Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for PENHA-26 in Philippines from 04 Feb 2026 00:00 UTC to 12:00

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PENHA-26

in Philippines

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone PENHA-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID	TC 1001255
Name	PENHA-26
From - To	04 Feb - 05 Feb
Exposed countries	Philippines
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	74 km/h Tropical storm
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (06 Feb 09:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GDACS JTWC	74 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF	94 km/h	0.7 m	725 mm	0.5
GFS	86 km/h	0.8 m	391 mm	0.5
ECMWF	79 km/h	0.8 m	412 mm	0.5

Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.

Virtual OSOCC

Meteo assessment

Satellite products

Analytical products

Philippines - Tropical storm TWO (ECHO 05 Feb 2026)Wed, 04 Feb 2026 09:56

A new tropical depression named TWO ("Basyang" in the Philippines) formed over the Philippine Sea on 3 February late in the evening (UTC) and started moving west toward the southern Philippines. On 4 February at 6.00 UTC, its centre was located offshore approximately 670 km east of the coast of northern Mindanao island, with maximum sustained winds of 56 km/h.
On the forecast track, TWO is expected to make landfall over the eastern coast of northern Mindanao island on 5 February early in the afternoon (UTC), with maximum sustained winds of 74 km/h (tropical storm). After that, it is forecast to pass over the southern Visayas islands (central Philippines) on 6 February very early in the morning as a tropical depression.
Heavy rainfall, with locally very heavy rainfall, is forecast over the southern and central Philippines starting from 5 February for 72 hours.

Detailed event map. European Union, 2026. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Green notification for tropical cyclone PENHA-26. Population affected .. 2/4/2026 10:40:00 PM.

Philippines - Tropical storm TWO (ECHO 04 Feb 2026) Wed, 04 Feb 2026 09:56 A new tropical depression named TWO ("Basyang" in the Philippines) formed over the Philippine Sea on 3 February late in the evening (UTC) and started moving west tow

...(more)

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Analytical products

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), WMO (1), INFORM (2), (1),

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