Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for GUAMBE-21 in Mozambique from 17 Feb 2021 18:00 UTC to 20 Feb 2021 00:00 UTC

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Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for GUAMBE-21

in Mozambique

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone GUAMBE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID	TC 1000770
Name	GUAMBE-21
From - To	17 Feb - 22 Feb
Exposed countries	Mozambique
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	157 km/h Category 2
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (19 Feb 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Mozambique)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GDACS JTWC	n.a	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF	184 km/h	0.7 m	679 mm	0.5
GFS	133 km/h	0.6 m	442 mm	0.5
ECMWF	122 km/h	0.8 m	507 mm	0.5

Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.

Virtual OSOCC

Meteo assessment

Satellite products

Analytical products

Mozambique - Tropical Cyclone GUAMBE (ECHO 18 Feb 2021)Thu, 18 Feb 2021 02:00

New Tropical Cyclone (TC) GUAMBE is moving south over the Mozambique Channel, along the coast of Mozambique. On 17 February at 18.00 UTC, its centre was 240 km east of Inhassoro District (Inhambane Province, central Mozambique), with maximum sustained winds up to 83 km/h.
GUAMBE is forecast to strengthen, as it moves south towards the central and southern coast of Mozambique, with maximum sustained winds up to 150 km/h.
Central and southern Mozambique were affected by TC ELOISE on 23-24 January and compounded by recent flooding in Maputo and Gaza Provinces (southern Mozambique), affecting more than 11,410 people.
A red warning for heavy rain, strong winds and thunderstorms has been issued for Sofala, Inhambane, Manica, and Zambezia Provinces.

Detailed event map. European Union, 2026. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

SA Weather Service issues weather warnings for Gauteng and Limpopo 2/22/2021 1:56:00 PM.

Mozambique to be hit by another tropical storm 2/20/2021 6:51:00 AM.

Devenu cyclone tropical, Guambe continue de s'intensifier 2/19/2021 11:03:00 PM.

Mozambique: Cyclone Guambe to pass 100 km off the coast but storms are.. 2/19/2021 5:27:00 PM.

View more news

Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Analytical products

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (38), DesInventar (1), WMO (1), INFORM (2), (1),

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