Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for PABUK-18
in Myanmar, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone PABUK-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000539
Name PABUK-18
From - To 31 Dec - 05 Jan
Exposed countries Myanmar, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 102 km/h Tropical storm
Maximum storm surge 1 m (03 Jan 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Myanmar)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC n.a 1 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF n.a n.a. n.a. n.a.
GFS n.a n.a. n.a. n.a.
ECMWF n.a n.a. n.a. n.a.
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Thailand - Tropical cyclone PABUK update (ECHO 08 Jan 2019)Tue, 08 Jan 2019 11:03

  • Tropical cyclone PABUK made landfall in the Nakhon Si Thammarat province on 4 January. As of 8 January at 8.00 UTC, four people have reportedly been killed, approximately 700 000 evacuated and at least 2 000 homes damaged.
Thailand, Malaysia, Myanmar, India - Tropical storm PABUK update (ECHO 04 Jan 2019)Fri, 04 Jan 2019 11:02

  • Tropical storm PABUK continued north-west towards southern Thailand, strengthening. On 4 January at 0.00 UTC, its centre was approx. 205 km south-east of Nakhon Si Thammarat with maximum sustained winds of 93 km/h.
  • It is forecast to reach south Sichon on 4 January at 12.00 UTC with maximum sustained winds up to 110 km/h and to reach the Andaman Islands (India) on 6 January.
  • Heavy rainfall, with the risk of flash flooding and landslides, strong winds and storm surge could affect southern Thailand, southern Myanmar, northern Malaysia and Andaman Islands over 4-6 January.
  • The Authorities in Nakhon Si Thammarat Province (Thailand) have issued evacuation orders for more than 30 000 people living in six seaside districts.
Thailand, Malaysia, Myanmar, Vietnam, Cambodia – Tropical storm PABUK (ECHO 03 Jan 2019)Thu, 03 Jan 2019 11:02

  • Tropical storm PABUK continued west-north-west towards southern Thailand strengthening. On 3 January at 0.00 UTC, its center was located approx. 250 km north-east of Kuala Terengganu (Terengganu State, Malaysia) and 650 km south-east of Nakhon Si Thammarat (Nakhon Si Thammarat Province, Thailand) with maximum sustained winds of 74 km/h.
  • Over the next 24 hours, it is forecast to continue north-west, strengthening, and could make landfall as a tropical storm in southern Thailand on the morning of 4 January.
  • Heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surge are forecast for southern Thailand, northern Malaysia, southern Myanmar, southern Vietnam, and southern Cambodia from 3-5 January.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2026. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Analytical products

Daily Maps:

04/Jan/2019 06:23 UTC

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (38), WMO (1), INFORM (2), (1),