Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MAILA-26 in Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea from 04 Apr 2026 00:00 UTC to 08 Apr 2026 00:00 UTC

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Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MAILA-26

in Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone MAILA-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID	TC 1001268
Name	MAILA-26
From - To	04 Apr - 09 Apr
Exposed countries	Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	231 km/h Category 4
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	High (Papua New Guinea)

GDACS Score

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	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GDACS JTWC	231 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF	223 km/h	0.7 m	2032 mm	0.5
GFS	241 km/h	0.5 m	2196 mm	0.5
ECMWF	191 km/h	0.4 m	1886 mm	0.5

Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.

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Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Australia - Tropical cyclone MAILA, update (ECHO 09 Apr 2026)Tue, 07 Apr 2026 09:31

On 6 April, tropical cyclone MAILA continued moving very slowly over the Solomon Sea, with maximum sustained winds up to 176 km/h. On 7 April at 0.00 UTC, its centre was located offshore, approximately 545 km east of far south-eastern Papua New Guinea, with maximum sustained winds of 167 km/h (equivalent to cat. 2 hurricane in the Saffir-Simpson scale).
On the forecast track, MAILA is expected to continue moving south-west, passing very close to the coast of far south-eastern Papua New Guinea on 10 April in the morning (UTC), with maximum sustained winds up to 165 km/h. After that, it is forecast to continue moving toward the Cape York Peninsula (far northern Queensland, north-eastern Australia) after 12 April.
Over the next 72 hours, heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges are forecast over the Solomon Islands. Same conditions are forecast over southern and eastern Papua New Guinea starting from 9 April.

Detailed event map. European Union, 2026. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

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For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), WMO (1), INFORM (2), (1),

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