Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for 09-20252026-26 in Madagascar on 29 Jan 2026 12:00 UTC

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Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for 09-20252026-26

in Madagascar

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone 09-20252026-26 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID	TC 1001254
Name	09-20252026-26
From - To	29 Jan - 29 Jan
Exposed countries	Madagascar
Exposed population	130 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	148 km/h Category 1
Maximum storm surge	1 m (31 Jan 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
WMO-RSMC La Réunion	148 km/h	1 m	n.a.	1.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF	n.a	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.
GFS	n.a	n.a.	n.a.	n.a.
ECMWF	86 km/h	1 m	383 mm	0.5

Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.

Virtual OSOCC

Meteo assessment

Satellite products

Analytical products

Detailed event map. European Union, 2026. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Analytical products

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), WMO (1), INFORM (2), (1),

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