinoe Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:00 Keya Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:00 Fukae Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Watari Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Yamashita Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Yokoyama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Shibamachi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Warabi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Kaikomba Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Kasano Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Sakamoto Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Hanagama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Arahama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Komagamine Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Iso Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Nakumura Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Tsurishi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Tachiya Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Haragama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Umekawa Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Isobe Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Wase Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Asato Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Naze Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Nakachi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Daikuma Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Takumo Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Kominato Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Akina Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Ashikebu Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Sakiharu Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Tokuchi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Okachi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Sekirubu Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Tatsugo Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Akaogi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Taira Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Akagina Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Setta Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Manya Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Sakibaru Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Kasari Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:00 Usuku Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 14:00 Yobuko Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Umenomiya-Jutaku Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Shiogama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Schiogama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Shobudahama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Takaki Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:00 Uenodai Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:30 Izena Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Nitoda Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Odomari Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Kitsunezaki Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Takenohama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Fukkiura Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Koamikura Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Ikenohama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Aji Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Kobuchi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Oharahama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Yagawa Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Samenoura Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Kukunari Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Futawatashi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Ayukawahama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Oshika Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Tomari Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Yoriiso Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 15:15 Niiyama Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:15 Tonaki Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:00 Ishikawa Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:00 Kin Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 13:00 Ichi Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:15 Aguni Japan  0.1
03 Aug 2021 12:15 Hama Japan  0.1