Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for ALFRED-25
in Australia

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone ALFRED-25 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001147
Name ALFRED-25
From - To 22 Feb - 08 Mar
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 213 km/h Category 4
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (08 Mar 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

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Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 213 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 202 km/h 3.6 m 1203 mm 0.5
GFS 173 km/h 3.5 m 873 mm 0.5
ECMWF 173 km/h 3.5 m 843 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Réunion - Tropical Cyclone GARANCE, update (ECHO 09 Mar 2025)Tue, 04 Mar 2025 10:53

  • Following the passage of tropical cyclone GARANCE on 28 February over Réunion, which brought heavy rain and strong winds, the humanitarian impact is increasing. The Copernicus Emergency Management Service recorded flood and landslide events, particularly across the northern part of the island.
  • According to the Inter-ministerial Crisis Management Operational Centre (COGIC), five people died and six others were injured (three were severely injured). Additionally, 60,000 houses are still without electricity while 5% of the population, mainly in Saint-Benoit town, do not have access to running water and 23% is affected by water sully issues.
  • National authorities continue to conduct the emergency operations, 40 generators are being sent to the island to compensate for the electricity shortages.
  • Copernicus Emergency Management Service was activated () on 27 February and two maps have been produced so far.
  • For the next 48 hours, drier conditions are expected across Réunion.  
Australia - Tropical cyclone ALFRED, update (ECHO 10 Mar 2025)Wed, 05 Mar 2025 10:15

  • On 4 February, tropical cyclone ALFRED continued west toward the Brisbane city area, the capital of Queensland state, located in the south very close to the border with New South Wales state, as a tropical storm. On 5 February at 6.00 UTC its centre was located offshore approximately 325 km east of Brisbane city area, with maximum sustained winds of 108 km/h.
  • ALFRED is expected to make landfall over the area of Brisbane city on 6 February soon after 12.00 UTC, with maximum sustained winds up to 102 km/h.
  • Over the next 96 hours, heavy rainfall, strong winds, and storm surge are forecast over the Brisbane city area and over the neighbouring coastal area in southern Queensland and northern New South Wales. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has issued a gale warning zone over these areas.
ALFRED-25 - EC/ECHO daily mapWed, 05 Mar 2025 16:36

A new EC/ECHO daily map is now available
Australia - Tropical cyclone ALFRED, update (ECHO 11 Mar 2025)Thu, 06 Mar 2025 11:02

  • On 5 March, tropical cyclone ALFRED continued west toward the Brisbane city area, the capital of Queensland state, located in the south very close to the border with New South Wales state, as a tropical storm. On 6 March at 6.00 UTC, its centre was located offshore approximately 225 km east of the Brisbane city area, with maximum sustained winds of 108 km/h.
  • Local authorities issued a natural disaster declaration for several Local Government Areas (LGA) across both southern Queensland and northern New South Wales as preparedness measures.
  • ALFRED is expected to make landfall just north of the Brisbane city area on 7 March around 12.00 UTC, with maximum sustained winds up to 75 km/h. After that, it is forecast to continue westward inland over south-eastern Queensland, weakening and becoming a tropical depression on 8 March.
  • Over the next 96 hours, heavy rainfall, strong winds, and storm surge are forecast over southern Queensland and the neighbouring northern New South Wales. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has issued a gale warning zone over these areas.
Australia - Tropical cyclone ALFRED, update (ECHO 12 Mar 2025)Fri, 07 Mar 2025 10:50

  • On 6 March, tropical cyclone ALFRED continued west toward the Brisbane city area, the capital of Queensland state, located in the south very close to the border with New South Wales state as a tropical storm, slightly weakening. On 7 March at 6.00 UTC, its centre was located offshore near the coast, approximately 105 km east of the Brisbane city area, with maximum sustained winds of 108 km/h.
  • ALFRED is forecast to make landfall just north of the Brisbane city area on 7 March soon after 12.00 UTC, with maximum sustained winds up to 83 km/h. After that, it is forecast to continue westward inland over south-eastern Queensland, weakening and becoming a tropical depression on 8 March in the morning.
  • Over the next 72 hours, heavy rainfall, strong winds, and storm surge are forecast over southern Queensland and the neighbouring northern New South Wales. The gale warning zone over these areas issued by the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) remains in force.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2026. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

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Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), WMO (1), INFORM (2), (1),