Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FINA-25
in Australia

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone FINA-25 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001235
Name FINA-25
From - To 18 Nov - 24 Nov
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 204 km/h Category 3
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (21 Nov 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

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Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 204 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 216 km/h 0.9 m 1150 mm 0.5
GFS 180 km/h 1.1 m 999 mm 0.5
ECMWF 126 km/h 1.1 m 855 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Australia - Tropical cyclone FINA (ECHO 24 Nov 2025)Wed, 19 Nov 2025 11:26

  • A new tropical cyclone named FINA formed between the Timor and the Arafura Sea on 18 November and started moving eastward. On 19 February at 6:00, its centre was located over the sea approximately 170 km south of Crocker Island and 400 km north-east of the coastal city of Darwin, in the Northern Territory in northern Australia, with maximum sustained winds of 130 km/h (tropical cyclone).
  • FINA is expected to move southward to Australia on 20-21 November and to make landfall in the evening of 21 November in the area of Warruwi town on South Goulburn Island with maximum sustained winds up to 93 km/h (tropical storm).
  • Over the next 96 hours, heavy rainfall and strong winds are forecast over the coastal areas of the Northern Territory.
Australia - Tropical cyclone FINA, update (ECHO 25 Nov 2025)Thu, 20 Nov 2025 10:23

  • Tropical cyclone FINA is moving south over the Arafura Sea and on 20 November at 5:00 (UTC), its centre is located 80 km north-east of Darwin, Northern Territory and 160 km north-northeast of Minjilang, Northern Territory with maximum sustained winds of 95 km/h with wind gusts up to 130 km/h.
  • FINA is expected to continue south on 20 November, before turning southwest on 21 November. It is forecast to approach the Cobourg Peninsula and Tiwi islands, northern Northern Territory late on 21 November, and continue southwest through the Van Diemen Gulf on 22 November.
  • For the next three days, heavy rain and strong winds are expected across the Northern Territory state, particularly over the Cobourg Peninsula and Tiwi islands. A tropical cyclone warning is in effect from Milikapiti to Maningrida, including the Cobourg Peninsula, Minjilang and Warruwi.
Australia - Tropical cyclone FINA, update (ECHO 26 Nov 2025)Fri, 21 Nov 2025 11:35

  • Tropical cyclone FINA is moving southwestword over the Arafura Sea, on 21 November at 5:00 (UTC), its centre is located 60 km north of Minjilang, and 270 km northeast of Darwin city in the Northern Territory with maximum sustained winds of 95 km/h.
  • FINA is approaching the Cobourg Peninsula and Tiwi Islands and is forecast to make landfall in the night between 21 and 22 November, to continue southwest over the Van Diemen Gulf on 22 November, and move through the southern Timor Sea on 22-23 November.
  • According to media, as of 21 November, shelters are open in the northern coastal communities of Minjilang and Warruwi.
  • For the next three days, heavy rain and strong winds are expected over the coastal areas of the Northern Territory state. A tropical cyclone warning is in effect for the Tiwi Islands, Darwin, Cobourg Peninsula, Minjilang, Gunbalanya, Pirlangimpi, Milikapiti and Wurrumiyanga.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2025. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

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Tropical Cyclone FINA Strengthens, BMKG Urges Fishermen to Postpone Go.. 11/19/2025 4:15:00 AM.

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),