Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for PHILIPPE-23
in Bermuda, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Puerto Rico, United States, Virgin Islands British, Virgin Islands U.S., Anguilla, Canada, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone PHILIPPE-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001014
Name PHILIPPE-23
From - To 23 Sep - 06 Oct
Exposed countries Bermuda, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Puerto Rico, United States, Virgin Islands British, Virgin Islands U.S., Anguilla, Canada, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 93 km/h Tropical storm
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability High (Montserrat)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS NOAA 93 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 130 km/h 2.2 m 1144 mm 0.5
GFS 126 km/h 2.2 m 915 mm 0.5
ECMWF 86 km/h 1.1 m 772 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Lesser Antilles, Virgin Islands - Tropical storm PHILIPPE (ECHO 03 Oct 2023)Tue, 03 Oct 2023 09:45

  • Tropical storm PHILIPPE formed over the Atlantic Ocean on 23 September and started moving west toward the Lesser Antilles. On 3 October at 6.00 UTC, its centre was located over the Ocean approximately 65 km east of the Anguilla Island and 60 km north-west of the Barbuda Island (both in northern Leeward Islands, the northern part of the Lesser Antilles), with maximum sustained winds of 85 km/h.
  • PHILIPPE is forecast to continue moving northward over the Ocean, passing well off the coast of Anguilla and the Virgin Islands on 3 October. After that it is expected to pass approximately 190 km east of Bermuda on 7 October very early in the morning (UTC), with maximum sustained winds up to 110 km/h.
  • Over the next 48 hours, heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surge are forecast over the Leeward Islands, the northern Windward Islands and the Virgin Islands. NOAA has issued a tropical storm warning for the northern Leeward Islands.
Lesser Antilles, Virgin Islands - Tropical storm PHILIPPE (ECHO 04 Oct 2023)Wed, 04 Oct 2023 10:07

  • Tropical storm PHILIPPE passed close to the coast of Anguilla and the Virgin Islands on 3 October and is moving northward over the Atlantic Ocean. On 4 October at 3.00 UTC, its centre was located over the Ocean approximately 190 km north of the north-eastern coast of Puerto Rico Island, with maximum sustained winds of 74 km/h.
  • According to media reports, the islands of Guadalupe, Antigua and Barbuda and Dominica have been affected by floods, and schools have been closed on 3 October following the influence of PHILIPPE.
  • PHILIPPE is forecast to continue northward over the Ocean towards the western coast of Canada.
  • For the next 24 hours, heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surge are still forecast for the northern Islands of the Lesser Antilles, including most of the northern Leeward Islands and Virgin Islands.

 

Detailed event map. European Union, 2026. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), INFORM (2), (1),